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Dublin: 13 °C Saturday 25 May, 2013

Ireland’s 4-year austerity plan: €7.75bn in cuts and €4.65bn in tax hikes

In a major economic speech this afternoon, the Minister for Finance warned that the gap between government spending and revenue has to be closed – or Ireland could still end up like Greece.

Michael Noonan delivering his Medium Term Fiscal Statement in Dublin this afternoon
Michael Noonan delivering his Medium Term Fiscal Statement in Dublin this afternoon

IN A MAJOR economic speech in Dublin this afternoon, the Minister for Finance announced updates to the government’s budget plan for the next four years.

Michael Noonan warned that the gap between government spending and revenue has to be closed or Ireland could still end up like Greece.

An adjustment of €12.4 billion is needed between 2012 and 2015 in order to bridge this gap between spending and revenue – and in his speech Noonan announced that spending cuts will make up €7.75 billion of this, while the remaining €4.65 billion will be raised in tax increases. This will include a property tax, Noonan confirmed.

The Minister refused to rule out cuts for frontline services, but said that the government will attempt to do it in a “fair and equitable” manner without targeting the vulnerable.

He said that he understood that citizens are feeling the pain, and described the current European instability as “a challenge”.

Noonan said that the government’s main priority is getting people back to work.  He noted that the Irish economy has started to expand once again and that GDP is expected to increase by roughly 1 per cent this year, fuelled by strong exports.

In an effort to stimulate the tourism industry, the VAT reduction introduced in the last Budget will remain.

The speech was the first in a series of budget-related announcements in the run-up to Budget Day on 6 December.

Read our liveblog coverage of Noonan’s speech>

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Comments (32 Comments)

  • I thought the government said we are nothing like Greece!

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  • That works out at about €4000 from each person in the country, or €8000 just from workers

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  • we all have to realise the government will do what ever it takes to make themselves look good in our European masters eyes. after all enda will be president of Europe in 2013 and it does not matter if we cut our front line health and education services and screw the middle earners who pay the bulk of the taxes.

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  • can we trust any figures coming out of the department this week ?

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  • Anglo belongs to the taxpayer and Quinn belongs to Anglo.
    Quinn started in the quarry business and as 80% of quarries were illegal the question must be asked why the councils and government agencies bought their stone etc from illegal sources and still do. Brown envelopes is the answer.
    The quarries did not have planning permission and the councils still bought the products and did not enforce the law.

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  • Before someone makes the comment “But sure we found €3.6bn earlier this week” – we didn’t. The money wasn’t resting in some secret bank account, in fact it didn’t exist. I’ll repost this again:

    It is like having a credit card bill and adding it up twice when you are trying to figure out how much you owe in total on your bills. Just because you realise that you owe €100 less, doesn’t mean that you’ve €100 extra in your pocket as you’ve still all the other bills to pay.

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  • If the EU is controlling our government, it should pay their pensions

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  • Neil 04/11/11 #

    The government does need to close the gap between what it takes in, and what it spends. I don’t see any serious alternative being proposed to that. The country can only be truly free when it is not dependent on borrowing.

    The only real argument can be the proportion of tax rises versus spending cuts . And your views on that will obviously depend on your employment position and your political views.

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    • If the Cowen-Lenihan bank guarantee had not been renewed last September or at least seriously diluted, reducing the public expenditure deficit would be more manageable and less penal. Many of the ‘let’s stay the course’ cheerleaders belong to highly paid elites in both the public and private sector who are marginally affected by the current economic collapse. Staying the course on bank recapitalisations, repaying bondholders, taxing everything living above ground and cutting expenditure is not working. Trying to do too much too quickly, the usual Irish disease composed of bravado, hubris, delusion and masochism.

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    • Neil 04/11/11 #

      Even without our debt payments (and our debts are not all bank related) the government is spending 10bn more than it takes in.

      Where do you suggest this 10bn, plus the extra spending money you seem to want, will come from? Because when you borrow you do so at the rates set by the lender.

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    • The deficit is a % of GDP, though in Ireland’s case because of corporate tax avoidance schemes, it should be marked to GNP – much worse deficit % in that case. The Eurozone figure of 3% was plucked out of thin air. That such guesstimates are then mandated is astonishing but that’s the nature of the unaccountable euro technocracy. If the government did feel obj plied to gouge all in sundry to deal with all the debts it has decided to honour, it could address deficit reduction over a longer period of time. One immediate helpful step should include the scrapping of the Croke Park nonsense and compulsory public service redundancies.

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  • This government won’t b around in two years , so I don’t know why they are planning a four year plan. They won’t last can anyone see the difference between this crowd and the last shower cos I can’t ? And when Gillmore says ah well we can’t have a banking inquiry now , even though the banking shit happen in 2008 and now it’s nearly 2012 makes me sick

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  • ” the government’s budget plan for the next four years.” …………. ???? No End in sight so !

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  • Noonan expects GDP to expand by 1%, thats not going happen until he stops taxing the arses off of the low paid, how about introducing a rich tax, abolish the low tax rates for artistes, those who earn abroad yet have a domicile here, should be taxed too. The front line services can’t take any more cuts.
    Maybe instead of paying the bondholders, this government could have given them a haircut, burnt them and then used the money raised by the sale of said bonds to alleviate our national debt!

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    • Neil 04/11/11 #

      Unlike in Scandinavian countries (where everyone pays income tax) the lowest paid in Ireland pay no income tax.

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    • Paul 04/11/11 #

      The lowest paid pay the least number of euros tax but the highest proportion of their income -every cent they get is spent in the Irish economy with vat on everything. Hitting the lowest and middle earners means we don’t have the money to spend in the economy. The very wealthy aren’t going to decide to stay in at weekends because the cuts have them watching every cent, that’s something the rest of us do, and that causes further unemployment in service sectors all over the country.

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    • Paul, that’s simply not true. With VAT at 21% but marginal income tax at 52% for high earners, the rich pay considerably more of their income in tax. The poor pay a higher proportion of their income in VAT, but not total taxes.

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    • Paul 05/11/11 #

      Only if you have a very narrow interpretation of income tax, the lower and middle earners also pay prsi, usc and all those other taxes in disguise which makes the proportion of their income gone in tax much higher. And since we’re talking about the economy here, rather than “it’s not fair he got more than me”, let’s not forget the cascading effect of having a population with a couple of quid in their pocket, going to restaurants, pubs, cinemas etc, and all the people who work in those places also having a job and a few quid…spreading money around creates more.

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  • Just think January 2015 at 00.01 all our debts have gone, in our dreams lol

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  • Take back the oil and gas from shell and we won’t need any cuts. And don’t give me the usual stupid answer that this country can’t or won’t get a better deal from the multinational oil companies, that answer is just bullshit spread by the crooked bastards that gave away the rights in the first place.

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    • Thus far, we have two small gas fields off the south coast producing gas, and one of the northwest coast that hasn’t produced anything yet. We don’t produce any oil.

      So how, exactly, is “taking back” these non-existent resources going to raise any money for us? Where, exactly, are we going to get the hundreds of millions of euros to spend on drilling wells that may or may not produce any oil or gas?

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  • Fine Gael sticking to the aul Fianna Fáil policy of ‘one third taxes, two thirds cuts’. Whats new.

    Would it not be preferable to just get it done within 2 years? Let’s face it, the govt is trying to do it slowly so that we’ll all be good and there’s no protests/strikes, but there will be anyway. There’s no way of cutting 8 billion without hurting a lot of people (layoffs and social welfare cuts guaranteed). Prolonging this gives rise to fumbling the economy. Two budgets of 3.8 billion in cuts, 2.3 billion in tax hikes. Just do it already

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  • The FF plan is what is being used – it is the senior civil servants that work out our strategy. The elected TD are just script readers for the civil servants and that is a good thing as our TD’s need all the help they can get. Lucinda could get a better script in Europe as I cringe every time she pops up at a mic.

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  • Greece is starting to look pretty good

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  • Get rid of the defense forces asap , how much does this fake army cost per annum , why does a neutral country need an army , savings ???? how much.

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