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All to play for: Timely opinion poll shows FG dropping and FF catching

The poll has been released as the country faces a potential election.

Varadkar could be facing an election six month after becoming Taoiseach.
Varadkar could be facing an election six month after becoming Taoiseach.
Image: PA Images

A NEW OPINION poll has put Fine Gael and Fianna Fáil almost neck and neck as the country faces a possible Christmas election.

The poll, carried out by Red C Research of behalf of the Sunday Business Post, has Leo Vardakar’s party just one percentage point ahead of Micheál Martin’s after dropping two points since a similar poll last month

The poll comes amid the continued controversy over an email sent to Tánaiste Frances Fitzgerald concerning garda whistleblower Maurice McCabe.

The fallout has led to both Sinn Féin and Fianna Fáil tabling motions of no confidence in Fitzgerald with the Taoiseach and his ministers supporting her.

It has led the country to the brink of election with this latest poll being among the most anticipated opinion poll since the February 2016 ballot that returned Fine Gael.

Research for the poll was undertaken between Monday and Thursday of this week and the results are as follows:

  • Fine Gael 27% (-2)
  • Fianna Fáil 26% (+1)
  • Sinn Féin 16% (+2)
  • Independents 10% (-2)
  • Labour 6% (-)
  • Ind. Alliance 4% (-)
  • Green Party 4% (-)
  • Solidarity/PBP 3% (-1)
  • Social Democrats 3% (+1)
  • Renua 1% (+1)

The changes in the poll are compared to a previous Red C poll from last month and sees Sinn Féin regain the two percentage points it had lost in that poll and Fianna Fail regaining the one point it had lost.

Fine Gael had dropped one point in last month’s poll and this latest poll means that Varadkar’s parties has lost ground in two successive polls.

Read: Most people want Michael D Higgins to serve a second term as President >

Read: Over half of voters would back a limited liberalisation of Ireland’s abortion law >

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About the author:

Rónán Duffy

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