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Security forces stand guard near the Police Control Room in Srinagar Alamy Stock Photo

Explainer: Violence in disputed Kashmir has long risked an all-out war between India and Pakistan

There were 26 people killed in an attack in a popular tourist destination.

LAST UPDATE | 7 May

(This article was first published on 23 April and has been updated and republished to reflect the latest escalation)

LAST NIGHT, INDIAN missiles struck a number of sites in Pakistan and Pakistani-controlled Kashmir in a major escalation following weeks of rising tensions and cross-border gunfire exchanges between the two nuclear-armed nations.

Tensions have been rising since 26 people were killed in Indian-administered Kashmir by gunmen who India said were from Pakistan-based group Lashkar-e-Taiba.

The attack on 22 April was the the region’s deadliest attack on civilians in years.

Here’s the background you need to know.

Where is Kashmir?

Kashmir is a region in the northwest of India and administered by both India and Pakistan. It borders China to the north and northeast, Afghanistan to the north, Pakistan to the west, and two Indian states to the south. 

The Himalayan region is also a popular tourist destination, known as “Little Switzerland”. With its mountain meadows, it’s usually packed with visitors skiing in the winter and escaping the summer heat from the lowland plains of India.

flowers-in-the-aru-valley-pahalgam-kashmir-india Flowers in the Aru Valley, Pahalgam, Kashmir, India Alamy Stock Photo Alamy Stock Photo

Around 3.5 million tourists visited Kashmir in 2024, the majority domestic visitors.

Kashmir has also been an area of dispute between India and Pakistan since the partition of the Indian subcontinent in 1947.

What is the context for the region?

The region has been a major bone of contention between India and Pakistan since the two countries were created when British colonial rule ended in 1947.

Kashmir’s ruler dithered on whether to join Hindu-majority India or Muslim-majority Pakistan, leading to the first war between the two neighbours.

Further full-blown wars between India and Pakistan over Kashmir followed in 1965 and 1999, punctuated by regular uprisings and border skirmishes in the years between and since.

Both sides control part of Kashmir but claim the territory in full, and keep troops stationed to watch over the LoC.

The two sides came close to another war in 2019 after 41 Indian paramilitaries were killed in a suicide attack blamed on a Pakistani militant group.

Rebels in the Muslim-majority region have waged an insurgency since 1989, seeking independence or a merger with Pakistan. Many Muslim Kashmiris support the rebels’ goal of uniting the territory, either under Pakistani rule or as an independent country.

India describes militancy in Kashmir as Pakistan-backed terrorism. Pakistan denies the charge, and many Kashmiris consider it a legitimate freedom struggle.

India has an estimated 500,000 soldiers permanently deployed in the territory, but violence had dropped since New Delhi revoked Kashmir’s limited autonomy in 2019. 

The worst attack in recent years was in Pulwama in February 2019 when insurgents rammed a car packed with explosives into a police convoy, killing 40 and wounding at least 35 others.

Tens of thousands of civilians, rebels and government forces have been killed in the conflict.

India has used heavy-handed tactics to maintain its control over the region, which include giving the armed forces widespread powers to arrest, torture and summarily execute suspects, human rights groups say.

What exactly happened there last month?

On 22 April, in the popular tourist site of Pahalgam, a gunman opened fire and killed 26 men, wounding 17 others. All those killed were listed as residents from India except one man from Nepal.

A tour guide told AFP he had carried some of the wounded away on horseback.

Waheed, who gave only one name, said he saw several men lying dead on the ground, while a witness who requested anonymity said the attackers were “clearly sparing women”.

Omar Abdullah, Jammu and Kashmir Chief Minister, said the attack had been “much larger than anything we’ve seen directed at civilians” in recent years.

Nobody has claimed the attack but New Delhi said the gunmen were from Pakistan-based militant group Lashkar-e-Taiba, a UN-designated terror organisation with a history of carrying out attacks on Indian soil.

The group has long been rumoured to have murky links to the Pakistani military establishment — which Islamabad denies.

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi accused Pakistan of supporting “cross-border terrorism” and gave his military “complete operational freedom” to respond.

anantnag-jammu-and-kashmir-india-22nd-apr-2025-locals-in-pahalgam-staged-candle-light-protests-to-condemn-pahalgam-attack-at-least-26-people-were-killed-in-pahalgam-attack-when-gunmen-opened-fir Locals in Pahalgam staged candle light protests to condemn Pahalgam attack Alamy Stock Photo Alamy Stock Photo

“Those responsible and behind such an act will very soon hear our response, loud and clear,” Rajnath Singh, Minister of Defence of India, said in a speech in New Delhi after the attack. 

“We won’t just reach those people who carried out the attack. We will also reach out to those who planned this from behind the scenes on our land.”

Singh did not identify those he believes are responsible for the killings, but said that “India’s government will take every step that may be necessary and appropriate”.

In a separate incident in Kashmir at Baramulla, the army killed two people after a “heavy exchange of fire”, saying the gunmen were part of an “infiltration bid” crossing the contested frontier from Pakistan.

What is the response?

There was an exodus of tourists following the attack, with fears that the attack could “paralyse” business in Kashmir, according to hotel manager Abdul Salam.

India’s Director General of Civil Aviation Faiz Ahmed Kidwai also issued a letter which called on airlines to “take swift action to increase the number of flights…facilitating the evacuation of tourists”.

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi has pledged that those responsible for the “heinous act” will “be brought to justice.”

“Their evil agenda will never succeed,” Modi said in a statement shortly after the attack. “Our resolve to fight terrorism is unshakable and it will get even stronger.”

India prime minister Narendra Modi has vowed to pursue the attackers to the ‘ends of the Earth’.

How did other countries respond?

US President Donald Trump called Modi to offer “full support to India to bring to justice the perpetrators of this heinous attack”.

China, which neighbours the troubled region, offered its “sincere sympathies” to the families of those killed.

Pakistan’s foreign ministry on offered its “condolences to the near ones of the deceased”.

Why does this attack matter?

The attack posed a “very serious risk of a new crisis between India and Pakistan, and probably the most serious risk of a crisis since the brief military conflict that happened in 2019,”  said analyst Michael Kugelman.

Nuclear-armed arch-rivals India and Pakistan have long accused each other of backing forces to destabilise the other, and New Delhi says Islamabad backs the gunmen behind the insurgency.

Islamabad denies the allegation, saying it only supports Kashmir’s struggle for self-determination.

Includes reporting by Press Association and © AFP 2024

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