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Dublin: 6 °C Tuesday 18 June, 2013

First candidates named in Dublin West by-election

The election is eight weeks away, but we already have a few candidates – though larger parties are yet to name theirs.

Dublin Zoo hasn't yet commented on whether it will be fielding its Orang-Utan in the Dublin West.
Dublin Zoo hasn't yet commented on whether it will be fielding its Orang-Utan in the Dublin West.
Image: Sasko Lazarov/Photocall Ireland

Updated, 11.39

SINN FÉIN has named Paul Donnelly as its candidate in the October 27 by-election to fill the Dáil seat made vacant by the death of Brian Lenihan.

Donnelly, nominated at a convention in Blakestown last night, is the second candidate to be formally declared for the election, following the lead of the Socialist Party’s councillor Ruth Coppinger. 42-year-old Donnelly is the party chairperson in Dublin and is also a member of the party’s national executive.

This will be his second by-election campaign: he was the SF candidate in the 1998 by-election in Dublin North, caused by the resignation of Fianna Fáil minister Ray Burke and won by Labour’s Seán Ryan.

He has also unsuccessfully fought two local election campaigns, though he was co-opted to Fingal County Council in 2008, and was Sinn Féin’s candidate in February’s general election when he took 6.1 per cent of first preference votes.

Coppinger, the Socialist Party candidate hoping to join fellow party member Joe Higgins in the Dáil, has been a councillor in Mulhuddart since 2003 – replacing Higgins, who gave up his seat under the dual mandate – and retained her seat in 2004 and 2009.

No other party candidates have formally been declared yet, though it is thought that the Green Party will field Roderic O’Gorman, who earned 1.4 per cent of the first preferences in February’s election.

Speculation remains as to who will be fielded by the Dáil’s three largest parties; it is already known that the Lenihan family will not be putting forward a candidate, ending its 50-year representation in the Dáil.

Labour are likely to field Patrick Nulty, another councillor who was the last candidate eliminated in February’s election, while Fianna Fáil may opt for fellow councillor David McGuinness, who was Lenihan’s running mate at that time.

Other names mentioned for the Fianna Fáil nomination are Cllr Mags Murray, a former Progressive Democrat from Castleknock, or former councillor Brenda Clifford who was elected in Castleknock in 2004 but who did not run in 2009.

Cllr Kieran Dennison will be the likely Fine Gael candidate, having polled well in February, though there have been some suggestions that Pat Cox – who joined the party in order to seek its Presidential nomination – could yet find himself in an election campaign on October 27, as the party nominee.

This appears unlikely, however, as Cox joined the party’s branch in Cork North Central, where he lives, just three months ago. A more probable option may be Cllr Eithne Loftus, who was co-opted to Leo Varadkar’s council seat in Castleknock in 2007, and who reached a quota there on the first count in the 2009 local elections.

Government confirms October 27 as polling date for by-election >

Micheál Martin hits back at ‘blanket blame’ of Fianna Fáil >

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Comments (13 Comments)

  • Orang Utang all the way !

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  • SF have no base in Dublin West. If it was any pretty much any other Dublin constituency I would agree with you, but local factors there are against it

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  • No lenihans, good news.

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    • Brian Lenihan was a true patriot who put country before personal and party interests

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    • Given that he didn’t even put the welfare of his own father or how many of his colleagues in the party connived in robbing his father’s fund, treated his father like dirt before the party, then why in the name of Christ would we presume that he put Ireland first. The man probably had a touch of delusion or insanity about him, and I say that to give him a way out. Pretty much everything he said turned out to be a lie, often even shown to be a lie within minutes of him saying it and he didn’t even bat an eyelid. He was something indeed. History will not record him as a patriot, no more than Liam Lawlor, or Ahern or Haughey or Burke.

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    • Lenihan changed the universal levy for the senior civil servants who were the only people to have his ear. The rest of us could go and jump. Patriot my arse.

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  • Looks like a pretty safe Labour seat.

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    • I doubt it. Look at the latest Sunday Times Poll (FG 44% (+8), Lab 12% (-7)). It shows that Labour is losing support big time. We’ll have to wait for the RedC poll on the weekend to see if it’s a trend but if this trend continues, Labour won’t be taking the seat here.

      Even if Labour is still popular, Nulty is to the left of the Labour party. How can he campaign to be a government TD if it means supporting a budget in December of deep cuts? He might get support as being a “maverick” TD within the government, but he’d have to openly campaign as going in there to vote against the government. I can’t see an easy campaign for him. Talk of a Labour “sell out” will also go against him.

      Socialists are the dark horse here. They’re very strong in the constituency however a lot of it is a personal vote for Joe Higgins. It’s bizarre that Higgins took a council seat in Castleknock. Only he could do that. Coppinger will struggle to get support in middle class areas although there may be enough support elsewhere to give it to her. We’ll have to see how she performs as a candidate.

      Sinn Féin are coming from too low a base to take the seat although I think Donnelly will get enough support to be in position for a Dáil seat here at the next general election.

      I think Fine Gael are favourites here. Pat Cox would walk it if he’s the candidate although I think it’s more likely to be one of the councillors. Loftus would be a good choice as she would take most of the votes out of Castleknock while Dennison would be an effective way of getting votes out of Mulhuddart while Castleknock would be expected to vote mainly for FG anyway.

      I should explain that Dublin West is made up of two Local Electoral Areas or “Wards” for the Fingal Council elections. Castleknock which is more middle class and Mulhuddart which is more working class.

      Toss up between FG, Labour and Socialists at this stage. Too close to call for now.

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    • If FG are serious about making a break from the Gombeen/stroke politics of the past , then nominating the ultimate mé Féin candidate – Pat Cox, is not going to do that. He wouldn’t be guaranteed to win the seat either. It would make FG look like awful, trying and trying to ram Mr. Party hopper in to any seat. If Kenny wanted him in that bad he should have made him a senator and not worried about votes.

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    • Yeah, I doubt Cox is interested. He’d only be a backbencher for 5 years then he’d probably retire. Next GE in Dublin West would be himself and Leo fighting for one seat. Leo would probably beat him and I’d say he knows that. Cox is too big for the backbenches. It’ll be one of the councillors.

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  • I reckon Sinn Fein could take the seat, they are to the left of the Labour but to the right of the Socialists so they are just radical enough for the electorate, also Sinn Fein can rely on more big names to canvass than the Socialists. Being the area the election is in and the current situation I doubt FG or FF would take a seat

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    • I think that it will be Lab. on the back of SF and Soc. transfers. The real unknown is how will Coppinger do, will Joe H’s vote transfer or is is a Joe Show. I think that the order of parties will be
      1 – Lab
      2 – FG
      3- Soc
      4- SF
      5 – FF
      6- Greens

      Reply
  • HERE WE GO THE USUAL BARNEY SHAMROCK POLITICS ASSHOLES

    Reply

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