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Dublin: 18 °C Wednesday 19 June, 2013

Poll: Would you buy a house in the current market?

With Ireland at the bottom of the table when it comes to falling property prices, we’re asking if it’s a good time to put down a deposit…

NEW FIGURES FROM Global Property Guide have revealed that house prices have fallen even further in Ireland than this time last year.

The survey has also found that the Irish housing market suffered the biggest drop in prices in the world in the past year, down 14.84 per cent compared with the same time in 2010.

With house prices in Ireland continuing to fall we’re asking if you think it’s a good time to put down a deposit? Would you buy a house in the current market?


Poll Results:






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Comments (43 Comments)

  • Estate agents are still overpricing houses. There is value to be had if people have the sense to put in low offers and not fall for the trap of getting into bidding wars.

    Reply
    • For the record – I choose to correct you slightly – Estate Agents do not overprice homes – unfortunately VENDORS DO !

      As a Chartered Surveyor / Estate Agent in Kerry , we just refuse to take on overpriced property , as it doesn’t ever sell and is valuable time wastage for us.

      Of course it is a great time to buy now – prices have fallen between 50-60% from the illogical highs of 2006-2008.
      We reckon values are now at 1998-2000 levels.
      Therefore if one can get the mortgage – it’s not rocket science to see that homes are "a buy " now!

      Reply
    • Estate agents do overprice houses. Vendors retain estate agents and pay them 2.5+% and are advised by the estate agents what price to put on a house, and then whether or not to accept a bid.

      Why else would one house on Donore Ave D8 be €450,000 (http://www.daft.ie/searchsale.daft?id=590499) and then another 4 houses down be less than €250,000 (http://www.myhome.ie/residential/brochure/94-donore-avenue-south-circular-road-dublin-8/421493)

      Also 4 bed victorian houses in harolds cross with similar or lower asking prices than 3 beds in Kilmainham?

      Part of the problem could be that house vendors are represented by agents, but buyers are not.

      Reply
  • Bought last year, and my mortgage was similar to my previous rent. Now? 5 interest rate hikes later things aren’t so rosey!

    Reply
  • When prices are rising no one can foresee the top of the market. When prices are falling no one can foresee the bottom.

    Anyone that buys a home now to live in for the next 10-15 years is going to be just fine. Sure prices may drop a little more but you’ll only know when they’ve reached rock bottom when it’s too late.

    There’s a lot of negativity out there from people and some are just downright ignorant and rude – with their holier than thou attitudes smirking at those that have bought. These will be the same people that will say in 5 years time that they actually predicted the bottom of the market.

    Reply
  • Looking to sell & hope to buy ! Fingers crossed

    Reply
  • I am buying this month. all the better stuff is being sold 4 beds and detached stuff and with no new houses being built there will only be apartments and semi 3 beds left soon. and the price is well affordable , 200 less than my current rent

    Reply
  • Fleetingwhim that makes good sense, corresponds with Morgan Kelly’s predictions too. We are all still all hooked on our property addiction.

    Reply
  • Whilst there seems to be glimpses of value out there – why do we still think that quarter of a million (€250K) is a great deal for the average worker !!

    Also some very bizarre pricing still – 1 bed (ex- corporation house) in Dungarvan, Co Waterford for €355K, posted only yesterday on Daft.ie

    Reply
  • I would buy if I could afford it or if there was a government backed first time buyers mortgage .

    Reply
    • I heard that NAMA were offering properties with a guarantee against up to 20% loss in the first five years? Can anyone confirm that?

      Reply
    • NAMA is trying to put an artificial floor under residential property on its books with this subsidy (if approved by government). This would not just inconvenience private sellers, since they couldn’t offer a similar sweetener, but it would completely distort the market, and possibly trigger a mini-bubble in NAMA properties. The last thing the country needs. Set against that is the continued decline in commercial property and the lack of interest in buying into this end if the market. Not much confidence in a recovery short term there. There is a huge amount of vacant property in the state, add in rising mortgage distress and a government intent on spending less and taxing more, property can only continue to drift downwards.

      Reply
    • Look into County Council Shared Ownership Schemes. We couldn’t afford a deposit, but paying a mortgage was cheaper than renting (plus, our landlady was selling our rented house, so we had to move on anyway). The council pays for the house upfront, then you pay them rent for half the house (or whatever agreed percentage) and pay them back as a mortgage for the rest of the house. The rent portion of what your paying is still being pi$$ed away, dead money as they say, but you’re not answerable to a landlord, the house is yours essentially. The rented portion just has to be bought out within 30 years.

      We bought our house 2 years ago, and while we’re not too happy with the drop in value, we’re not trying to sell so it doesn’t really matter. Rents haven’t dropped nearly as much as house prices, so people are paying over the odds either way.

      If I was well off enough to be considering a second home, I’d definately think about buying now.

      Reply
  • I don’t believe property markets have bit bottom yet.
    Even people who want to buy are struggling to get mortgages.
    As banks require larger deposits, I believe incentivising rent to buy schemes would have merit. This would allow renters to build up equity and they would be better placed to move on the property Market when things pick up.

    Reply
  • Can’t believe all the eejits who think now’s a good time buy in the middle of the worst property crash in Western Europe, and I mean the middle. Wait until we default on our debts in a few years’ time and property prices will plummet even further. Add to that the inevitable wave of mortgage defaults after the hundreds of thousands of people who have recently lost their jobs give up the ghost, and you have guaranteed falling property prices for the next five years at the very least.

    Reply
  • not at all @Stephen, I have been observing for years, I put in an offer for a different one at well below asking price and it was rejected, then I moved on, only offer what its worth, all offers are considered because there is so little buyers

    Reply
  • I closed a sale today on my holiday home. Got great value!!!

    Reply
  • Also it depends where you are, in Clare rents have not dropped much, and the apartments you mention @Stephen are so crap I would not take one for nothing

    Reply
    • I’m probably generalising with emphasis on Dublin so maybe you’re getting a great deal. I just think that if people, in general, haven’t learned from what happened then they deserve what they get. I think that prices will continue to drop and that there is better value to be gotten. Best of luck anyway, at least you’re willing to offer what it’s worth not what they claim it’s worth and move on if rejected. That is the only way to approach buying these days.

      Reply
    • Part of the fall in prices this year was the reduction in demand caused by inability of prospective buyers to get mortgage approval.

      Approvals for loans were 50% of last years rate.

      Last year 1 in 10 loans were being approved.

      Reply
  • Good luck to any one buying . I think it is a great time to buy , there is nothing like owning your own place . I got my first mortgage in 1984 when I was 21 and the interest rate were exorbitant 15.5%. There was a recession then too. .

    Reply
  • this is a great time to buy, if you have the money go for it

    Reply
  • @Tony With all respect I think you’re regurgitating some horsecrap that an estate agent fed you. 200 less than your current rent it may be but if the value of your house goes down another 20% and interest rates increase a few percent then that 200 saving would soon turn to a 200 cost. There are about 90k houses/apartments for sale in this country so to say that the better stuff is being sold is a little laughable: http://daftwatch.thepropertypin.com/

    Also, why buy a house when you have the comfort of renting. Not locked into anything and you can continually upgrade and change based on needs especially during a recession. Buying seems a little foolish at this point in time, in this country.

    Reply
  • buying in Clare , why thumbs down?

    Reply
    • Good on you for buying a house!

      There is a lot of negative consumer confidence bordering on depression around at the moment, Tony.

      Plus I imagine some of it is begrudgery on the part of those who bought at the top of the market and are in negative equity.

      What’s really annoying is that some of those in negative equity are in good jobs (part of the 85% who are still in work) can afford their mortgages and are STILL whining because they cannot change their house as often or as quickly as like they would like.

      Properties are not like a coat or a car.

      Reply
    • Why isnt a house like a coat or a car? It’s that silly attitude that got us into this mess in the first place.

      Reply
    • I think they’re taking taking the piss mate. Ignore them. Good for you and good luck to you.

      Reply
  • I would buy if I had the cash but will always be very reluctant to take out a mortgage.

    Reply
  • Bought in late 2009, in negative equity now but nothing compares to having your own home.

    Reply
    • thats the right attitude to have what i dont get there is so many people moaning on about negative equity. if you own your home. and you buy your home so its yours and you will be there till you die all going well then why are most mortage holders moaning that there house has gone down in value if the reason you have is what i stated above is the idea of a motrgage it just doesnt make sense.

      Reply
  • Probably is a good time to buy but only by basing the purchase on a minimum 10% gross rental yield.

    Eg if the property gets €500 rent per month, equaling €6000 per year gross rent then the purchase price should be €60,000. (€60000 x 10%= €6000)

    However the 10% gross rental yield should only really be used in Western European countries where they have 100′s of competing banks that are functioning somewhat better than our own basket cases.
    Also
    Rents are dropping here because nationwide the Government is cutting the rent allowance on a daily basis and thus as they are the largest rent payer in the State this has an immediate knock on effect on all values.

    Add in higher property taxes and charges on all those ”Oh So Wealthy” Property Owners (excluding The State itself and Nama And Co of course)

    Taking this into account maybe it would be safer to use a 15% gross rental yield to stress test the purchase price.

    Eg if the property gets €500 rent per month, equaling €6000 per year gross rent then the purchase price should be €40,000. (€40,000 x 15%= €6000)

    This may sound far fetched but if you look at
    what our government are willing to pay to accommodate people at the moment,
    what our government will be able to afford to pay to accommodate people in the future
    and
    what other Western European’s are willing to pay for accommodation (outside Paris,London etc of course)
    maybe €40 grand or €500 per month for decent comfortable accommodation to house your family in is enough to pay.

    Is accommodation overrated if you pay anything more?

    Especially now that we have to use your own money?

    Reply
    • Dermot D 27/08/11 #

      I agree that 10-15% should be the target for rental yields. The less desirable the area, the higher the rental yield one should demand. However, in the case of Dublin, rents are not falling. They have actually stabilised and in some cases, they are rising.

      I think overall that house prices will drop another 10% in central Dublin areas, probably 20-25% in the greater Dublin area and up to 40% in some other areas. I’ve noticed a increase in transactions for well located Dublin houses. In counties such as Leitrim, Mayo, Clare and Kerry, prices remain completely unrealistic. Vendors are holding out for high asking prices that they’re never going to achieve.

      NAMA remains a big factor. By keeping a large inventory of properties off the market, prices are being kept artificially high.

      The best buys at the moment are usually distressed properties and some executor sales.

      Reply
    • The maximum rental yield historically is slated for around 7%. Ireland was abnormally high in many cases compared to the northern Europe in particular. Because the yield on commercial property has fallen post-06 due to liquidations and examinerships, remaining tenants want/need a reduction in rent. The government has head jammed in sand as per usual on upward only reviews because of pension fund ‘concerns’.

      Reply
  • Cpm 27/08/11 #

    Very encouraging results – only a 3% difference between Yes and No. I wonder if equal % for both would indicate a tipping point?

    Reply

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