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Dublin: 13 °C Wednesday 22 May, 2013

Italian scientists jailed for failing to warn of earthquake

Six seismologists and a government official underestimated the risks of an earthquake that struck L’Aquila in 2009.

Italian firefighters work on a collapsed stable to remove dead animals from a collapsed stable in L'Aquila, where an earthquake in 2009 killed 309 people.
Italian firefighters work on a collapsed stable to remove dead animals from a collapsed stable in L'Aquila, where an earthquake in 2009 killed 309 people.
Image: SANDRO PEROZZI/AP

SIX ITALIAN SEISMOLOGISTS and a government official have each been sentenced to six years in jail by a court, for failing to warn the public about the prospect of a major earthquake which killed 309 people three years ago.

The court in L’Aquila, where the quake hit in 2009, sentenced all seven members of the national Major Risks Committee to jail because of their failure to warn the general population about the impact that the quake could have.

The sentence exceeds the four year sentence that had been sought by prosecutors.

The seven members of the committee had met in L’Aquila six days before the April 2009 earthquake to discuss recent minor seismic activity – but had not alerted the town’s population to the risk of the major quake that could have followed.

A lawyer for 11 survivors of the quake said the seismologists “were not expected to predict the earthquake, but they were expected to alert people to the risks.”

The government committee’s meeting in 2009 came after a local resident began making unnerving unofficial earthquake predictions, following the earlier minor tremors.

Italy’s top seismologists were called in to evaluate the situation and the then vice-director of the Civil Protection, Bernardo De Bernardinis, gave press interviews saying the seismic activity in L’Aquila posed “no danger.”

“The scientific community continues to assure me that, to the contrary, it’s a favourable situation because of the continuous discharge of energy,” he said.

The claim that shocks discharge energy and reduce quake risks has been disputed and the scientists deny having told Bernardinis anything of the sort.

The prosecution has accused Bernardinis of using the meeting to calm the population – he famously advised residents to relax with a glass of wine.

Additional reporting by AFP

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Comments (39 Comments)

  • Wonder how many false alarms will result from this ruling!
    I would issue a warning everyday on the basis of this ruling. Jail is a big price to pay for this kind of thing.

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  • They’re essentially stringing these men up for a natural disaster. Bit harsh to punish human error with these kind of things.

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  • Fu**ing eejitism at its finest.

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  • if she floats, she’s a witch, if she drowns, not a witch but hey ho, god will forgive her sins

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  • That sentence sounds utterly ridiculous.

    Predicting earthquakes is FAR from an exact science.

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  • I think I better start predicting a few earthquakes…

    ..just to be on the safe side.

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  • This sounds absurd. If there are minor earthquakes there is always the chance of a large one. What could the scientists have said any more than this?

    Scientist’s Press release “You might have noticed that the ground is shaking from time time, that’s a minor earthquake. It can mean more and larger earthquakes. Sorry for stating the f*****g obvious but we might go to jail otherwise.”

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  • This is taking the “it has to be somebody’s fault!” to a whole new level. The only solution therefore is repeated false alarms in the future to cover ones a***e.

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    • It’s indicative of the age we live in. Everyone’s always looking to blame someone else for their own misfortune. And the very same people are never willing to take responsibility for their own mistakes either. Why not just jail all the people who decide to live in earthquake-prone regions altogether. Ridiculous decision!

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  • I am can imagine TV 3 weather forecast from now on. They will predict rain rain and more rain followed by force 10 gails so they don’t get jailed. All jokes aside this is bloody ridiculous.

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  • Had the scientist actually warned the proper authorities, would any precautions been really made? It is, after all Italia.

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  • This is complete madness, a sad reflection of the society we live in today, ok the scientists didn’t warn about the possibility of an earthquake, and perhaps theirs motives were to not cause panic, but do we honestly believe that these scientists did this knowing a major earthquake was coming and people were going to die?? Surely in their professional opinions the chance of an earthquake was small, I mean if warnings were being sounded off every time minor tremors occurred people would either ignore them as they would be so common, or else people would be living in a constant state of fear all the time!! I honestly think from the information provided on this story that this is absolute madness and a sad reflection of the modern day world where everything has to be labelled and blamed !! Then again I could be wrong….

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  • Absolutely pathetic. Blame anyone else but probable poor national or local council issues.

    Worse than our shower of eegits.

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  • While I know Italy has a lot of old buildings that are probably difficult if not impossible to earthquake-proof, there were many new buildings in that area that collapsed too. Barely 15% of new build (according to some articles I read) comply with modern earthquake proofing requirements.

    Surely the question that ought to be asked is why planners, regulators and developers in that area allowed non-earthquake proof buildings to be constructed in a region that’s known to be prone to bad quakes.

    Going after scientists who at least try to learn how these things happen so that they can predict them is not only counterproductive, it’s just utterly crazy.

    I could see a lot of highly-qualified Italian seismologists deciding to move to other countries where their services would be welcomed with open arms and they would not be prosecuted for failing to predict something that basically cannot be predicted.

    Seismology is a science that’s only in its infancy. It’s not even remotely as accurate as a weather forecast.

    Italy’s loss will be lots of their experts moving to California, Japan, New Zealand, Iceland etc etc.
    There’s no way you could work in an area like that if you were likely to be jailed for failing to predict an almost entirely unpredictable event.

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  • What a load of codwhollop

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  • Sure the minor quakes will release stress along the plate boundary but they can also affect other areas of high stress along the fault and thus be the precursor to larger quakes. There is still no way, as far as I know, for seismologists to tell you whether a large quake will happen next week, in a year or even ten. They have just made scapegoats out of these scientists because their timing was unfortunate. The real culprits are the guys whose job it is to ensure old buildings are retrofitted and new one built to code. If that was done I’m positive they could bring casualties down to single figures or even zero. They should follow the Japanese example.

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  • It’s only right. Can’t trust them scientists, going around with all their science trying to prove stuff. It was god that did it. Good man god. Though a little vengeful to kill 300 odd people just to jail a couple of scientists but I suppose he has previous on the irrational vengeful side.

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  • OMG . The lunatics have taken over the asylum !

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  • I hope there is such an outcry that these people are not left in jaol. the thought that they didnt think a major eartquake would happen is punishment enough … they must feeel bad about that.. Shame on the judge .. giving even more time than the prosecutors asked for. If they gave a serious warning and there was a stampede they would probably be made responsible for that. Sheer lunacy.

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  • ..there…their..they’re…

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  • If it was here they’d retire early on massive pensions.

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  • It said 3000 people on RTE news…

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  • haarp

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    • If this sets legal precedent, will we start jailing weather forecasters as well. Holding scientists responsible for a natural disaster is completely unacceptable.

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    • That shook ‘em..

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    • It’s not because they didn’t stop the disaster, but because they didn’t fully inform about the pending risk of an earthquake happening!

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    • Oh don’t be ridiculous Gis! Italy is in an area of huge seismic activity, probably the most earthquake prone part of the European continent. Anyone who lives there is aware of the real dangers of impending major earthquakes!

      How these people can be prosecuted for such bull is nothing more then medieval! The Italian justice system is really not doing itself any favours here

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    • Gis I know why they got jailed, I just think its ridiculous, natural disasters are notoriously difficult to predict, if earthquakes were easy to predict, there would be no problem, present technology only allows guess work at best. It just seems like there damned if they do and there damned if they don’t, what cost to italys economy will this outcome result, if seismologists can’t make errors and issue earthquake warning at the first sign of a tremor, will schools, businesses, airports etc open after a warning?

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  • ” Public officials not warning the public about” now what dose that remind us about !

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  • Our senior public servants borrowed billions to pay for the croke Park deal and they get rewarded with increments and huge pensions. In fact they continue to borrow while people emigrate to get work sometimes leaving their wives and kids for months on end. Others take the suicide option as it is too tough to survive. Ah well at least the Italians make people responsible for their actions.

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