Advertisement

We need your help now

Support from readers like you keeps The Journal open.

You are visiting us because we have something you value. Independent, unbiased news that tells the truth. Advertising revenue goes some way to support our mission, but this year it has not been enough.

If you've seen value in our reporting, please contribute what you can, so we can continue to produce accurate and meaningful journalism. For everyone who needs it.

Michel Euler/AP
Debt Crisis

S&P may downgrade 16 eurozone countries – and increase interest on our bailout

Standard & Poor’s says 16 eurozone nations could have their credit ratings cut – which would make Ireland’s bailout more expensive.

IRELAND MAY BE FORCED to pay higher interest rates on its EU-IMF bailout after ratings agency S&P put 16 eurozone countries on negative watch – indicating a fifty-fifty chance that each could have its credit rating lowered within 90 days.

Standard & Poor’s has put the 16 countries – every euro member except for Greece – on ‘creditwatch negative’, citing “tightening credit conditions across the eurozone” and the rising yields on each of their bonds.

It also blamed “continuing disagreements among European policy makers on how to tackle theimmediate market confidence crisis” and high levels of government and household debt throughout the eurozone.

The move to ‘negative’ means that each of the countries may be formally downgraded within three months – though S&P said it would conclude the review of each country as soon as possible after this week’s summit of EU leaders in Brussels.

The only country not to be put on a negative watch is Greece, with S&P explaining that its CC rating already means there is a “relatively high near-term probability of default” in Greece’s case.

Any downgrade to the ratings of France and Germany would mean that the EU bailout fund, the EFSF, would be similarly downgraded – meaning it would have to pay higher interest rates on the bonds it issues to pay for Ireland’s bailout.

Ireland, in turn, would therefore face a higher interest rate on the EFSF portion of its bailout, which amounts to some €22.5 billion.

Further pressure

The news comes just hours after Germany’s chancellor Angela Merkel, and French president Nicolas Sarkozy, called for a revised “tougher” European treaty in order to permanently resolve the debt crisis.

While it has been signalled for some time that France could lose its AAA status, the prospect of Germany – Europe’s benchmark economy – losing the status would throw the eurozone into even deeper turmoil.

The loss of such a status from a major economy would make it even more difficult for European economies to borrow money on the open market – and raise further questions about the viability of Europe’s current bailout mechanisms.

If France was to be priced out of the open markets, any prospective bailout would potentially empty the EFSF as it currently stands. Any impact on Germany, however, would radically alter the current thinking behind any solution.

The news will heap further pressure on EU heads of government, who will meet on Friday in Brussels to discuss ways of putting an end to the debt crisis.

Read: How did ratings agencies become so powerful? Trains and recessions, that’s how

More: Merkozy: Europe needs a ‘tougher’ treaty

Plus: Euro ‘architect’ claims single currency was flawed from the start

Readers like you are keeping these stories free for everyone...
A mix of advertising and supporting contributions helps keep paywalls away from valuable information like this article. Over 5,000 readers like you have already stepped up and support us with a monthly payment or a once-off donation.

Your Voice
Readers Comments
41
    Submit a report
    Please help us understand how this comment violates our community guidelines.
    Thank you for the feedback
    Your feedback has been sent to our team for review.