Support from readers like you keeps The Journal open.
You are visiting us because we have something you value. Independent, unbiased news that tells the truth. Advertising revenue goes some way to support our mission, but this year it has not been enough.
If you've seen value in our reporting, please contribute what you can, so we can continue to produce accurate and meaningful journalism. For everyone who needs it.
WHEN CARDINAL JORGE Mario Bergoglio appeared on the papal balcony as Francis on March 13, 2013, he joked that in electing a new Pope “it seems that my brother cardinals have gone to the ends of the earth to get one… but here we are!”
Long considered an Italian institution, the Polish Pontiff John Paul II became the first non-Italian Pope in 455 years when he was elected in 1978. It was a trend that continued with Benedict XVI – a German – in 2005, and, of course, the Argentine Francis in 2013.
Francis was a Pope of firsts, the first Jesuit Pope, the first Pope from Latin America and the first Pope from what westerners with a European lens describe as the ‘new world’.
From his earliest pronouncements as Pope, Francis made it clear that he wanted to shift focus away from Europe and concentrate more on the global Church.
At one level, this is because it is this global Church that he is more familiar with. At a deeper level, it is the Church outside of Europe that is growing and continuing to increase attendance.
The reach of the Church
Francis looked to his two immediate predecessors, both of whom expended considerable energy trying to get Europeans to appreciate their deep Christian roots, and saw they were unable to arrest the decline.
Francis believed passionately that it was the existential peripheries – those places far from Europe where Christianity is thriving – that would help Europe to rediscover the Faith.
Advertisement
He also worked hard to rebalance influence in the Church away from Europe so that the Church was more representative of the global membership.
Pope Francis has transformed the College of Cardinals – the elite bloc of Churchmen whose sole right it is to elect a new Pope – adding members from far-flung parts of the world in the hope that they will bring a different perspective, and crucially the perspective of poorer nations.
In 1939, for example, 55% of the cardinals who elected Pius XII were Italian. Today, Italians make up just 20% of those cardinals under 80 who are eligible to vote.
Of the 138 men eligible to elect Francis’ successor at a conclave in the Sistine Chapel, 54 are from Europe, 24 from Asia, 18 each from South America and Africa, 16 from North America, four from Central America and four from Oceania.
Ireland will not have a vote at the conclave since 85-year-old Cardinal Séan Brady lost the right to vote when he turned 80. Neither his successor in Armagh Archbishop Eamon Martin nor the Archbishop of Dublin Dermot Farrell have been given the coveted ‘red hat’ and admitted to the College of Cardinals.
An Irishman has never been elected Pope, and since the group usually chooses a Pope from among its own members, we can say with almost 100% certainty that there will not be an Irish Pope.
However, one influential Irishman to watch is Drimnagh-native Cardinal Kevin Farrell. He holds the position of Camerlengo of the Holy Roman Church and is therefore responsible for organising the papal election and assisting in the running of the Church in the period of vacancy known as sede vacante (the vacant see).
How a new Pope is chosen
Before there is a vacancy in the papacy – either as a result of the Pope dying or a Pope stepping down – it is considered la brutta figura (creating a bad impression) to discuss possible contenders, and canvassing or electioneering is strictly forbidden.
That being said, any Vaticanologist worth his or her weight in salt always has a list of so-called papabili – the men who they think could become Pope.
Related Reads
'Pope Francis did some good, but on the issue of clerical child sex abuse, he was disappointing'
'A man who died with his boots on': Tributes paid to Pope Francis following his death
What happens during a real-world conclave?
It is a notoriously risky business, and the old saying in Rome is that he who enters a conclave as Pope exits as a cardinal, meaning there’s no guarantee one of the cardinals thought to be a frontrunner will actually be chosen.
Before thinking of a candidate, most cardinals will reflect on the sort of Pope they want. Before his election, Francis had emerged as someone who would prioritise reform. His predecessor, Benedict XVI, had been seen by his confrères as someone who would continue the ministry of John Paul II. So, a Pope in the mould of Francis, or someone radically different?
Age is also likely to feature. A young-ish Pope, as John Paul II was in 1978 aged 58, is likely to have a long pontificate. An older man, like John XXIII who was about to turn 77 in 1959 will have a short pontificate.
Geography will also play an increasingly key role. Many of the cardinals from Asia and Africa feel that the Church in the global south has long since come of age, and they are keen to assert this on the global stage. They are unlikely to throw their weight behind a candidate who is European or North American.
As the success of the hit movie Conclave shows, the most elaborate electoral system in human history – cardinals locked in a chapel letting the world know whether we have a new Pope or not by smoke signals – has lost none of its power to captivate and fascinate.
Michael Kelly is Director of Public Affairs for the papal charity Aid to the Church in Need, Ireland. A former editor of the Irish Catholic, he is an expert on Vatican affairs and has covered papal transitions in 2005 and 2013.
Readers like you are keeping these stories free for everyone...
A mix of advertising and supporting contributions helps keep paywalls away from valuable information like this article.
Over 5,000 readers like you have already stepped up and support us with a monthly payment or a once-off donation.
To embed this post, copy the code below on your site
Close
16 Comments
This is YOUR comments community. Stay civil, stay constructive, stay on topic.
Please familiarise yourself with our comments policy
here
before taking part.
@Mary Toilet: I’ve been saying it for years Mary, the only religion The Journal kicks lumps out of is Catholicism. You never hear a peep outta them about Islam!
@Paul Gorry: Mary and Andy remind me of the Bill Murray quote, it’s difficult to win an argument with an intelligent person but impossible to win one with a stupid person. Leave them to their mouthbreathing
@Andy Felthersnatch: All religion is a scourge. Given that Catholicism is unquestionably the largest paedophile ring we know of in human history it’s mad to think that it’s probably the tip of the iceberg.
The Church should not be running any schools at all, get this bronze age superstition out of children’s lives, especially the Catholic church with their track record on child abuse should not be allowed to have anything remotely to do with public schools
@Larissa Caroline Nikolaus: Absolutely. Let them learn it at home and in their church if they want. I’d love to know what 69% would be if it only included school children and their parents.
@Larissa Caroline Nikolaus: Sent your brats to a non-catholic school, easy peasy or does that conflict with your life coz the school on your doorstep happens to be run by the church?
@Larissa Caroline Nikolaus: The shîte that is being pushed on kids now is far more dangerous and nonsensical than it ever was. At least the church didn’t tell kids you can be whatever sex you want to be or a cat if you were feeling a bit feline. The new “educators” are far more insidious and sinister than they’ve ever been.
@Regular John: lol ya the cult of sex and shame marginalised women and those of a different orientation yet they were guilty of not protecting children from abuse or violence and brainwashed them into mythical stories of donkey rides in the middle East.
@Mary Toilet: oh dear Mary. You reveal far more than you might wish. You do know Allah yahweh and your god is the same abrahamic god you have all deluded yourselves with. Its all the same myth from the same place in the world and its all plagiarised from Judaism.
@Regular John: Have you not got the good sense to realise kids have the world of information at their fingertips now, just like you? Sure, you just go blame the wrong crowd for the wrong thing like the usefully manipulated mouthpiece you clearly are!
@: You’re ignorant. Folks like you are the reason young kids questioning their identities suffer in silence until some feel they have no option but take their lives.
@Regular John: With which kind of folk do you think a kid questioning would be more likely to thrive?
You and your ilk are protesting reality! Just because you can’t tolerate the new realities of the world!
That’s on you not me!
There’s only two ends to a spectrum and we all live inbetween. If your god is at odds with that, it’s time he joined Zeus and the rest of the primitive ‘gods’.
@Mary Toilet: I’d rather a Iman in charge of my kid’s education than a Catholic priest. Priests should never be allowed to have any contact with children.
Typical Journal, put up an article to appease the Atheists and while they’re at it, leave the comments open. A complete hypo-critical rag of a newspaper app.
@Damien Leahy: Right back at ye, Catholicism is the only religion which is ever criticised coz it’s fashionable to do so. With all the death and destruction at the hands of other denominations, Jews and Muslims always get a free pass.
@Andy Felthersnatch: If a religion requires children to be indoctrinated in it at school and prevented from learning about the hundreds of other religions that people cleave to then it is fundamentally weak.
Is your faith that weak, and if so why should anyone care if it fades out just like worship of Jupiter or Zeus?
Parents with children in these schools got to vote whether to change their school from a catholic ethos to a non-denominational ethos. So they obviously voted to remain catholic. While I understand where educate together are coming from how the hell could schools organise and let these parents vote? How could you guarantee that these parents were not voting in other schools also. I would prefer schools use their resources to teach children. They voted in our local school and 80% of parents voted to remain with the catholic ethos. I voted to change but thats the joy of living in a democracy you might not agree with decision but the majority rules.
@Maria Kelly: Democracy?? We had the same vote. An open letter survey sent to the school secretary is hardly a way to run a vote. It’s a joke. The church still control this country with an Iron fist. They are making billions out of private hospitals. An organisation that was found to intentionally hide child abusers (Ryan Report, Murphy Report) should not be patron of 80% of primary schools. Get rid of them ASAP !!
Let’s get some facts about CSA – the usual excuse for secularising schools here. A US Prof Shakeshaft made a study in 2004, 156-page report “Educator Sexual Misconduct: A Synthesis of Existing Literature”. Her conclusions are devastating-for detractors of the RC Church. “So we think the Catholic Church has a problem?” Her report emphasised the enormity of CSA in US public schools vastly exceeded CSA by RC priests, using the recently issued John Jay Report as her benchmark. Shakeshaft estimated 290,000 students were sexually abused by US public school employees from 1991-2000. This as opposed to 12,000 victims of priests over the 50 years examined by the John Jay Board. She said “the physical sexual abuse of students in public schools is more than 100 times the abuse by priests.”
@Dave Callaghan: If I see any pride flags or Palestine flags in my childrens school, they’re coming down!
If any of the Islamic festivals are acknowledged then Christmas and Easter decorations are going up!
@Thesaltyurchin: You’ve made that same remark a couple of times now. Do you have any evidence that the Catholic Church is the biggest paedo ring to have ever existed or is it just something you like to say?
@Dancey McDonagh: LOL… Seriously? People are mad. Okay here, the most recent one is in Spain, the starting estimate is 200,000 abused. I don’t want to get in trouble for posting links to other media sources so maybe google it.
I’m on the back foot here. I honestly thought the church had left the schools. My kids are grown up. I think the church is now made up of old people and foreign converts and kids who partake in the sacraments having not seen the inside of a church since the last sacrament, brought by mothers in badly applied fake tans and attire appropriate for a nightclub. It’s kinda pathetic and not at all helpful to children of any age.
Religion has no place in the education system. Its that simple. Virgin births and other outlandish teaching are outdated, easily disproven and an absolute insult to the human intellect. This process is long overdue.
@Mary Toilet: prejudicial bigot? Not here I’m afraid Ms. Toilet. Just an ordinary bloke in touch with reality and not someone parading a personal delusion to the masses. You’re ignorance is noted also ;-)
@Michael O Driscoll:
A virgin birth at 12yo by all accounts within that much edited fairytail, chapter and verse!! The library louts of The Irish Light Brigade should be dispatched post haste to seek and destroy this paedo publication once and for all!
@Michael O Driscoll: If any religion is taught then ALL religions should be taught, or at least as many as feasible with none of them being given priority.
The flaw in Pascal’s wager is that it assumes the choice is between no god and the god whereas in fact people have worshipped thousands of very different gods.
Fr Mike Schmitz Bible in a year podcast is excellent if you actually want to know what the Catholic Church is about. His enthusiasm is amazing. There are very good genuine priests out there.
You can see what is happening in Ireland without religion, Ireland is a far more dangerous country now than it ever was. Evil is everywhere in the world these days. Wars, famine, lack of genuine care for other people and we worry that our children’s right to be a cat or use their correct pronoun (great American export) is respected really the world is upside down.
Religion is the only thing that is holding things together without that society falls. Wait and see how far
Be careful what you wish for.
I regret not sending my kids to a catholic school.
For one, expect your young kids to come home crying because their classmates are telling them the big fella doesn’t exist. No celebration of Christmas I.e parties or decorations and learn about Eid day during the run up to Christmas.
No facilitation of the communion but celebrations on other peoples holy celebrations like they are overcompensating them.
Just my opinion. School memories we all cherish are non existent.
@James Smith: forced through catholic school, suspended for wearing the wrong uniform to mass etc your children are blessed nobody looks back at old priests and thinks those was the best days of my life you weirdo
@James Smith: Aw you’re getting old. It’s sad, we’ll have to deal with it, just let it go, change is inevitable. Celebrate Christmas if you like, that time of year it’s not exclusive to anyone. Personally, I feel the pagans had the best and most obvious interpretation, probs we’d be in a different place if we believed in tangible things that we witness every day instead of a better place to come after we’ve ruined this one.
I had to baptise my kids to get them into a decent school. I really regret it now. This needs to end. Nothing ever gets done about anything in Ireland. Whatacrockoshite
@Mary Toilet: Mary Mary, I’m I to believe you’re previous excellent trolling doesn’t apply to your precious beliefs? You have fallen in my esteem, as have a few others. (yes it should make you feel embarrassed)
No church of any religion or denomination should be running schools and the only kind of religious teaching in schooling should be comparative religion with no opting out and coverage of all major and many minor religions.
School should be education not indoctrination.
If a religion cannot stand that then it is not faith but brainwashing.
Teach religion at home or in the church maybe even faith based Sunday school. Religion should have no part in the regular education of our youth.
That’s 65% census figure is likely very inflated, people were directed to just tick the box if you were baptised catholic. I wonder how many of us are actually practicing Catholics who go to mass every week, follow the teachings of the bible etc?
@Jimmy Wallace:
Hold on a minute… Your comments make it obvious that you are an atheist and very anti RC Church yet you still celebrate Christmas ? What way does that work ? Christmas is a Christian celebration! Sorry for pointing out the very obvious and probably making you feel a bit silly but what gives ? Are you a Christian when it suits ?
As far as I’m concerned, every school that gets money from the taxpayer should be a non-religious school, full stop. No association with ANY church. I also think the state should seize every school owned by a church and make them secular.
In school, kids should learn math, science, language, history, basic life skills… religion should only be taught in church, never alongside other things.
Let’s face it, too many use their god’s name (whichever of the 3800 odd gods in just recorded history alone you might choose or have chosen for you) for the most abhorrent evils!!
Are you trying to say that worldwide abuse of millions of kids is better that believing that there is more than 2 genders? If so there’s something wrong with you.
@Chutes:
The church was there before you and has survived numerous attacks over the centuries. I don’t think a small group of attention seeking kids with an internet connection will bother them too much ! They’ll be here long after you are gone…
@Regular John: No doubt, there will always be those too afraid of existence, that will need the crutches of everlasting life. Don’t be scared of the unknown.
@Regular John: Which is a crime in itself. The Catholic church should be forced to dissolve and every priest and nun pay for their crimes. Even if they haven’t partaken in criminality they have enabled some of the worst crimes that any organisation has inflicted on children worldwide.
@Plastic Paddy:
I agree but I don’t believe every single priest should be punished. The vast majority didn’t commit any crime or enable anything, most are good people.
But by all means, chase down the kiddie fiddlers and hang them if they are found guilty.
If the Catholic church was a multinational cooperation they would’ve been kicked out of Ireland years ago. They are criminals that shouldn’t have any say in how education should be taught and not one of them have any right to be near a child.
Trump says Israel and Hamas have agreed to first phase of peace plan
5 hrs ago
3.2k
sorry about that
Micheál Martin's leadership intact as he apologises to Fianna Fáil after election fiasco
Jane Matthews
5 hrs ago
15.4k
96
the tenant
Jim Gavin's lawyers reach out to former tenant as ex-candidate commits to repaying €3,300
Updated
15 hrs ago
82.8k
Your Cookies. Your Choice.
Cookies help provide our news service while also enabling the advertising needed to fund this work.
We categorise cookies as Necessary, Performance (used to analyse the site performance) and Targeting (used to target advertising which helps us keep this service free).
We and our 241 partners store and access personal data, like browsing data or unique identifiers, on your device. Selecting Accept All enables tracking technologies to support the purposes shown under we and our partners process data to provide. If trackers are disabled, some content and ads you see may not be as relevant to you. You can resurface this menu to change your choices or withdraw consent at any time by clicking the Cookie Preferences link on the bottom of the webpage . Your choices will have effect within our Website. For more details, refer to our Privacy Policy.
We and our vendors process data for the following purposes:
Use precise geolocation data. Actively scan device characteristics for identification. Store and/or access information on a device. Personalised advertising and content, advertising and content measurement, audience research and services development.
Cookies Preference Centre
We process your data to deliver content or advertisements and measure the delivery of such content or advertisements to extract insights about our website. We share this information with our partners on the basis of consent. You may exercise your right to consent, based on a specific purpose below or at a partner level in the link under each purpose. Some vendors may process your data based on their legitimate interests, which does not require your consent. You cannot object to tracking technologies placed to ensure security, prevent fraud, fix errors, or deliver and present advertising and content, and precise geolocation data and active scanning of device characteristics for identification may be used to support this purpose. This exception does not apply to targeted advertising. These choices will be signaled to our vendors participating in the Transparency and Consent Framework. The choices you make regarding the purposes and vendors listed in this notice are saved and stored locally on your device for a maximum duration of 1 year.
Manage Consent Preferences
Necessary Cookies
Always Active
These cookies are necessary for the website to function and cannot be switched off in our systems. They are usually only set in response to actions made by you which amount to a request for services, such as setting your privacy preferences, logging in or filling in forms. You can set your browser to block or alert you about these cookies, but some parts of the site will not then work.
Social Media Cookies
These cookies are set by a range of social media services that we have added to the site to enable you to share our content with your friends and networks. They are capable of tracking your browser across other sites and building up a profile of your interests. This may impact the content and messages you see on other websites you visit. If you do not allow these cookies you may not be able to use or see these sharing tools.
Targeting Cookies
These cookies may be set through our site by our advertising partners. They may be used by those companies to build a profile of your interests and show you relevant adverts on other sites. They do not store directly personal information, but are based on uniquely identifying your browser and internet device. If you do not allow these cookies, you will experience less targeted advertising.
Functional Cookies
These cookies enable the website to provide enhanced functionality and personalisation. They may be set by us or by third party providers whose services we have added to our pages. If you do not allow these cookies then these services may not function properly.
Performance Cookies
These cookies allow us to count visits and traffic sources so we can measure and improve the performance of our site. They help us to know which pages are the most and least popular and see how visitors move around the site. All information these cookies collect is aggregated and therefore anonymous. If you do not allow these cookies we will not be able to monitor our performance.
Store and/or access information on a device 172 partners can use this purpose
Cookies, device or similar online identifiers (e.g. login-based identifiers, randomly assigned identifiers, network based identifiers) together with other information (e.g. browser type and information, language, screen size, supported technologies etc.) can be stored or read on your device to recognise it each time it connects to an app or to a website, for one or several of the purposes presented here.
Personalised advertising and content, advertising and content measurement, audience research and services development 220 partners can use this purpose
Use limited data to select advertising 180 partners can use this purpose
Advertising presented to you on this service can be based on limited data, such as the website or app you are using, your non-precise location, your device type or which content you are (or have been) interacting with (for example, to limit the number of times an ad is presented to you).
Create profiles for personalised advertising 137 partners can use this purpose
Information about your activity on this service (such as forms you submit, content you look at) can be stored and combined with other information about you (for example, information from your previous activity on this service and other websites or apps) or similar users. This is then used to build or improve a profile about you (that might include possible interests and personal aspects). Your profile can be used (also later) to present advertising that appears more relevant based on your possible interests by this and other entities.
Use profiles to select personalised advertising 139 partners can use this purpose
Advertising presented to you on this service can be based on your advertising profiles, which can reflect your activity on this service or other websites or apps (like the forms you submit, content you look at), possible interests and personal aspects.
Create profiles to personalise content 54 partners can use this purpose
Information about your activity on this service (for instance, forms you submit, non-advertising content you look at) can be stored and combined with other information about you (such as your previous activity on this service or other websites or apps) or similar users. This is then used to build or improve a profile about you (which might for example include possible interests and personal aspects). Your profile can be used (also later) to present content that appears more relevant based on your possible interests, such as by adapting the order in which content is shown to you, so that it is even easier for you to find content that matches your interests.
Use profiles to select personalised content 51 partners can use this purpose
Content presented to you on this service can be based on your content personalisation profiles, which can reflect your activity on this or other services (for instance, the forms you submit, content you look at), possible interests and personal aspects. This can for example be used to adapt the order in which content is shown to you, so that it is even easier for you to find (non-advertising) content that matches your interests.
Measure advertising performance 195 partners can use this purpose
Information regarding which advertising is presented to you and how you interact with it can be used to determine how well an advert has worked for you or other users and whether the goals of the advertising were reached. For instance, whether you saw an ad, whether you clicked on it, whether it led you to buy a product or visit a website, etc. This is very helpful to understand the relevance of advertising campaigns.
Measure content performance 80 partners can use this purpose
Information regarding which content is presented to you and how you interact with it can be used to determine whether the (non-advertising) content e.g. reached its intended audience and matched your interests. For instance, whether you read an article, watch a video, listen to a podcast or look at a product description, how long you spent on this service and the web pages you visit etc. This is very helpful to understand the relevance of (non-advertising) content that is shown to you.
Understand audiences through statistics or combinations of data from different sources 124 partners can use this purpose
Reports can be generated based on the combination of data sets (like user profiles, statistics, market research, analytics data) regarding your interactions and those of other users with advertising or (non-advertising) content to identify common characteristics (for instance, to determine which target audiences are more receptive to an ad campaign or to certain contents).
Develop and improve services 130 partners can use this purpose
Information about your activity on this service, such as your interaction with ads or content, can be very helpful to improve products and services and to build new products and services based on user interactions, the type of audience, etc. This specific purpose does not include the development or improvement of user profiles and identifiers.
Use limited data to select content 54 partners can use this purpose
Content presented to you on this service can be based on limited data, such as the website or app you are using, your non-precise location, your device type, or which content you are (or have been) interacting with (for example, to limit the number of times a video or an article is presented to you).
Use precise geolocation data 68 partners can use this special feature
With your acceptance, your precise location (within a radius of less than 500 metres) may be used in support of the purposes explained in this notice.
Actively scan device characteristics for identification 40 partners can use this special feature
With your acceptance, certain characteristics specific to your device might be requested and used to distinguish it from other devices (such as the installed fonts or plugins, the resolution of your screen) in support of the purposes explained in this notice.
Ensure security, prevent and detect fraud, and fix errors 135 partners can use this special purpose
Always Active
Your data can be used to monitor for and prevent unusual and possibly fraudulent activity (for example, regarding advertising, ad clicks by bots), and ensure systems and processes work properly and securely. It can also be used to correct any problems you, the publisher or the advertiser may encounter in the delivery of content and ads and in your interaction with them.
Deliver and present advertising and content 138 partners can use this special purpose
Always Active
Certain information (like an IP address or device capabilities) is used to ensure the technical compatibility of the content or advertising, and to facilitate the transmission of the content or ad to your device.
Match and combine data from other data sources 107 partners can use this feature
Always Active
Information about your activity on this service may be matched and combined with other information relating to you and originating from various sources (for instance your activity on a separate online service, your use of a loyalty card in-store, or your answers to a survey), in support of the purposes explained in this notice.
Link different devices 73 partners can use this feature
Always Active
In support of the purposes explained in this notice, your device might be considered as likely linked to other devices that belong to you or your household (for instance because you are logged in to the same service on both your phone and your computer, or because you may use the same Internet connection on both devices).
Identify devices based on information transmitted automatically 131 partners can use this feature
Always Active
Your device might be distinguished from other devices based on information it automatically sends when accessing the Internet (for instance, the IP address of your Internet connection or the type of browser you are using) in support of the purposes exposed in this notice.
Save and communicate privacy choices 119 partners can use this special purpose
Always Active
The choices you make regarding the purposes and entities listed in this notice are saved and made available to those entities in the form of digital signals (such as a string of characters). This is necessary in order to enable both this service and those entities to respect such choices.
have your say