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Dublin: 14 °C Monday 20 May, 2013

Column: How badly does one have to behave to be knocked out of politics?

After a string of tribunals, political scandals and economic catastrophes, reports of Fianna Fail’s death were greatly exaggerated – but why? asks Maura Adshead.

Maura Adshead

IN JANUARY 2011, Micheál Martin apologised to the nation for ‘the mistakes we made as a party and that I’ve made as a minister’.

In the same speech the man who served as a government minister and cabinet member throughout that 1997 Fianna Fáil led government that is widely regarded as responsible for the depths of the current financial crisis, admitted that:

The biggest mistake we made – Fianna Fáil ministers and collectively as a government – was that we didn’t stand back from the general consensus in terms of raising expenditure and reducing taxes. Basically we reduced our tax base too much, we spent too much.

Now it looks like he and his party are on the up again and you’d be forgiven for wondering whether large parts of the electorate are suffering from collective amnesia. Who are these voters and don’t they remember how cross we all were with Fianna Fáil for leading the country into ruin?

They are, more likely than not, the ‘Fianna Fail faithful’ and they are not called faithful for nothing.

Fianna Fail’s relationship with Irish body politic

I’m reminded of the old joke about the Catholic who was asked if they’d ever considered divorce? “Never” was the reply, “but murder every day”. It’s funny because it’s true. The relationship between Fianna Fáil and the Irish body politic is just as deep and just as fraught, its both reflects and reinforces our political and social conventions and in doing so helps to shape the way that Irish politics is understood. It is cultural as much as political. And we are by no means the only European voters to forgive the mistakes of our political leaders.

In Italy, the extent of the full-scale sovereign debt crisis in autumn 2011, accusations of fraud and a touch of underage sex, led to Berlusconi’s resignation; yet barely fifteen months later his extravagant campaign promises make it impossible to discount his influence over the composition of the next government.

So, how bad does one have to behave to be knocked out of politics? Plenty bad and then some!

MacArthur case

In July 1982, Malcolm MacArthur bludgeoned a nurse to death in the back seat of her car, which was parked just outside the American Ambassador’s residence in Dublin. He was then escorted away from the scene of the crime by an ambulance whose driver, seeing the hospital sticker on the car windscreen, mistakenly mistook him for a doctor with patient. In August, MacArthur was arrested at the Attorney General’s residence, where he had been staying as house-guest for some weeks.

The Attorney General, no doubt in a state of shock, continued with his holiday plans and left the country for New York without making a statement to the police, thus adding to the immense damage to government. The Taoiseach subsequently described the affair as ‘grotesque’, ‘unbelievable’, ‘bizarre’ and ‘unprecedented’, leading to the invention of a new word, GUBU, coined by the journalist Conor Cruise O’Brien and widely used to describe some of the strange incidents that continued to dog that Fianna Fáil government and its leader, Charles Haughey.

Grassroots supporters

Did that lead to the end of Fianna Fáil?  No, of course not. Years later, after a string of tribunals, political scandals and economic catastrophe - just like Mark Twain’s unwarranted obituary – reports of Fianna Fáil’s death are greatly exaggerated. Why?

There are many reasons – some to do with our political culture and some to do with our political system – and only some of them related directly to Fianna Fáil and Irish voters. What is clear is that in our electoral system, the importance of political teams operating on the ground is hugely significant. In our system, a candidate with good ‘ground coverage’ in terms of party workers, constituency clinics, canvassers and supporters, will always have the advantage over candidates who do not enjoy this level of support.

The Fianna Fáil party has this in spades. So, the only thing that is really remarkable about Fianna Fáil’s fortunes during the last eighteen months is that even their own supporters and canvassers were so sick of them that they did not vote for them in the last election. What we’ve seen is a trial separation: but in a committed relationship, you can only stay mad for so long. After the heat of the row is over, you have to look to your options. Are you better off leaving a long term relationship that you’ve invested all your young years in to go find someone else? Are you really sure that anyone else is any better?

Fianna Fáil is up on the polls because the relationship it holds between its party and its people is for the most part a long-term and co-dependent one. Fianna Fáil people have forgiven the party and now they want to move on. The rise of Fianna Fáil in opinion polls is the return of its support base, picking up the pieces and moving on. For the rest of us who are still holding out for something better, the future is less easy to predict.

Maura Adshead is a Senior Lecturer in Politics and Public Administration at the University of Limerick. To read more articles by Maura for TheJournal.ie, click here.

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Comments (51 Comments)

  • Aim this question at Michael lowry and find out

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  • what I would like to see is accountability for their actions. what has happened to the politicians who got us into this dept, nothing.

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  • We need a political system that is totally transparent and accountable (and accountable retrospectively) until that time politicians and entire parties can and will continue to behave in the unethical and immoral fashion that they always have.

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  • Its’s wondersul that we are discussing this topic. However, little will change. If we want change, it must be initated by the people\voter. However, the majority of the voters are afraid of the unkown. In truth, the way politics are run in this country is reminiscent of the Feudal System. It is the Feudal system that required strong loyalty regardles of the wrongs of the king or Vassal.

    Our jobs as serfs and peasants is to work hard for the betterment of the vassal and the king.

    What has changed?

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  • Just consider the fact that you’ll get more people on a march opposing a tax to ensure clean drinking water than you will to reform the political system. We just don’t do long term. As Colm McCarthy said, the Irish assume that somewhere there is someone wise making all the grown up decisions so that we don’t have to. I have met people who voted for a Fianna Fail candidate (“He’s very good for the local area”) who were then livid that FF won the election! Even in our constituencies we vote for the local grafter and assume that some other constituency will vote for the serious leader. When the Bundestag starts reviewing our budget we get annoyed because the Germans have a proper parliament that actually holds the government to account. It never occurs to us to ask why the Dail does not do the same?

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  • It would be easier to get kicked out of jail ! We are a nation of co-dependent insecure people . We rant and rave about political issues everyday but we are petrified of change ! The only change that will happen is that which is forced upon us . Perhaps we should consider giving the reins to Angela M just for a year …..

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  • The problem with wanting a new party is that nobody can agree what is is for and against. Someone said to me recently “It’s for the ordinary people”. I asked who the ordinary people were? The answer was: “You know, teachers, nurses, civil servants, you know, the ordinary people.” The only party that seriously tried to change the political system in the last ten years were the Greens, and we wiped them out whilst keeping 20 Fianna Fail TDs. Truth is, the Irish people are for the most party content to politics as is.

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  • This article just made me realise it’s nearly 8 years since FF broke this country. Nothing has been done about this. FG/L are hoping everybody forgets.The Irish media are doing their best to convince everybody to forget. Let’s not forget! If we want change all we have to do is vote change, at the next election.Demand better politicians, by not voting for those that have been such a sorry disappointment to us all for so very long. Never forgive and never forget political corruption/croynism and the damage it has dove to everybody here. We will reap what we sow.

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  • The reason FF’s support is rising again is down to FG/ Labour proving to be every bit as incompetent as they were. The only difference being that despite FF’s record of corruption an downright criminality, they didn’t completely disregard the less well off. Whereas this crowd in power now have shown nothing but contempt for the ordinary person, who is barely keeping his or her head above water.

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    • while i agree with most of your post i would remind you that the same ff party cut the allowance to the blind twice in one year, but its true that theres a general consensus that ff are a bit closer to the people than fg, plus the hubris of fg and their supporters does them no favours, there can be no doubt that if there was a party with even a bare minimum of competence, these two dinosaurs would be made extinct

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    • The place is screaming out for a new party instead of the one or the other. And they know this wont happen. The crowd in opposition just have to hang in there, sure it’ll be their turn soon.

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  • How bad…? After watching Scannal on TV last night about the killers of Jerry McCabe and the support they got from Ferris, Adams etc….clearly there is no depth too low to be kicked out of politics.

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  • the biggest rise in any partys support/ popularity is sinn fein. they were 9% in the last general and 21% in the latest milward brown poll. thats well over double the support. FACT. ff polled 19% in the general and are 23% at the moment. thats not even a 50% increase. FACT. this is a media led renewl of ff because of the fear of SINN FEIN.

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    • Very good point Ian. God are we ever NOT being manipulated by the media. Can it ever be just news without a hidden agenda.

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    • Nope it can’t be, the media was designed to be a propaganda machine.
      One guy owns most media in Ireland. In US they have 6 people own all their media. Media propaganda is going on everywhere. I keep saying to people banks own corporation and the two own the political system. Governments are just puppets. I suggest people watch the zeitgeist, the movie. Knowledge is wealth.

      People said the world was round and they were laughed at. People go against what is being spouted by media they are called conspiracy theorists and laughed at. Watch that movie it is frightening. Starting from religion to war to banking.

      http://vimeo.com/m/13726978

      Reply
  • There are very few major scandals over the last 40 years in Irish politics, finance or society that do not in someway lead back to a FF Minister.

    Why would anyone join a party that has such a record of corruption and criminality?. Why would anyone vote for a party that repeatedly destroys the economy to enrich its own members?

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  • The only reason Fianna Fáil,s support is up is because the electorate want to punish the coalition for their broken promises in the march 2011 election. If there was an election in the morning that support would dissipate quicker than snow of a winter’s ditch.

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  • The simple fact of the matter is that the Irish people will vote for whoever offers them the best deal irrespective of whether they can deliver it or not. We have shown time and again that we are easily bought and will turn to the simple populist message whenever we can. We are still doing it even today. Nothing has been learned from the past few years, just as nothing was learnt from the last recession in the 80s or the one in the 70s.

    Currently Fianna Fail and Sinn Fein are doing well in the polls because they are in opposition so they can do exactly what Fine Gael and Labour did during the FF/Green government. They can promise us the sun, the moon and the stars because they don’t have to back that up. But you can be sure that if we got an FF/SF government after the next election within a year or two they would be as unpopular as FG/L are at the moment and we’d be turning back to them again because they would be shouting the populist message. This is especially true in a time of recession. Nobody wants to hear bad news. We want to be told that there is a simple way out of the mess when the reality is that there isn’t.

    Its easy to pretend that politicians are some alien breed that bear no relationship to us but its not true. We get the politicians we deserve because we are the ones who put them there time and again and again. It is for this reason that I don’t think the concept of Direct Democracy would work in Ireland. Its a laudable ambition but the fact is that if it was reality here we would just vote for the people who shout the simplest, loudest message.

    Leaving the specifics of this government or the last one, there are times when governments are forced to make difficult and unpopular decisions. That will never happen in an Ireland based on the direct democracy system. Let’s imagine some future time when global economic circumstances went bad again and it was necessary to raise tax or cut spending in order to balance a budget and protect the economy. Does anybody reasonably think that the Irish public would every directly vote for this? No we wouldn’t. We’d just simply vote it down and then find somebody to blame when our ecomony came crashing down.

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  • Lets make a list of what will not get you knocked out of politics, at the end anything left will get you knocked out of politics.

    Tax evasion? No.
    Drunk Driving? No.
    Cheating expenses? No.
    Corruption? No. Well maybe but those convicted were retired not sitting.

    Anymore?

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  • I think Adshead is right when she says that a lot FF core supporters are returning to what they know. if you look at the election numbers for the past 4 general elections you can see that FF went from having over 700k first preference votes in general election in both the 1997 and 2002 general elections to having over 850k first preference votes in 2007 before their massive collapse in 2011.
    Despite their vast unpopularity they still managed to get over 380k first preference vote last time out and these people clearly represent what one could only term as hard core FF supporters because if despite all the wrong FF did they were still willing to vote form them then they will never ever change their vote FULL STOP. One can probably consider that from the 1997/2002 election results that another roughly 300k people on top of this hard core group are generally FF voters but could not bring themselves to vote for them last time out voting instead for the nearest option in FG or others. Finally from the high of 2007 one can approximate that around 150k of those votes were swing votes based on their populist policies at the time.

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  • Please have a look at directdemocracy.ie. Its way past time for change here.The people of switzerland stopped the bankers getting bonuses the other day,just by signatures.We need a new political service,accountable to the people,and thats directdemocracy.ie.

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  • Politicians & bankers…both shown to be responsible for the bankruptcy & terrible state of the country,
    amazingly both of them still taking in salaries at levels that most people can only dream about…
    extraordinary situation..all being paid by ordinary taxpayers who can ill afford food, fuel, child minding etc..

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  • How badly does one have to behave to be knocked out of politics?

    Answer : You have to be honest and have integrity.

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  • One big problem is that about one third of people don’t vote. So, the other third vote for the party that gets into power and the other third for the opposition. If you can tap into the third that don’t vote then you would be on to something. FFs comeback and the SF/IRA rise shows a serious need for a new party.

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  • there is also the fact that Labour and Fianna gael have done so much damage that it is easy not to shift hate and blame onto them and forgive Fianna Fail. And it also helps Fianna Fail that the usual suspects we grew to hate who are now gone make it easier to say out of sight out of mind. maybe their followers believe its a new start with new faces. I don’t know anymore. I give up expecting change in Ireland. We just are incapable of real change. maybe when the politicians alive now are all dead change might come. Who knows. I wouldn’t hold my breath for any of the myriad alternatives out there. You have only to go on Facebook too the options but none of them seem to be getting organised or getting their act together to present a real alternative people can believe in. If so where are they on the public stage. If alternative political options do not become widely seen or available (facebook is not public enough thousands of people never even look at it) then people are going to fall back on the old reliables of Fianna Fail Fianna Gael Labour Sinn Fein Independents etc etc

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  • ColindeB 05/03/13 #

    With FF out of power, their ability to reward and therefore retain their supporters will be greatly diminished. Those supporters are hanging on in the expectation that they’ll get back into government at te next election (as they’ve always done before) with the gravy train resuming. Another term in opposition will finish them.

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    • About half of FF’s support base vote for them without caring what they stand for. It is just what they were brought up to do. However it certainly will take from its support base if it cannot buy off voters and also more importantly rent policy to the highest bidder.

      Their long term decline is still assured. A cancer that will eventually fade away from the Irish body politic.

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  • Good article.Psyche analysis.No mention thou of FFers voters age.>55. Ire a different place now corruption/cronyism won’t work.We have shaken off shackles Church that is closely aligned and twinned with

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    • we have? i pass the church every morning, lenten attendance looks strong enough, i see no other organisation drawing such a number to their hq every morning

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    • Máire, greta theory but the truth doesn’t align I’m afraid. The fact of the matter is that RedC (the most consistent and accurate polling company in Ireland as their history will attest) show that among the <35's the most popular party at the last poll was, Fianna Fáil. It is still popular with the elderly and it's the group in the middle that FF are lagging behind the others in.

      Also, you and indeed the author of this article, make the same error as a lot of commentators do and that is to allude to corruption/cronyism is somehow the sole possession of FF. It's not, nor has it ever been. In fact every single party in Ireland has a bloody nose on this and playing the blame game or the "we're holier than thou" game does nothing but perpetuate that problem. This needs cross-party solutions and commitments.

      Also, "……. Church that is closely aligned and twinned with". I don't even know where to begin pointing out how ridiculous a statement this is. Yes we do have religious members, but we also have secular members. It's immaterial either which way. We're Republicans first and foremost. Religion has little to do with it. In fact of the 4,000 or so people at the last Ard Fheis I recall meeting the sum total on 1 member of the clergy. Nice man but also, an observer, not speaking on nor voting on policy motions, the vast majority of which were put forward by the party's youth wing, Ógra.

      Detractors are always quick to run to tired old cliches and misconceptions to try back up their view point. The facts don't stake up however. As I've stated elsewhere, polls are polls and mean nothing. Constructive opposition is the way forward whether it's good/bad or indifferent electorally. I'll be advocating more of the same at our Ard Fheis this year during policy discussions. Think it's the duty of party members in all parties to do the same.

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    • It is the culture of FF at this stage that is the problem. There is an acceptance and admiration for the cute hoor or gangster in much of the party and its voter base.

      Look at the man arrested recently for trying to hire a “professional” to help him through some problems of a financial nature. Brought up in a culture where FF reps are often above the law. There was nothing that could be fixed or hidden away. The hero’s of the party were Haughey, Ray Burke, Ahern, Lawlor and hundreds of others and the current membership mostly came from the time they were all doing their deeds. Most didn’t care then, most still do not care. Haughey is still a God in FF.

      The bigger the stroke, the more the party loved them for it. It was to be emulated. When

      @ Máire Devine. I certainly believe that the levels of corruption and cronyism will not reach past levels again but I have no doubt that it will still go on, look at FF back in the mid 20′s. There is still a tolerance of corruption here.

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    • Every single time FF have been in power for a period of time, they have destroyed the country. DeVelera wrecked the economy in the ’50s (cue massive emigration) and handed over de facto social power to McQuaid. Haughey et al wrecked the economy in the early ’80s. Cue more massive emigration. Aherne and co managed it in the naughties. Not surprisingly the end result was massive emigration.
      The current leader sat at the cabinet table throughout the whole debacle of the last FF period of power. Do tell us why with such an unblemished track record of destruction that anther period of FF power would be different?

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  • FF are back because only lunatics consider the ULA and SF to be a real alternative to the Government.

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  • I’m pretty sure that it was Bruce Arnold who coined the word “GUBU”. All the references to the Cruiser seem to come from the same Wikipedia virus. He was 3 years out of the Seanad by the time the McArthur scandal broke.

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  • action speaks louder than words

    Reply

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