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Dublin: 13 °C Wednesday 22 May, 2013

Poll: Do you think the outcome of the US election matters for Ireland?

This time next week we will know whether its President Obama for four more years or president-elect Romney. But will it really matter for Ireland?

Image: Pablo Martinez Monsivais/AP/Press Association Images

THIS TIME NEXT week we are likely to know whether it is Barack Obama who will be the US president for the next four years or whether his Republican challenger Mitt Romney is president-elect.

The US election is closely watched around the world and that is no different here in Ireland where most people will at least have an interest in finding out who comes out on top in the 6 November poll.  But does it matter for Ireland who is the president of the United States for the next four years?

There’s little doubt Ireland is more disposed to a Democratic president than to a Republican if the reception for Obama on his visit to Dublin last year is anything to go by. But writing for TheJournal.ie last week David Cronin argued that it makes little difference whether it is a Republican or a Democrat who occupies the Oval Office as their foreign policies are largely the same.

So today, we want to know: Do you think the outcome of the US election matters for Ireland?


Poll Results:





Column: Europeans saying Obama has to win? It makes me want to scream

Read: 8 things we’re really missing from the 2012 US Presidential Election

Read next:

Comments (74 Comments)

  • “When America sneezes the rest of the world catches a cold” …… There is a certain amount of economic spin off to be had , a booming US economy is better for our exports.

    Its the economic policies, rather than the foreign policies that matter. The democratic polices are more geared toward imports & a global economy, the republicans want everything consumed by US, to be built by US.

    Reply
    • Nail – Head

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    • Michael, the republicans want to outsource all production. Romney made his living on it.

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    • In business yes, because the labour is cheaper abroad. But not as an economic policy.

      If you watched the 1st & Second debate, you’ll see that Romney has made it a key part of his agenda, to make the US competitive for cheap labour. He wants to ”bring home all the production” . He’d have a Foxconn in the US if he could.

      But yes, you’re right…. republicans in business tend to outsource a lot. (not the only contradiction they’re guilty of! )

      Reply
    • Una Dev 31/10/12 #

      No one in the Republican clan ever mastered economics. W. Bush cut taxes for families making 10′s millions each year. Trillions in tax breaks for the rich (like here in Ireland). They all have trust accounts, 10′s millions when they reached 21.

      Reply
    • Indeed…it’s the Economy stupid…always has always will!

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    • Michael 31/10/12 #

      Oisin.

      Every think about why he outsourced?

      Would you rather the company go bust and all of those people laid off? More unemployment? Is that what you want?

      If China is more competitive, then there’s obviously something wrong with things in America.

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    • @ Micheal… China is more competitive because the majority of their workforce work in inhumane conditions, long long days and for a pittance… And according to Romney, they artificially and unfairly keep their currency low.

      Reply
  • America is – at the moment – the most powerful and influentisl country in the world and therefore whoever becomes President matters.

    Reply
    • Forgetting about China are we. The country that basically owns America now.

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    • The importance of China has been largely overstated, the general standard of living there is still horrifyingly low and they are headed for an apocalyptic pension crisis. more powerful than the likes of us yes but not than the US. I don’t exactly see the Renminbi becoming the worlds reserve currency any time soon

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    • disagree ciaran, china may not have much influence in western europe as yet but they own an enormous chunk of africa and asia, they have been the biggest lenders in the world for a number of years, lots of eastern european countries owe them billions, so does the usa, people have been underestimating the strength of china for the last 30 years, maybe you recall they shot down an american spy plane and there was nothing george w bush could do to get it back, they returned it when they were good and ready, china does not require its citizens to have a high standard of living, that is why they are so difficult to compete with, it is their biggest strength

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    • @RP I guess it’s just an issue of how we interpret the position China is in. I can understand your point of view, many many countries owe China huge amounts of money which puts it in a strong position for negotiations and the presently low standards of living make it competitive as an industrial power. I would argue these could both be seen as weaknesses though, China’s economy is hugely reliant on manufacturing exports and is currently propped up by low wages, but China is still developing, wages are rising and try as they might the communist party cant stop western values and ideas like workers unions from seeping in. This also leaves it at the mercy of the global economic climate, manufacturing as been declining in recent times because American isn’t buying as much of its stuff. America knows their relationship is symbiotic and this puts China in the position where it cant afford to call in its debts because it needs the west. Couple the inability to call in debts with the One Child Policy induced, impended pension crisis and China is headed for stormy seas. In my opinion that is, all a matter of speculation and perspective

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    • @ciaran but they are highly innovative, for example, they are buying the sahara desert in order to cover it in solar panels, the type of wage rises you are talking about only effect a small % of the population, my brother works for a chinese shipping company, i tell you that manufacturing of cheap goods is becoming a smaller % of their economy all the time, they are building sports arenas, casinos, pleasure resorts all over asia and africa, they are buying up mines all over the world, they use economics to conquer countries, they loan hard up countries money, when the country cant afford to pay they take the place a small piece at a time, then its chinese wages for chinese hours, it is seriously underestimating them to think they need the west

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    • @RP If all that is true it completely terrifying, it’s possible my feelings on the west dependency are motivated by the hope it turns out to be the case, America gets a lot of stick from us Europeans but there’s not really another country I’d want as the world’s great superpower. I trust America, I don’t trust China.

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    • ciaran you wouldnt believe just how efficient these people are, for example, to clear the area behind the 3 gorges dam (biggest man made structure, has more concrete than nyc, cost 180 billion dollars) they displaced 80 million people, the population of germany, when they decide to move into a market of any product, like oil pumps for example, they build a brand new city that whole infrastructure is designed just to produce oil pumps, they make 95% of all renewable energy products in the world, they are talking about constructing a silica harvester and landing it on the moon to make solar panels there, while much of the population still lives on subsistence farming, the modern part of china is years ahead in its thinking

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    • I knew about almost all of this, not the moon thing though, that’s awesome. Its all only possible though because the government is not held accountable by the people, I wonder what happens when democracy truly comes to China.

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    • they will become less effecient if and when they achieve democracy, they may never achieve it, they’ve never had it, and maybe their next chairman will be less permissive than Wen Jiabao, they seem to have a long term strategy, for all the ‘communist’ practise they are the most successful capitalists in the world, almost every country has a thriving capitalist chinese community

      Reply
  • Main difference is Obama is a pragmatic realist; Mutt is deaf to everything but his moolah-mates and their bone-headed financial ideology. He is so badly informed and counselled he reckons Syria is Iran’s ‘outlet to the sea’.
    Back to Halliburton rule if Romney gets in. He’s ready to launch a war against a country he hasn’t bothered locating on a map. Antother Bushy glove-puppet.
    Obama is also more likely to resist the war-drive of an even more right-wing Israel after their pending election in January(I think its Jan, don’t quote me, Netayahu is linking into the harder right at the minute, done deal).
    If Romney gets in he’ll probably hit the button thinking he’s ringing for a flunkie. At least Obama will KNOW what he’s doing, even if he’s only obeying orders
    Quite a few commentators are reckoning we are closer to the mushroom farm than at any time since the Cuban missile showdown.
    Get your heads out of your greasy tills. There are bigger issues.

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    • there are just so many potential catalyst for war senarios in the middle east, if greece has a civil war, if turkey attacks syria, if iran or or isreal dont simmer down with each other, it the us and nato dont leave iran alone, if us pulls out of iraq or afghanistan thereby freeing up thousands of mujahideen to fight isreal, its a powder keg, looks doubtful that romney will get in now

      Reply
  • Barely matters they both have almost the same stance on foreign policy !! I also don’t understand the red thumbs given to other comments that suggest America is run by big business, it is !! Just look at their election process and lobbying regulations!!

    Reply
    • Absolutely.

      It wasn’t as if both major parties weren’t the creatures of Corporate & Wall St interests before, but after their Supreme Court ‘Citizens United’ decision, it’s the 1% all the way now.

      The US is no longer a democracy in any meaningful sense. Global oligarchic empire is what it is.

      This is not good for anyone of the 99%, no matter where they live.

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  • It matters more to the next country that is going to be ‘liberated’ I’d say.

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  • It is not just an important issue for Ireland but for the entire World. “When the US sneezes the rest of the World catches a cold”

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  • Romney has 17 (out of 24) foriegn Advisors from the Bush Admin. Alot of these are Neocons…

    War with Iran is on the cards if Romney is elected. If you take Debate 3 out of the picture this guy has already budgeted for a war with Iran.

    These guys have invented reasons before to go to war, they will do it again… Does that effect Ireland? Yes. His advisors are also the guys who set up the mass exordinary extradition and tortue units around the world…

    Prepare for War if Romney is elected… What stocks do I buy to take advantage of that?

    Reply
  • It won’t make much difference really as even if the US economy improves, European countries will still be crippled by the EU’s inability to sort the problems in the eurozone.

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  • In a country whose GNP (fuelled by American multinationals sited in Ireland for the European market) dwarfs its GDP (fuelled by Irish exporting companies), of course the US president and the policies he or (dream on) she institutes make a huge difference.

    Reply
  • The candidates’ agendas are so similar, I’m not sure it matters to the US even.

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  • Correct me if I’m wrong, but, did Obama not implement a policy that sought to reclaim all American-founded multinationals? A policy that looked to reign in all of these companies and try and get them back to America, rather than continue to produce their commodities in foreign lands? Considering Ireland relies so heavily on FDI and multinationals operating in our country, you could argue that it would be better to have Romney as the president, at least for us. I’m not too informed about Romney’s overall economic policies, but, Obama’s stance seems to be at the detriment of countries like Ireland.

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  • Of course it matters we are the 51st state!!

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  • I reckon we are ok sure Romney isn’t the best in Geography now is he? Ah bless him and the little horse and bayonette he rode in on!

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  • If Romney wins he will Nuke us, mistaken us for N.Korea!

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  • Can someone tell me why it matters which president wins? No matter who is elected, it’s the banks and business elite who control the Government there. Makes no difference to Ireland. business is business really. Our corporation tax rate will make investment attractive regardless.

    Reply
    • so what ur sayin is “it don’t matter if its black or white”

      Reply
    • It does matter a bit, both Romney and Obama want to bring American companies back to the States and boost their employment and manufacturing ability. So both will be targeting companies in China and Ireland for example. The difference is how extreme they will be.

      You’ve got Obama talking about how he wants to rejuvenate the US, and Romney is going so far as to declare a trade war between the US and China.

      Reply
    • @Jason that doesn’t really apply here. Companies like google and intel need a HQ on every continent they can’t just be pulled back to the states. These are multi national companies and the services and products they provide mean they have to be spread out. When they say that they’re talking about manufacturing jobs. The only example I can really think of where we’re a world HQ is maybe Accenture. However what they might try do is funnel more taxes back to the US. And that’d be bad for us. At the moment the UK are pissed because all the money google makes there comes back in tax here lol. So the US will wanna close similar loopholes!

      Reply
    • The only reason it matters is how we and the rest of the world perceive the country.
      After the last A-hole that was running the shop Obama seemed like a nice relaxing shot of morphine,
      But essentially I agree that he is just the face of corporate America at the end of the day.

      Reply
    • Im not saying anything. Im just gauging peoples thoughts from the poll response. Of course Obama being elected the first black president broke down racial barriers but the question asked by the journal was “do you think the outcome of the us election matters for Ireland?” does it matter really? Do you think America cares what we think? I doubt it, much like the eu cares about our economic woes.

      Reply
    • The bookies are rarely wrong when it comes to elections and their odds have Obama as a clear favorite. If Romney is elected, he will go to war with Iran as he has hinted in the debates and he plans to increase military spending by trillions of dollars. War is bad for every nation, the price of oil will go up beyond what most people can afford at the very least. Also the ideology of the right wing, empathy lacking, woman suppressing, bible fearing republicans is not something I want our politicians to be influenced by.

      Reply
  • I believe it matters from the point of view that the US economy is a key (not the only, but nonetheless vital) global economy, and the world’s economies depend to an extent on how the US economy fares out. If Obama is re-elected, he will be a lame duck for the next 4 years due to his problem in Capitol Hill. A lame duck president will not be able to effect any meaningful or real change, therefore the US economy will limp on as is, with all the consequent global effects. Romney on the other hand could be worse than Obama, in which case the US economy will limp on as is, with all the consequent global effects. Or, he might actually be able to do something which makes a difference, and he has Congress behind him and not curtailing him. So, for the chance of US economic improvement, and the hope of global economic improvement, there is a strong argument that voting Romney in matters to us.

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    • Sorry Prof,
      ..but you reckon the economic model of neo-liberal wealth/poverty polarisation is NOT broken and not needing a major re-fit?
      More of the same and we’ll be grand?

      Or do I misread you?

      Reply
    • What you’re saying is a man who wants to cut taxes to the wealthy and massively increase the military budget (already the worlds largest) while operating with a 1 trillion deficit is what’s needed?

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    • They’re taxes on the wealthy are still higher than here. Our 12.5% corp tax (tax on profits) is a business owners wet dream. And it’s been one of the few successful irish policies as its brought in foreign investment and created jobs.
      Democratic for social issues and foreign policy.
      Republican for economic issues.

      Reply
    • Yes… R has proved it again and again ..he is a biz wiz..O is an empty suit , he has hamstrung the country..

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    • Republican for economic issues?

      Reagan’s Savings and Loans scams collapse…retrieved by Clinton who handed a thriving situation on the Cheyney/BushwhackInc…who sank it with overheated deregulation(which Clinton also contributed to).
      You not only simplify, you distort.
      Obama inherited a mess, but is hamstrung by the real managers, the military/industrial lobby-levered ‘invisible hand’ players who think the resources(including the human resources)of the planet are just chips in their spherical tax-havened casino.

      Reply
    • toorkeel 31/10/12 #

      @Damien (Donegal Catch)….maybe if you put as much thought into contributing to this economy by paying your dues, people might listen to your views on how the US should operate economically and socially, but since you don’t, well….

      Reply
    • Well well well

      The toorkey has landed..

      …and still spouting personalised insult to distract from issues; and in the royal plural no less.

      Stalking and trolling like the failed bishop you dress up as, eh, toork..gobble gobble.

      Reply
    • toorkeel 31/10/12 #

      Touched a nerve Mr (Skin)Flinter have I, Failed bishop eh? Beats an Orangutan I suppose…I think its you that is distracting from the real issues…you are the 5% of habitual non contributors that leech amongst us!

      Reply
    • Your a sad, unhappy little man toorkee…

      That you prefer bishops to honest animals speaks volumes for your predilections.

      Sorry for destroying your economy and leaving you saddled with a sub-prime negative equity millstone(appropriate neckware for a bishop, now I think on it).

      My superpowers slipped that morning, mea culpa.

      Reply
    • toorkeel 31/10/12 #

      Don’t worry your little head about me Flintstone, thankfully I wasn’t unfortunate enough to get caught in that subprime trap as I didn’t fall into that category….I find your concern touching though. I hope the pic in your avatar wasn’t taken in your backyard in a small North Galway town….you know what they say about similarities between pets and owners….

      Reply
    • You are a tiresome little troll, toorkee…

      And descending spirally into infantilism with your attempted insults. My uncle Fred was a far more three-dimensional man than you will ever be.

      You being a bishop’s pet, I’ll have to take your word on that subject.

      While your out of his bed, why don’t you stretch yourself and try a comment on the actual topic?
      Was it the bishop got you your cushy number?Tell us again how much the hourly rate for pro-trolls is?
      Does his grace like his catamite’s anonymity when you try to intimidate?Why not post my phone number and address..you obviously have the files. Stay futile.

      Reply
    • hahahaha ‘stay futile’ must remember that

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    • toorkeel 31/10/12 #

      I have to admit Skinflinter, your comeback made me laugh,very witty, well done. Your simian features do not do you justice! I really dont know what your obsession is with Bishops, did you spend some time in their “care”. I think you might have deeper running issues that maybe need ad(un)dressing….as for staying futile, people in glass houses and all that. This from an orangutan who has never contributed anything to the State yet is happy to syphon its depleted resources weekly….as I said before you are not in a position to talk about a nations economic policy when the likes of you continue to leech….maybe if you spent less time trying to right the worlds “wrongs” and do something more constructive like get a job, the world might not be such a big bad place for you….I hope the kitchen table and chairs arent in thesitting room fire yet with this chilly spell we are having, you could run out of fuel soon….brrrrrr!

      Reply
    • So lets get this straight, toorkey

      Those of us disemployed by whichever of your uncles got you a cushy number in the public service so you can leech a state salary to abuse us like the spoiled brat you are..have no right to an opinion or a voice or food or heating.

      If you had one ball you might put your name to that, then we could meeet you for further elaboration of your fascistic agenda.

      Blueshirt?

      Or pink lipstick on its collar?Somehow, by the bile, I suspect the latter.

      Reply
  • If Romney wins it mean both the US and Russia being run by religious nuts and I’d rather not be caught between two men who believe in life after death.

    Reply
  • The way I see it: yes! It does matter for Ireland. Our Irish-Americans and supporters of Ireland will always be met with open arms. If Ireland ever gets the opportunity to withdraw from the Euro currency, America will be our biggest trading partner and more significant than the entire Eurozone. I personally welcome any president that reinstates the Ireland-America fund and reinstates U.S support to Ireland during this difficult time. We also need reforms to lower the Fianna Fail era of bloated salaries to politicians and giveaway waste but I am confident the Irish people will embrace a new Irish Pound that offers hope for our mot important partner; the USA.

    Reply
  • TOT 01/11/12 #

    Whether or not it will happen in the next four years either way, the illegal Irish in the US haven’t a chance if Romney gets elected as he said he is not going to help the undocumented. At least Obama talked about an amnesty!

    Reply
  • For good or for ill, the election results in France earlier this year and Germany next year are of more importance.

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  • Ya definitely, if obama is re-elected it will b v gud for our tourist industry in Moneygall where his ancestral home lies. The village has got a new lease of life since the connection was made, more businesses opening and a lot more visitors, thus creating new jobs!

    Reply
  • Yes because the recovery of the American economy is a prerequisite for the recovery of ours. I am also concerned that Romney’e neocon advisors will push him into a war with Iran and that this will spril into WW3, and intensify polarisation between the West and Muslim world. That could lead to more Islamic terrorism against Western countries.

    There are allegations that the GOP are planning to steal Ohio the way they did Florida in 2000. It has been claimed that there are links between the Romneys and the Hart Intercivic voting machines used in some counties there through Tagg Romney’s company Solamere. Also the GOP control the elections in the state through the Ohio Secretary of State’s office. In 2004 there was a mysterious flipping of 300,000 votes from Kerry to Bush, and when the new SoS (a Democrat) was elected and moved in, the GOP staff were found to be shredding documents. The courts ordered this to stop, but it continued anyway. 58 counties in Ohio shredded their election records. Also, two thirds of Provisional Ballots were allegedly shredded. Provisional Ballots are ballots you use when you find you are not on the electoral register even though you should be entitled to vote. Under Ohio law they cannot be counted until November 17th.

    The Republicans have introduced a rule seemingly designed to get more people to vote with Provisional Ballots. SoS John Husted ruled that if you make an error on your absentee ballot, you cannot fix it by phone/mail notification. If you turn up at the polls after such a mistake, you must instead use a Provisional Ballot – the same kind that were shredded by the GOP in 2004. The exit polls in Ohio in 2004 said Kerry had won but that is not what the ‘count’ said.

    “Leader of the free world”? Gimme a break.

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  • Don’t think it matters all that much, it seems to matter a lot to journalists though. Paper never refuses ink and all that.

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  • It’s the lobbyists, stupid

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    • Romney is not the right man to be president if he gets in to power the world will be more unstable he will attack Iran , destabilise the Middle East and have Israel dictate how the Middle East is run . Hopefully Obama gets another term .

      Reply
  • Not as much as they used to.

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  • I think the media spend too much time on the coverage of American elections we should be concentrating more on getting a fair deal for every person in this country that’s my rant for today

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  • Of course it does we are the 51st state!!

    Reply
  • If obama wins the dollar will devalue wildly an therell be a rake load of jobs at lockheed martin assembling unmanned fighter drones to kill muslim children ,

    If romney wins the dollar will pprobably get stronger and america will become another place for us to emmigrate to

    Reply
  • Obama has promised to cut corporation tax in order to bring American corporations home. This has the potential for draining investment from Ireland.
    But Irish people will continue to think he’s the best thing since sliced bread because he’s a Democrat, the Irish Times and RTÉ will tell them they have to support Obama. He’s Irish, came here once and was photographed drinking Guinness and then went and made a by the numbers speech.
    If Ireland didn’t have such low national self esteem it might wake up to the fact that another Obama term will be detrimental to our economy.

    Reply

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