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The Bray Air Show. Wicklow is one of four counties expected to see an upward surge in population growth Alamy Stock Photo

Counties in Dublin 'commuter belt' to experience highest population growth over next 20 years

Counties Kildare, Louth, Meath and Wicklow are expected to see dramatic increases in population growth by 2042.

THE POPULATION OF Ireland is projected to increase to between 5.7 and 6.4 million by 2042, with counties in Dublin’s ‘commuter belt’ expected to see the highest population growth.

The rising population growth in Dublin’s surrounding counties can be attributed to a number of factors, including cost of living in Dublin, and improving public transport services to Dublin in neighbouring counties.

According to Regional Population Projections released by the Central Statistics Office (CSO) today, Ireland’s population is expected to grow by at least 500,000 over the next 17 years, with high-end estimates showing a national population growth of 1.2 million.

The CSO estimates that the current population of Ireland is 5,380,300.

CSO data shows the ‘mid-east region’, which includes Kildare, Meath, Louth and Wicklow, is expected to see the largest increases.

The Mid-East region which accounted for 14.9% of the total population share in 2022, is projected to increase under all three scenarios to between 15.5% and 16.1% by 2042.

While population growth is expected in all regions of Ireland, the South-West (Cork City and County, Kerry), Mid-West (Clare, Limerick, Tipperary), and Border (Cavan, Donegal, Leitrim, Monaghan, Sligo) regions are projected to account for a lower percentage share of the total population of Ireland by 2042.

Furthermore, the number of people aged 65 and over is set to increase significantly over this time period across a range of projections.

Hitting one million people by 2030, this section of the population could increase by as much as 62% in some parts of the country by 2042.

As Ireland’s population grow older, the number of persons aged between 0 and 14 years is expected to reduce to 859,400 by 2042.

The CSO projections make a range of assumptions around how the population could change and move over the coming years. One is that there will be continued outflows of people moving out of Dublin to live in other parts of the country, following on from recent trends.

Annually, the CSO said that Dublin could have a net annual migration of 4,600 people to other parts of the country.

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    Mute Kevvy kerrr
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    Nov 4th 2024, 4:35 PM

    A Huge WIN for common sense!!!!!!!!

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    Mute Kevvy kerrr
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    Nov 4th 2024, 4:40 PM

    @Kevvy kerrr: p s.— there’s a regular poster on her called ‘common sense’— wasn’t referring to him/her/they/them!!!

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    Mute Basildon Joe
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    Nov 4th 2024, 5:54 PM

    @Kevvy kerrr: I might be able to sleep at night eventually. A great day for justice.

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    Mute Brendan O'Brien
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    Nov 4th 2024, 6:05 PM

    @Basildon Joe: Talking to yourself yet again, I see.

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    Mute Basildon Joe
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    Nov 4th 2024, 6:23 PM

    @Brendan O’Brien: who Are you muugy man? Cocka roacho

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    Mute Brian Hunt
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    Nov 4th 2024, 7:01 PM

    @Basildon Joe: Yes, that’s him!

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    Mute Mike Doe
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    Nov 4th 2024, 11:20 PM

    Absolutely wonderful work by the mighty FG, no wonder sensational simon is heading for an awesome win :)

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    Mute Mike Doe
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    Nov 4th 2024, 11:29 PM

    @Brendan O’Brien: a crushing defeat for the climate cult lol

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    Mute Chaotic State
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    Nov 4th 2024, 5:03 PM

    Over a million passengers arrived at Dublin Airport in 2023 and were getting onward connecting flights.
    They never left the airport and therefore wouldn’t have had any traffic impact on our infrastructure and shouldn’t have been included in the Airport Passenger Cap

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    Mute You're Not Serious
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    Nov 4th 2024, 5:46 PM

    @Chaotic State: but they were not included. And yes this is great news

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    Mute Michael Fehily
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    Nov 4th 2024, 9:18 PM

    @Chaotic State: Actually 2.4 million passengers were transfer passengers between Europe and North America. Dublin is now the 5th largest transatlantic hub in Europe.

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    Mute G
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    Nov 4th 2024, 4:35 PM

    Great news!

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    Mute Mike Doe
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    Nov 4th 2024, 11:20 PM

    @G: FG are a class act

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    Mute Tom tom
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    Nov 4th 2024, 4:57 PM

    There’s an argument to be had that the national infrastructure should be brought under the remit of the Oireachtas. A compromise would be that the cross party transport committee could oversee it, rather than the Government of the day. It’s absolutely bonkers to think that a road restriction from 2007 could impact the national economy through this infrastructure so much.

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    Mute Thesaltyurchin
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    Nov 4th 2024, 6:18 PM

    @Tom tom: It’s such a bad reflection on our politicians

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    Mute another one? what's going on is the semi state sec
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    Nov 4th 2024, 7:04 PM

    @Tom tom: Absolutely bonkers to think that Eamon Ryan sat on the fence on this!!!

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    Mute Brian Hunt
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    Nov 4th 2024, 7:05 PM

    @Thesaltyurchin: Shock, horror…well I never…..

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    Mute Thesaltyurchin
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    Nov 4th 2024, 8:54 PM

    @Brian Hunt: that’s fair

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    Mute Gavan Hogan
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    Nov 4th 2024, 5:04 PM

    Fingal county manager Ms Farrelly should now be sacked immediately.

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    Mute Frank Mc Carthy
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    Nov 4th 2024, 5:07 PM

    @Gavan Hogan: for what??? Abiding & holding firm to the actual 2007 report??

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    Mute another one? what's going on is the semi state sec
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    Nov 4th 2024, 5:20 PM

    @Frank Mc Carthy: Yes, an outdated report based on old infrastructure

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    Mute Frank Mc Carthy
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    Nov 4th 2024, 5:27 PM

    @another one? what’s going on is the semi state sec: mmmm, let’s see, say I just don’t agree with the speed limit on the motorway of 120km/ hr…… so I can go at 150km/hr??? You HAVE to operate under existing laws at the time

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    Mute Diarmuid Hunt
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    Nov 4th 2024, 5:54 PM

    @Frank Mc Carthy: You seem to only apply that logic sporadically according to your comments on other articles.

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    Mute Frank Mc Carthy
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    Nov 4th 2024, 6:01 PM

    @Diarmuid Hunt: ??chutes?? The ‘pot calling kettle black’ dilemma??

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    Mute Alex
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    Nov 4th 2024, 7:11 PM

    @Frank Mc Carthy: You were never the brightest in the shed it seems.

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    Mute another one? what's going on is the semi state sec
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    Nov 4th 2024, 7:38 PM

    @Frank Mc Carthy: That’s not really a relevant comparison. Nice try though! Maybe you should tell the judge that gave the stay your little comparison and see if he changes his mind!

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    Mute Thesaltyurchin
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    Nov 4th 2024, 8:55 PM

    @Alex: shed?

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    Mute Mike Doe
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    Nov 4th 2024, 11:21 PM

    Fire the clown immediately

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    Mute J Ven
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    Nov 4th 2024, 4:44 PM

    There are 1 million more inhabitants than in 2007, that’s less than 20% growth, the total passenger traffic in 2007 in Dublin airport was 23.3 million, and back then the oil prices were as high as they’re now and you could buy a €9.99 Ryanair ticket to Barcelona and hotels were cheaper and widely available. A 32 million passenger cap counts for 37.34% increase. Europes population hasn’t grown that much since 2007 and most importantly, our infrastructure hasn’t improved much since then. It’s a scare tactic by airlines, you can keep up a higher demands with a 32 million cap without overwhelming the mediocre infrastructure we have. No metro, no trains, no extra lanes, no extra train tracks.

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    Nov 4th 2024, 5:19 PM

    @J Ven: the M50 increased from a 2 lane to a 3 lane motorway. That’s a 50% increase. Much more bus services as well. Metro in the works….. How is it a scare tactic by airlines who have to reduce their capacity or not expand because of the cap?!?! It’s literally stopping growth, not just for the airlines but negatively impacting jobs and tourism. There are way more Americans travelling here compared to 2007

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    Mute J Ven
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    Nov 4th 2024, 5:30 PM

    @another one? what’s going on is the semi state sec: the M50 increased to a 3 lane in 2007 when the passenger traffic was 23.3 million, today remains the same, it hasn’t changed.

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    Nov 4th 2024, 5:43 PM

    @J Ven: The M50 upgrade began in 2006 and was completed in 2010. If all stakeholders and news articles are saying the condition was based off old road infrastructure….. Maybe you might be wrong!!!

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    Mute Basildon Joe
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    Nov 4th 2024, 5:55 PM

    @another one? what’s going on is the semi state sec: a big scare tactic.and pure greed here. No metro will ever happen.

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    Nov 4th 2024, 6:29 PM

    @Basildon Joe: Wouldn’t be newsworthy if the DAA were proactive and had the cap raised years ago. It’s nonsense to cap an airport based on infrastructure from 17 years ago that has since been upgraded…… Economic growth doesn’t happen with charity and good will, a bit of greed from them benefits us all with extra routes and more tourists. Otherwise the airlines will just go elsewhere to make the profit like we’ve seen with Ryanair moving planes from Dublin

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    Mute J Ven
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    Nov 4th 2024, 7:03 PM

    @another one? what’s going on is the semi state sec: I don’t know what age are you, but I drive a 3 line M50 in 2007, besides that, what about the other motorways, or are you suggesting that all hotels and tourists stays within the M50? The city centre is locked during peak hours, no extra lanes, not much has been done in Dublin or the country to transport that many passengers who are nothing going through the M50, but the M1 as well with the same lanes as 2007, the city centre and other parts of Ireland. I don’t know how old you are, but traffic wasn’t that bad in 2007 even in the city centre, it was barely manageable and starting to need upgrades that’s never came to a satisfactory extent.

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    Mute Alex
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    Nov 4th 2024, 7:10 PM

    @J Ven: You don’t need more lane on the m50.

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    Nov 4th 2024, 7:33 PM

    @J Ven: Here, read the M50 website and argue your version of reality with them, link to their facts below……. Peak hours to travel to the airport are between 4am and 7am for the non stop departures from 6am to 9am. Travelling from the airport is probably busiest between 11am – 2 pm (all year), and again from 10pm to 12pm. (More so in the summer). That doesn’t line up with local rush hour traffic!
    https://www.m50concession.com/the-m50-upgrade-2/

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    Mute sean weir
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    Nov 4th 2024, 8:02 PM

    @another one? what’s going on is the semi state sec: “Metro in the works”
    Are you joking?
    We will be flying to mars by the time we get a metro working:)

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    Mute J Ven
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    Nov 4th 2024, 8:54 PM

    @another one? what’s going on is the semi state sec: I’ll take that you’re a kid who doesn’t use the M50 or drove 20 years ago vs today. I’ll take you for a kid who never drove in another European capital. You’ve got two ears and one mouth, use them accordingly, the M50 is not Dublin, read about the traffic bottleneck concept in engineering, learn something and then speak.

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    Nov 4th 2024, 9:28 PM

    @J Ven: I’m in my 50s, live in Dublin. If you’re going to argue that the M50 was 3 lanes in 2007 maybe get your facts right first, your memory obviously isn’t as good as you think. It’s a simple thing to get right and I was even good enough to source the info for you….. Dublin City is a disaster without any input from the airport. It is poorly planned. The country has also had a population increase of approx 900k people since 2007 and a lot of people moved to Dublin and commuter towns from the country since the crash, many of whom work in the city. Public transport isn’t amazing either….. You might take your own advice and learn when M50 was up and running as 3 lanes and we wouldn’t have gotten into this little too and frow! You’re welcome!

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    Mute John Dennehy
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    Nov 4th 2024, 5:05 PM

    Every other industry will be looking at this now and wondering if the planning laws they don’t like that may affect their profits can now be scrapped outside of the planning process. What is good for the goose is good for the gander.

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    Mute Brendan shanahan
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    Nov 4th 2024, 5:19 PM

    @John Dennehy: It’s nice to have an independent judiciary

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    Mute Alex
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    Nov 4th 2024, 7:12 PM

    @John Dennehy: When a law or a planning is 100% outdated, judges shouldn’t upheld them, it’s common sense.

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    Mute John Dennehy
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    Nov 4th 2024, 8:04 PM

    @Alex: What happens if a judge considers a law outdated that the majority of people, including yourself, don’t? Would you have a problem with the judge not enforcing it, or do you think you will be able to pick and choose the laws you want enforced?

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    Mute Mike Doe
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    Nov 4th 2024, 11:32 PM

    @John Dennehy: hopefully :)

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    Mute Tom tom
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    Nov 4th 2024, 4:51 PM

    Proper order.

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    Mute Mike Doe
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    Nov 4th 2024, 11:32 PM

    @Tom tom: yet another reason to vote for the mighty FG

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    Mute Brian Hunt
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    Nov 4th 2024, 7:00 PM

    Woderic O’Gorman says that a Trump win would be a disaster for Ireland. It wouldn’t be a fraction of the disaster Woderic has been to Ireland!

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    Mute FoxyBoiiYT
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    Nov 4th 2024, 9:31 PM

    @Brian Hunt: Trump is a disaster for everyone except lawyers

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    Mute Mike Doe
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    Nov 4th 2024, 11:33 PM

    @FoxyBoiiYT: trump is god

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    Mute Trump24
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    Nov 4th 2024, 5:51 PM

    Fantastic news hopefully will see Trump Force 1 landing soon back in Ireland.

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    Mute Patrick O'Leary
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    Nov 4th 2024, 5:04 PM

    Outstanding – keep feeding the Dublin monster / it’s working out so well.

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    Mute Michael Fehily
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    Nov 4th 2024, 7:25 PM

    @Patrick O’Leary: I was actually looking for the anti Dublin brigade. I found you

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    Mute Frank O'Hara
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    Nov 4th 2024, 5:10 PM

    Any time the government sets a cap on something (prices, rent, wages, passenger numbers) it never has a positive effect on the economy. Hopefully the Supreme Court steps in to overrule more nonsensical economic intervention by the government in the future, but I won’t get my hopes up.

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    Mute John Dennehy
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    Nov 4th 2024, 5:32 PM

    @Frank O’Hara: Well, it looks like they all can be challenged now.

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    Mute Michael Fehily
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    Nov 4th 2024, 9:59 PM

    @Frank O’Hara: The government didn’t set the Dublin airport passenger cap. Fingal county council set it as part of the planning approval for the second east west runway.

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    Mute Tom tom
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    Nov 4th 2024, 10:27 PM

    @Michael Fehily: That’s incorrect. The cap was put in place on 2007 as part of the conditions of planning for Terminal 2. It was put in place as there was a concern over road congestion in the surrounding areas around close to the airport. Most notably the M50 which still had a physical toll both and was only two lanes. The new runway which has seperate restrictions is not connected to the current passenger cap that is in place.

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    Mute Jonathan Gildea
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    Nov 4th 2024, 6:08 PM

    Common sense prevails. Proof that the DAA & fingal council aren’t fit for purpose (already knew that) and should resign or be sacked

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    Mute Pete Lee
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    Nov 4th 2024, 6:05 PM

    I dont have a view on the CAP per se. other than
    Why is CARGO not shipped to Shannon / Cork
    But I have an issue with court overruling the Planning rules.
    Sets a bad precedent IMHO..

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    Mute Alex
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    Nov 4th 2024, 7:13 PM

    @Pete Lee: because it’s useless to ship it somewhere else than Dublin.

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    Mute Michael Carty
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    Nov 4th 2024, 7:36 PM

    Can’t understand how people in the Midlands don’t use shannon/knock a lot more. There’s no traffic congestion loads of parking. You can collect someone stress free.

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    Mute Michael Fehily
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    Nov 4th 2024, 9:21 PM

    @Michael Carty: More comprehensive flight choice at Dublin because of population volumes. Hense better choices from Dublin

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    Mute FoxyBoiiYT
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    Nov 4th 2024, 9:33 PM

    @Michael Carty: Because Dublin want all the planes/passengers/resources. The rest of Ireland can go f themselves as far as the Jackeens are concerned

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    Mute Alan
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    Nov 4th 2024, 10:43 PM

    @FoxyBoiiYT: Airlines decide where they fly not airports. No gov or IAA can regulate where they fly

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    Mute Vincent Wallace
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    Nov 5th 2024, 10:49 AM

    @Michael Carty: Used Cork over the weekend, living in South Tipperary. Great little airport, in and out of security in 5 min. Parking reasonable, don’t know why anyone down this end of the country would use Dublin if they can help it.

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    Mute Patrick O'Leary
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    Nov 5th 2024, 6:33 PM

    @Michael Fehily: No, there are more destinations from Dublin because successive Irish Governments have for decades failed to foster regional development as to do so would require a level of competence beyond them – look at the boreen passing as a national primary route between our second + third largest cities (both with international airports nearby) as just one embarrassing example. I know you probably consider Dublin as being literally centre of the Universe but you should try taking off the blinkers some time. And BTW the word is spelt “hence”, not “hense”.

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    Mute D
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    Nov 4th 2024, 6:28 PM

    Waterford Airport needs government investment to assist the private monies already raised -

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    Mute Vincent Wallace
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    Nov 5th 2024, 10:52 AM

    @D: O Leary asked them to extend the runway for his knew planes maybe 10 years ago and they told him no. They only figure out now that it should be done. Clowns

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    Mute Mojo
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    Nov 4th 2024, 7:38 PM

    Great news!! Proper decision

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    Mute Chris Whelan
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    Nov 4th 2024, 6:36 PM

    Was Ryanair going to build a second airport in wicklow few years ago and were refused just asking why and by who and what reason

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    Mute Michael Fehily
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    Nov 4th 2024, 9:20 PM

    @Chris Whelan: Ryanair wanted to open Baldonnel as a second airport. They also offered to build an independent terminal at Dublin. They were refused on both because the govt feared a loss of duty free sales and slot fees at Dublin

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    Mute Mike Doe
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    Nov 4th 2024, 11:36 PM

    @Chris Whelan: Ryanair should be supporters to do whatever they want. Truly amazing company

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    Mute Paul
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    Nov 4th 2024, 7:07 PM

    Hear…hear…we need unending pollution so billionaire airline owners can make more money.
    No polluter pays nonsense!

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    Mute John Madden
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    Nov 5th 2024, 12:45 PM

    A County Council should have no role in regulating such an important piece of national infrastructure.

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    Mute Joby Redmond
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    Nov 4th 2024, 11:22 PM

    Build a new airport in Wicklow

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    Mute Lewis Armstrong
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    Nov 4th 2024, 7:41 PM

    More carbon taxes for Paddy Irish instead

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    Mute brian nunan
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    Nov 4th 2024, 9:49 PM

    We can not deliver infrastructure in this country because of a legal system whereby the individual right takes preference over the common good, whereas Chona is the other way round. Neither is balanced, and we need to achieve that.
    Meanwhile beurocratic and senseless planning systems (with a little bit of nepotism thrown in) simply don’t deliver for fear of a court challenge.
    That is why projects like the Childrens Hospital spend years ( typically 7 to 20) the planning and 3 in construction with massive budget overruns.
    Meanwhile m50 is gridlocked when a simple overhead rail system (or underground) should have been built.

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    Mute Stiles
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    Nov 4th 2024, 9:10 PM

    money talks and BS walks.. they didn’t build another runway for nothing..

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    Mute FoxyBoiiYT
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    Nov 4th 2024, 9:29 PM

    Horray, planning permission being overruled never ends badly in Ireland. Absolte Joke of a country. Simply cannot see beyond Dublin

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    Mute Mike Doe
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    Nov 4th 2024, 11:37 PM

    @FoxyBoiiYT: it’s wonderful to see the climate cult in total meltdown :)

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    Mute Des Daly
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    Nov 4th 2024, 11:49 PM

    @Mike Doe: how dare you ! Hehe

    2
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute P. V. Aglue
    Favourite P. V. Aglue
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    Nov 4th 2024, 9:32 PM

    May build more fuel storage facilities at the airport now

    2
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