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Dublin: 10 °C Saturday 18 May, 2013

Open thread: What do you want to know about the promissory notes issue?

It’s back on the agenda as the Irish government seeks a deal to avoid paying back €3.06 billion due in March, but what do you want to know about those pesky promissory notes?

€3.06 billion is a lot of €100 notes...
€3.06 billion is a lot of €100 notes...
Image: Julien Behal/PA Archive/Press Association Images

THE ISSUE OF the Anglo Irish Bank promissory notes, which total over €30 billion, is back on the agenda as the government seeks a deal to avoid paying out €3.06 billion at the end of March.

Locked in what we are being told are “complex” negotiations with the European Central Bank, the government has said it hopes to swap what are effectively IOUs for a long-term bond that would be paid back over a longer period, thus reducing the burden of debt that has been built-up.

But that proposal appeared to hit a snag at the weekend when it was reported that the ECB had deemed a note-for-bond swap to be illegal. Government ministers insisted negotiations were continuing while the Tánaiste said that it would be “catastrophic” if Ireland didn’t get a deal.

What are the promissory notes?

Briefly, the promissory notes or IOUs were issued to the now defunct Anglo and Irish Nationwide after the State guarantee of the banks in 2008. These notes were deposited with the Central Bank and the newly formed Irish Bank Resolution Corporation (IBRC) borrows the cash equivalent of the IOUs from the Central Bank.

Under the terms of the deal, IBRC – or the government, seeing as it owns the bank – agreed to repay these IOUs over a 21-year period with payments of €3.06 billion due every year for the next ten years. The money that is repaid to the Central Bank is taken out of circulation and is effectively destroyed.

Some argue that the IBRC or the government should default on these payments but the government says this would equate to a sovereign default and would hamper Ireland’s chances of returning to normal lending markets when it exits the bailout.

Got it? Well, we’re sure the whole issue has you scratching your head and wanting to know a lot more. So here’s your chance to ask some questions.

Let us know what you want to know about the issue of the promissory notes and Ireland getting the so-called ‘bank debt deal’ and we’ll get the answers for you.

Report: ECB rules out long-term bond to replace promissory note

Read: No agreement but bank debt deal talks will continue, Ministers insist

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Comments (52 Comments)

  • Why are Europe so keen for these notes to remain? Surely they too recognise the current level of debt in Ireland is unsustainable? If we don’t solve the problem before it hits, surely it’ll affect all of Europe?

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    • Why wasn’t there a vote in the Dail, on paying these notes and there should have been! Why’s this?

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    • Since the government has broken every promise it made since coming to power ,Why Is it keeping the promissory note ones……Silly question I think not?

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    • Silly question Number two….Will the government be making any facility in the future to repay the citizens of this country for the monies that have been taken from them to bail out the banks,given that it was the banks that failed due to the greed and incompetence of the management in place at the time.

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    • last silly question, Number three if your still awake and counting.What financial penalties are being imposed on the bankers responsible for the irresponsible lending and incompetent advice given to customers and businesses that has caused so much pain and anguish to so many. Or is it a case of the government allowing the employment contracts drawn up by the same bankers,Responsible for the …incompetent and dubious advice etc. , For themselves, To stand, given the nature of the circumstances they were drawn up in in the first place.

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    • Our core options:

      (1) Issue an ultimatum to the ECB (write-down OR default).
      (2) Prepare for a graduated return to the Punt by 2023 as a contingency.
      (3) Ring-fence the promissory note and make clear case to markets that we only intend to burn the promissory note – nothing else.

      Bank defaults have been successfully conducted by Iceland. Are you listening Ireland?

      Reply
  • Lamb 28/01/13 #

    1.The cost of borrowing goes up because there is a risk you will not be able to pay your debts. Q: If Ireland actually defaulted would the cost should drop in the future because we are no longer at risk…unless we build up another huge debt mountain? 2. Greece tried again recently to get Germany to repay debts that have been long outstanding and Germany refused and insisted Greece repay their debts. 1. Could Ireland not just refuse to pay the debt.

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  • I’d like to know they’re not being paid…thank ya very much!

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  • Julie 28/01/13 #

    Is it legal what they did transferring private banking debt to the Irish people, and where does it say on these contracts that of the bank can’t pay the Irish tax payer will take on the debt and pay it back ? Bet that question won’t be answered

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  • It was an Irish solution to an Irish problem. The state writes an IOU worth 31 billion gives it to IBRC who cashes it in with the Irish central bank to pay off bondholders,depositors,the ECB and others. We never found out what interest rate the central bank charged but by 2031 the state has to pay IRBC the 31 billion plus about 16.9 billion in interest. IRBC gives this money back to the central bank who burns/ destroys 31 billion euros. now the crazy part because the central bank is also a part of the state it then gives the 16.9 billion back to IRBC which passes it back to the state after taking a working profit. so if you live to 2031 you will have lived through misery just to be handed back the 16.9 billion which is being taken out of the economy every year up to 2020 because by then the IRBC will be wound up. so the bondholders,depositors,the ECB and others were paid in 2011 so I am not sure how we can burn them? we are in a repeating loop between the state, IRBC and the central bank of Ireland. Anyone still confused?

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  • The ordinary joe just wants to know when will there be jobs so we can start living again. My car needs tax and one tyre this month. Thats 5weeks dole now. Never mind fuel for a car. Outrageous bills now with everything going up an money in the pocket going down……

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  • The only thing one needs to know about the promissory note is that the current government coulden’t be doing a worse job in their negociations with the europeans

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  • I want to see the private institutions that we propped up pay these payments.. to keep them honest Haha in future ha ha ..

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  • So we essentially plough 30 billion into the ground (paid for by the tax payer)…. better idea…. €7,500 for every man woman and child in the country : ) (Calculation assuming 4 million people in Ireland). Watch what happens to the domestic economy then!…. what recession.

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  • Alright, we’re exiting the bail-out program so at the end of this year (2013) therefore surely we should be allowed to default on the debt for 2013 & 2014 in March of both years, why isn’t that the case? The reason I ask is how can the markets react positively to Ireland re-entering the bond markets if we’re still paying off ‘IOU’s’ this year and next. Thank you.

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  • Why is the money repaid taken out of circulation?

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  • one question i would like answered journal.
    why have the triochet letters been put into storage for the next 30 years?

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  • there is a way to force a referendum on this:

    It is possible to have an “ordinary referendum” in Ireland. An ‘ordinary referendum’ is one that does not relate to amending Bunreacht na hEireann (the basic law of Ireland or Irish Constitution). Since the foundation of the Irish State however, no ordinary referendum has ever been held.
    An ordinary referendum would take place if the Irish President received a joint-petition from both houses of the Oireachtas (the Irish Parliament). That is, the Dáil and the Seanad. The petition would set out that a proposed Bill was of such national importance that the will of the people of Ireland should be found out before it became law.
    The joint-petition must be passed by the majority of the members of the Seanad and one-third of the members of the Dáil. When the President receives the petition, he or she must consult the Council of State.
    If the President decides that the Bill contains a proposal of such national importance that the will of the people of Ireland should be found out, he or she will refuse to sign the Bill until a referendum has been held.
    The referendum must be held within 18 months of the President’s decision not to sign the Bill. This referendum gives the people of Ireland a chance to decide whether the Bill should become part of Irish law.

    I think theres a good chance one third of the dail could be swayed and at least a 50/50 chance in the seanad
    desperate times desperate measures people!

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    • Frank do you think the seanad would vote for it i doubt it but suppse would be interesting to see

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    • I think they would jay
      the vote on the budget cuts went to the wire and i think there are some in the govt ranks in the seanad that think like matthews

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    • hahaha jay you might be right but we have to try something
      as i said before im not here to bash the government, i have kids, like you
      you say sometimes that people are whingers and sometimes to be fair they are
      but think of it this way, its actually harder to critisize
      i would rather swap being totally wrong on all of this and for you to be totally correct
      the alternative is that im right and we are all in for a very miserable life and the people who got us into this mess will get away scot free
      now i ask you this
      can you look into your childrens eyes and say that you stood by and let that happen and didn’t critisize and give out

      Reply
  • How can the ECB decide that the proposed arrangement is illegal? The ECB is not a court and has no judicial powers. I think this is another distraction as Enda and his cronies desperately seek to deflect blame onto “the foreigners”.

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  • Why the people in charge of them are fcuking spineless yay sayers to act like ladies of the night to their European friends.

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    • Probably because they are all on huge salaries and not only will they all have huge pensions when they finally step down but their payback for the betrayal of their electorate will be a nice prestigious little post in Europe.

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  • Besides pissing off the ECB what’s the negative of just not paying it since the markets believe a deal will be done . It’s nit real money anyway.

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  • SIMPLY DON’T PAY ANYTHING. THEN THE IRBC WILL DEFUNCT. THAT DEAL WAS MADE WHEN FF WERE IN POWER. KENNY, GILMORE & CO. SHOULD JUST GROW A PAIR AND SAY THE DEAL HAS NOW CHANGED. KEEP IT SIMPLE PEOPLE.

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  • Fools 28/01/13 #

    A dumbass would know not to pay. Doesnt say much for our treacherous goverment who fail with every decision the traitors.

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  • Mark 28/01/13 #

    I want to know will they promise to give me some??!

    Don’t worry ill close the door on my way out.

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  • I still don’t know what a tracker mortgage is, so this is way beyond me.

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  • Still don’t understand why we can’t pay back when we decide to pay it instead we do still effectively owe this money to ourselves and what is going to happen Is Germany going to implode over 30billion I don’t think so ,so tells them they can have the money in 2100 or 2200 the longer it takes the smaller the ultimate bill will become due to inflation etc why do we have to pay it back to ourselves in such a short space of time and if as reports seem to suggest that the then minister for finance had a bit of a human to his head could we not just say thanks lads it was your idea that our banks could not fail so you kinda owe us one

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  • I think it is interesting that the government state that if we don’t pay the promissory notes we won’t be deemed credit worthy by the bond markets. I would argue we would be a better credit risk should we refuse to pay the total 61 billion we owe for foreign bank debt and I am sure the bond markets would recognize it.

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  • Lights going off, mind wandering. What would Homer do?

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  • Hi Journal

    I have a couple more questions, I hope its not too late,

    1. Of the toxic loans that went to NAMA what percentage accounted for personal mortgages and personal loans
    2. What percentage were commercial loans
    3. How many individual cases including personal and commercial were transferred to NAMA
    4. How many cases on the books of NAMA are personal debts
    5. How many cases on the books of NAMA are commercial debts

    Thank you

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  • Could we not we not just “tell” them we’re paying it Ted?

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  • I would like to know if it was legal to issue them in the first place. how can two people make such a decision without debate in the dail or Seanad or amongst the people who bear the ultimate burden as we are held to it at huge cost for next twenty years? surely it could be held that they did not understand the full implications and therefore its null and void. Has the Law Society in Ireland looked into this?

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  • The indo mentions pg 7 Jan 29th that the law Society are currently busy reviewing their top four Salaries..perhaps they might take time to review the promissory notes and any legality issues that might exist ? ???

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  • If we don’t pay the promissory note are we not agreeing to not pay ourselves the 30 billion since the govt own the debt any way and it is in essence a note to pay back to ourselves so why print the money in the first place if I wrote an i o me 5000grand it doesn’t mean I have 5grand I have just written it down on a piece of paper that is all the promissory note is it doesn’t really exist as money

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    • @PaulCathyLynham, The euro powers (who control the amount of € currency in existence) allowed the government to essentially create the 30 billion, so that is 30b of extra euro which exists. Under the terms at the time, it was agreed that as the money was repaid by the government, that it would be destroyed, and that in the end the status quo would be restored. It was a quick way of the FF govt raising 30 billion to cover the guarantee.
      Interestingly, the ECB have printed trillions of € in the meantime, which wont ever be destroyed.

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    • very well put john, and they say europe is equal, it seems some are more equal than others

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  • if the central bank can magically make the money disappear,why cant they magically make the money reappear,
    lets say 30years down the line….!!!!

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  • The 30 billion from Anglo has been spent, loaned out to every developer without any checks. It could never be paid back and the European banks, pension and investment funds want their rightful money back. Defaulting on it could mean a pensioner in Germany who worked for 45 years would have no pension. As you can imagine he wouldn’t be happy if we defaulted. Similar happened when Iceland defaulted when one of its banks folded. British and Danish pensioners and investors lost out only that their governments stepped in. Iceland will still end up paying this back.
    As we depend on exports and imports we could be cut off very quickly if we defaulted. We learnt a harsh lesson in the past during the Economic War when DeValera’s failures meant Britain wouldn’t take our exports and we were consigned to poverty and mass emigration.
    We have no guns to shoot with and until the problems have been sorted in Spain, Italy, Greece we are going nowhere.

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    • @frank we couldn’t get the seanead to cancellnthe resbite budget cut and you think they would deal with this? It would clearly interfere with their golfing days out

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    • Frank I agree I don’t want my little one payin for it but. I just don’t see the alternative being the lesser of two evils financially as a we are in the pot but I think defaulting would cause us more harm than good europe will have to give us a bank deal eventually they are just trying to get as much as possible before a deal gets done if ireland who stuck to every troika request and cut still goes under again then europe will be a gonner as if ireland can’t handle it how can spain italy or portugal do it the markets will react in such a way that it would cripple europe and its most exposed countrie ie germany france etc

      Reply
  • Michael 28/01/13 #

    I’d like to know of they would accept 60c on the euro for them. Iceland paid 0c so 60 seems reasonable.

    Not paying them is highly irresponsible and would give us more expensive lending.

    Reply
  • yawn….

    Reply

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