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Dublin: 14 °C Monday 20 May, 2013

Column: Pretending this mortgage crisis isn’t happening won’t make it go away

One in ten people who have a mortgage in Ireland are struggling to pay it off. Where is the urgency in solving this epidemic, asks Noeline Blackwell.

Noeline Blackwell

THE CENTRAL BANK’S latest figures on residential mortgage arrears and restructurings have raised the merest ripple of interest in the news.

Now in its fourth year, this set of quarterly figures has seen the arrears on people’s homes rise from fewer than one in twenty mortgages in trouble to now more than one in ten mortgages falling behind on payments.

Yet these figures reveal 83,251 households in arrears of 3 months or more and another 45,165 households which are not that far gone yet but have missed payments. Add to this the 40,221 ‘restructured’ loans not in arrears but which can only have been adjusted because borrowers couldn’t pay the full mortgage. That amounts to almost 170,000 households in Ireland right now.

It is clear to us in FLAC (Free Legal Advice Centres) from the people who contact us directly, from our contact with the Money Advice and Budgeting Service (MABS) and from talking to other NGOs working with over-indebted people, that the reason people aren’t paying the mortgage on their homes (because that’s all these figures capture) is that they cannot. They do not have the money to pay that one very basic debt.

We also know they are also unable to cover other basics of life, such as electricity and food bills. You don’t have to work in FLAC or one of the other support groups to know that these households are under constant, enormous worry and stress. For many, that worry is an ever-present ache, affecting them every hour of the waking day and into the night. Many people hide their concerns. Many hope they will go away by magic. Many bring this tension and anxiety into their family lives, resulting in ill-health, relationship breakdown and downright misery.

This we in FLAC know. However, this week’s data from the Central Bank is incontrovertible. Mortgages in trouble now account for 22.1 per cent of all residential mortgages – so more than one in five mortgages on a home is in arrears or restructured.

Let’s slice it another way. There are 1,654,208 private households in Ireland. The new data shows that households with mortgage problems actually make up 10.2 per cent of the total households in Ireland, with or without a mortgage. That is the scale of our mortgage arrears ‘situation’. And yet, even now, the steps our government is taking to deal with this problem – which it acknowledges is massive and urgent – are pitifully weak.

Lenders are supposed to have a code of conduct – why isn’t it working?

File Pics MORTGAGE ARREARS AMONG owner occupiers could peak at 18 per cent, according to a new report from Davy Stockbrokers. Arrears on buy-to-let mortgages are expected to be even worse, it said, with twice as many running at arrears compared to owner o

(Sasko Lazarov/Photocall Ireland)

Lenders are bound to a ‘code of conduct’ in dealing with borrowers who approach them about their distressed mortgages. What happens to a lender caught breaching this code? Well, the borrower (already in trouble with the lender) is free to lodge a complaint with the Financial Services Ombudsman. Where the lender complies with the code, the Central Bank explains that a solution will involve ‘forbearance techniques’ from the lender – reduce the monthly amount payable, extend the term of a mortgage, or add arrears on to the capital.

The Central Bank also tells us that ‘all mortgage lenders are currently piloting new forbearance and loan modification techniques to provide longer term and more sustainable solutions’. While pilot stage is better than nothing, it’s not much better – it is ‘advanced forbearance’. Apart from what various lenders have deigned to say about these new solutions, we have heard nothing from government or Central Bank. The banks have had plenty of time and space to explain their side of the story. We would now like to hear whether government thinks the banks’ proposals for advanced forbearance will actually produce fair, sustainable solutions for people.

While the code of conduct is not perfect, at least it forces lenders to engage with consumers on a residential mortgage debt. There is no such tool for other types of debt. Our experience in FLAC is that people have multiple debts and when they are pressed on one, it has knock-on consequences for others. Are we to believe that lenders seeking to minimise losses on a mortgage will care about any other debt? Speaking on the Personal Insolvency Bill on 18 July 2012, Justice Minister Alan Shatter TD said:

The reality remains that the banks, separately and internally, have no consistent policy for dealing with those who are totally weighed down by indebtedness and are facing circumstances in which it is appropriate to write down debt.

“This is society’s problem – and it’s not going away…”

The Personal Insolvency Bill presently being guided by the Minister through the Oireachtas will be one (woefully overdue) part of the solution. For those who can access its state-funded advice and advocacy services, MABS is another key element. But today, in many of those almost 170,000 households, people will choose between paying debts and eating properly. They will transmit their terrible tension and fear to other family members. They will feel at their wits end. So FLAC maintains that more, much more is needed.

During the last Dáil sitting day, Finance Minister Michael Noonan cited as ‘significant milestones’ the publication of the Personal Insolvency Bill, a mortgage-to-rent scheme and a website and telephone information line operated by theCitizens Information Board to provide information to mortgage holders. Milestones these may be, but they’re not going the distance needed.

In FLAC we’ve said it before and no doubt we’ll say it again. This is society’s problem. It is not going to go away unless we do something to clean it up. Our elected government, using the expertise available to it, must now finally come up with enforceable solutions that address this terrible, miserable, countrywide problem.

So yes, bring in the legislation so hopelessly over-indebted people can use it. It’s a good start, but we will not see it before the end of 2012. Yes, bring in the advanced forbearance, but if all that means is more sophisticated, reality-defying delaying mechanisms, then much more is needed. Lenders need to be forced to confront the reality of mortgage arrears with a bottom-line requirement to meet consumers’ interests.

Two serious gaps will remain even if this is done. People must be equipped to manage the millstone of their debt through expanded systems for legal and money advice and representation. And structures must be put in place right now to manage total debt, not just residential mortgage arrears. Most people want to pay their debts. They would like to do this in a dignified way. But at the moment, government inaction is stripping dignity and decency away from the people behind the figures.

Noeline Blackwell is Director General of FLAC. Prior to this role, she worked in general practice as a solicitor, with a particular interest in family law and in human rights law in general, refugee law in particular. She is a former chairperson of the Law Society’s Human Rights Committee and of the Irish section of Amnesty International. Noeline is a trustee of Front Line, the Dublin-based international foundation for human rights defenders at risk, and sits  on the boards of both the Immigrant Council of Ireland and the Citizens Information Board.

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Comments (41 Comments)

  • This is simply solved if Europe and our Irish leaders would take note .roosevelt dealt with issue of mortgage debt by recalibrating household mortgages to present time property values thereby reducing monthly repayments and increasing disposable income.the outstanding debt was parked and was repayed over many decades allowing the u.s. economy to repair itself .Norway has done this ,Iceland has done this David McWilliams has suggested it .our lot still have a bag over their head hoping it will go away

    Reply
  • Politicians don’t want to touch this with a 10ft barge pole. If you force banks to write down debt they will need MORE taxpayer money. They are just hoping the problem will go away.

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    • Yep you are right the macro economic perspective is missing in this argument. Instead it seeks absolution of debt with a prayer to Sr. Angela Merkel. Bless me Sr. Anglea for I have sinned. Please forgive me €200,000 worth of debt and I, with the help of thy troika promise to offend thee no more.

      Reply
    • ”83,251 households in arrears of 3 months or more and another 45,165 households which are not that far gone yet but have missed payments. Add to this the 40,221 ‘restructured’ loans not in arrears but which can only have been adjusted because borrowers couldn’t pay the full mortgage. That amounts to almost 170,000 households in Ireland right now”???????

      And how many hundreds of thousands more, in denial or falling for the false illusion of ”light at the end of the tunnel” fed to them by our bought out media, banks, and government???

      How many more people being bled of all their available money to pay long dead, unsavable farcical Celtic Tiger mortgages???

      Reply
    • The government will eventually have to admit that ”The Only Way Is Iceland”!!!

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    • HARRY MARKOPOLOS the sad fact of the matter is that you sold yourself into debt slavery because you did not listen to the voice of reason. Now it appears that one is still not listening and the Icelanders are paying their mortgages.

      Reply
    • What ever made you assume that I am a debt slave Charles?
      And yes Icelanders are happily paying their mortgages on new figures based on the current, uninflated, true market values (not false bank/government/media over inflated Celtic tiger, property ponzi scheme values).

      Reply
    • Evictions/Repossessions will no longer be tolerated,Join the Anti-Eviction Taskforce,Support Seamus Sherlock who is under threat of Eviction presently.New You Tube Video by the Anti-Eviction Taskforce.http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ePdVuDn2K78&feature=youtu.be

      Reply
  • Nappy 24/08/12 #

    I feel so Sorry for young people who took out massive loans cause they were told to I know they were stupid to buy in hine sight but the stress they must be under from banks must be unreal how can people afford 1500 euro a month which most of them are like if they bought between 04-08

    Reply
    • Well it’s not all stupid people now to be honest. The bank does it’s “stress tests” and that, we were informed we would be rigorously tested to ensure we could handle major market/interest rate swings and the bank would under no circumstances loan us the money unless we could handle it.
      You (used to) trust these people, after all, they’re professionals aren’t they??
      The bank threw money at us, in the end we took a mortgage of 80% of what the bank offered. We still ended up having to leave Ireland just to maintain our mortgage. You trust these “professionals” to advise you, to use their expertise – it’s their business.
      Who’d have known we’d have to pay for all the banks mistakes as well as our house.

      Reply
  • Big ask from Enda. Where is he going to find the balls to say it to Angela. He would rather sit on the fence until someone else makes the decision

    Reply
  • we would have been better off putting the billions paid to unsecured bond holders into a debt forgiveness scheme . I am sick of living in an economy , what happened to living in a society.

    Reply
  • Well written and the truth. The banks are dragging their feet while we all suffer. We own them so why are we not controlling them. Is it because our government is to much involved in covering up what really went on and/or they just spineless. I think it’s a bit of both.

    Reply
  • Debt forgiveness won’t just help those in dire straits, it’ll help the overall economy. The “moral hazard” argument doesn’t stack up. If people don’t start spending, then we will all have a lot more in common…

    Reply
    • But the problem is where to find this debt forgiveness from. As Eric says it’ll lead to more money being required in the banks. Money which the government don’t have and can’t borrow on the markets. So that means turning to the IMF/EU/EC who may not be willing to lend again or at least lend without additional conditions. Catch 22, to which there is no single solution.

      Reply
    • We’ve been pumping money into the banks to improve their debt ratios (recapitalising) and that hasn’t worked, so maybe it is time to look at the debt side of the equation. The money is needed either way.

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    • Does anyone really know how to fix this? I doubt it. However Government taking more and more from those people that can least afford it only makes things worse! This crowd are totally obsessed with paying off the bank debts. It’s one thing to reign in spending to balance the books, but to put people in this position so as to prop up the bastards that caused a large percentage of this disaster is tantamount to class cleansing! This country is rapidly heading for meltdown, and no one in power can see it. We’re all supposed to be celebrating, because Ireland is back borrowing in the bond markets! Ask Michael Noonan or Enda Kenny how this will help people trying to stay alive and keep a roof over their heads. Unless someone in power comes up with a miracle solution soon, it’s game over! I mean look at the propaganda being spread about social welfare for the last couple of months! It’s all designed to justify taking more off the poor, while the rich and powerful remain mostly untouched again! Joan Burton the poor people’s champion, while in opposition has to be the greatest actor in history! I’m seriously worried that Fine Gael/ Labour think they’ve succeeded in completely brainwashing the less well off, to the extent where they shall accept anything! I fear that we’re on the brink of massive civil unrest, that will ultimately set this country back generations!

      Reply
    • Interesting the way moral hazard doesn’t apply to the banks.
      They should have put the bank guarantee money into these mortgages, the debt would have gone away and the banks would have gotten their money anyway.

      Reply
    • Didn’t the banks get 7bn as part of recapitalization specifically for write down? Banks/Gov should publish how much has been written down.
      Either way, if 1 in 5 can’t pay the mortgage then they’re not spending in the domestic economy. This puts us all at risk…

      Reply
    • In 1991, Japan’s asset/property bubble burst. It’s government responded by shoring up zombie banks and placing the burden of it’s zombie economics on it’s taxpayer. Japan’s economy has not recovered in twenty years and has only experienced anemic growth.
      Iceland had no choice but allow banks fail. It’s economy has since returned to growth and it’s government has been in a position to allow struggling mortgage-holders a writedown.

      “In Iceland, banks were made to accept reductions in mortgage interest payments of up to 40pc and the most distressed households had a portion of their outstanding debt written off.

      The economy there has now recovered remarkably since its bank-led collapse in 2008.

      The IMF said the lessons showed that “policies can help avert self-reinforcing cycles of household defaults, further house price declines, and additional contractions in output” and made a case “for government involvement to lower the cost of restructuring debt, facilitate the writing down of household debt, and help prevent foreclosures”.
      Telegraph (May, 2012)

      Reply
    • Icelnad wrote down mortgages to the current market value plus 10%
      Interesting read here:

      http://www.businessweek.com/news/2012-08-12/imf-says-bailouts-iceland-style-hold-lessons-for-crisis-nations

      The IMF said this about Iceland all along though.

      Reply
  • The clear implication here is that banks are hounding the working poor but very many of those with underwater mortgages are rent-seeking professionals such as lawyers, whose canny mcsavvy investments went south. Just sayin’

    Reply
    • I am discussing home owner mortgages here not speculative borrowing. That’s probably a different discussion

      Reply
    • I am also including home owner mortgages here. To allow those who over-borrowed to simply stay in luxury houses while taxpayers take the hit is not acceptable. Perhaps allowing the properties to be sold at market value and doing a deal on the remaining debt could be a way out for those truly in trouble. This would also help restore the property market to sane price levels. But there are very many wealthy property owners who are betting on blanket debt forgiveness instead of trading down.

      Reply
  • If you know you can afford to pay a mortgage then you probably can. If you know you can’t pay for a mortgage then you probably can’t! If you pay you stay, if no you go!

    Reply
  • The government should have recapitalize the banks by paying down mortgage debt….. Simples

    Reply
  • why do banks feel it justified to throw/evict people out of their homes????
    wouldnt it be better to leave the family there
    when there in in place a means to place an attachment order in the courts on a persons wages to recover money.
    its not like the banks will ever loose money!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
    sure don,t we the tax payer allways bail them out !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
    where,s the money our goverment took from the pension fund to bail out AIB in the 70s 80,s have they paid a penny/cent back ?????????????
    no but by CHRIST they have paid themselfs some large bounses
    thats where we the ordinery people went wrong
    we were/are honest people
    we put our hands up when its our fault
    take the pain&suffer the fallout .
    but banks they let everyone suffer for their mistakes
    and still pay them self a bonus & perks

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  • with due respect to Mr Charles Windsor could,nt have said it better
    YER THE MAN

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  • According to you lot I should give up getting up at 6.30 and wait for a write down. Sure if you start writing down one mortgage you might as well write down all the negative equity ones out there too. Good luck with that.

    Reply
  • What’s the problem here? During the boom times you climb on the property bandwagon, throw caution to the winds and without thought accept a loan from the bank which has now become a millstone. Diddums!
    Those nasty bankers took advantage of a poor gombeen customer and should cancel your debt immediately. Bet you didn’t see yourself in that light when you were trying to impress family and friends. Man up and pay your debts.

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    • Yeah and what exactly are they supposed to pay it with? “air”??? Many were earning far more then than they are now.

      Reply
    • So! Ever heard of planning ahead?

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    • @ Marist.
      Save your jibes for the 850 NAMA sleevens that racked up €72 Billion (that they wont pay back)
      Or the TD’s and civil servants who gave themselves big raises (that they wont pay back) out of the stamp duty, CGT and all the other property related taxes in the ”boom ” years, that came directly out of the homeowners mortgage checks.
      The house had the dice rigged.
      Most people just wanted to buy a basic house for their family to live in.
      Even after all the middle men and vested interests got a big cut out of their mortgage check and split, you will find that the only one who is trying hard to keep their side of the bargain is in fact the homeowner (that you slag off).

      I am glad to see that more homeowners are waking up to the fact that they were shafted by a ponzi scheme ran by the government, banks and their vested interests.

      Reply
  • Why pay your mortgage when you have an army of supporters saying defaults are acceptable and will be covered by the taxpayer. Lets get the domestic economy motoring by taking money from the rest of society and putting it in the pocket of the debt defaulters. Sound logic.

    Reply

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