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Dublin: 10 °C Monday 20 May, 2013

Referendum roundup: The state of play at midday

The ‘Yes’ vote is ahead in the tallies although official results not in yet.

Aoife Sheridan catches a stray vote as boxes are opened at the Dublin City count centre in City West.
Aoife Sheridan catches a stray vote as boxes are opened at the Dublin City count centre in City West.
Image: Laura Hutton/Photocall Ireland

COUNTING IS SWIFT at centres around the country in the Fiscal Compact referendum tally.

It’s not complicated – it’s either a ‘Yes’ or a ‘No’. (As Gavan Reilly pointed out earlier here, spoiled votes routinely only account for about 0.3 per cent of the total number cast and don’t generally influence the outcome.)

There have been no official results returned yet to the Dublin Castle count centre where all results will be received and where TheJournal.ie‘s Sinead O’Carroll is standing by. However, Christine Bohan’s liveblog has been following the tallies as they come in (go and have a flick through it here – some interesting reactions captured from the ‘Yes’ and ‘No’ camp and commentators).

From the TALLIES so far, it appears that the ‘Yes’ vote is edging it.

Here is what we know so far from centres where 100 per cent of the boxes have been opened (again, bear in mind that these are tallies and not final results):

Galway West: Yes 58%; No 42%.

Dublin North: Yes 64%; No 36%.

Cork North Central: Yes 41%; No 59%.

Cork East: Yes 60%; No 40%.

Donegal South West: Yes 45%; No 55%.

Donegal North East: Yes 45%; No 55%.

Tipperary North: Yes 64%; No 36%.

Kildare North: Yes 60%; No 40%.

Kildare South: Yes 58%; No 42%.

Most other count centres who don’t yet have 100 per cent of boxes opened are returning early tallies of a majority of Yes votes. Limerick city and county are a majority Yes so far (which Finance Minister Michael Noonan will be pleased with), while Taoiseach Enda Kenny’s constituency of  Mayo is returning a majority Yes too.

More as we have it. Keep checking in with TheJournal.ie‘s liveblog for up-to-the-minute updates.

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Comments (68 Comments)

  • Well done Aoife Sheridan, goalkeeper for democracy!

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  • WE’RE ALL GOING TO DIE!

    Ah no, look its disappointing for us on the no side but let’s all just move on now, we’ve had our say, we can relax about it now and let the comment section get back to normal. This site was a bit unbearable for a while.

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  • Funny all the talk on journal.ie you would think everybody that knows everybody was voting NO!

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    • That’s because anybody with the smarts to get their news from the web and not from the state propaganda service would be immune to the state brainwashing. As TV news dies so will the power of propaganda, unless they turn off the web first

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    • Mick 01/06/12 #

      As mentioned on other posts this morning, students couldn’t get easy access to voting, emigrants forced to leave Ireland couldn’t vote or in other words the most likely group of citizens to vote NO had all the obstacles to overcome.

      Reply
  • mel 01/06/12 #

    Can’t wait to apply for all these new job’s!!!

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  • “What?! EVERYONE I know was voting no! It’s a fix” Some logic there; firstly, poor understanding of democracy – majority of people saw the no side as poorer option. Second off, No votes were more likely to be recorded in working class areas, not middle class. So ask yourself, what social demographic do you spend the most time with ? This is precisely why opinion polls and sample surveys often show up at odds with results. If I did a poll in South Dublin, would get very different results that Finglas. Extrapolating from a very limited data set is a poor idea.

    Even if the prediction is right, it can be right for the wrong reasons, which is just as bad – Most of my friends support gay marraige, abortion rights and are atheists, but given I spend most of my time in middle class circles with high levels of university education, it would be utterly foolish of me to assume this represents the entire country, despite the fact these friends voted yes. So people simply bemoaning the result need to realise their demographic may not be a fair sample of the country.

    In the exact same way, I note, that journal commenters do not always represent journal readers…

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  • Any idea which law Ciaran???

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  • Ah well, I for one am getting used to been let down by our Eire :-(
    Emigrating is getting more and more a reality for me and my family… Sure at least I will get to see the family and many friends who have already left Ireland and made a good life for themselves abroad

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  • B7584 01/06/12 #

    Just goes to show ireland as a whole have learned NOTHING from the past few years.

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  • Hoped the no vote would get it, suitable quote from benjamin franklin; people who trade freedom for security deserve neither……

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    • Yes, because adding a clause into our constitution that we will not allow ourselves go into massive debt again is SUCH a loss of freedom…. quit the drama, actually read the document; we already agreed to the idea in Maastricht over a decade ago, because frankly, not ending up in massive debt is usually a good idea.

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    • David why do we need Europe to stop us getting into debt again. Do you not think we should learn from the mistakes we made ourselves without Europe telling us?

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    • censored 01/06/12 #

      Oh so that’s what this was all about? Well, yes. Technically. There might be a bigger picture though.

      Reply
  • B7584 01/06/12 #

    Well done Ireland, doomed to austerity indefinetly.

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  • you would swear from the attitudes of a minor percentage of commenters on this site that ireland is run by Nazi Germany (circa 1940). the state propaganda media, unbelievable stuff. @Ed Kavanagh, get real man will you? The result is fairly conclusive by the looks of it.

    I got castagated on here a few days ago for quoting bookmaker odds when it looked like the Yes vote would prevail. Accused of all sorts. Its all just one massive conspiracy i suppose, and the overwhelming majority of the country that voted yes are incapable of making up their own minds.

    there was also an accusation that people were “stupid sheep” and would just do what leader told them, and this was an age old problem of irish politics. perhaps this is true, but there are many issues within our system, like ming flanagan getting elected by leveraging parish politics. you couldn’t begrudge the man his victory however. Now perhaps its time to take stock of what we have, and to LIVE MORE. STOP GETTING SO WOUND UP AND DEPRESSED ABOUT OUR POLITICAL CIRCUMSTANCES.

    (…exhales)

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  • Forget conspiracy theories – but just a question – how many people who voted were offered only a pencil to mark their ballot with? I know I was – yet the law states that blue or black pen should be used to mark a ballot paper clearly. Just out of interest – did you use pen or pencil at the vote center yesterday?

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    • Pencils all around where I voted but I knew this from previous referendums/elections and brought a permanent marker with me.

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    • They answer this on ray darcy this morning.

      Apparently pencils are “more reliable”, and also they keep the ballots in the basement of Leinster house, so If the ballots somehow get wet, pencil doesn’t run like ink would

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    • censored 01/06/12 #

      Didn’t know that was the law. It’s been pencils every time I voted. However, I think the people doing the count are honest, and it would be easy to see if a vote had been tampered with even if it’s in pencil.

      Reply
  • mel 01/06/12 #

    Can’t wait to apply for all these new jobs!!!!

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  • Bye Ireland! This referendum was a decision maker for me on emigrating.

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  • Great news..a YES vote. Now lets get on with making Ireland great!

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  • jrbmc 01/06/12 #

    May your children’s children , forgive you

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  • Common sense prevails. A good result for the country. Well done…

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  • “The fact of the matter is that regardless of whether or not the No side wins, or something in the region of say 30 or 40 percent of the electorate votes No, what is becoming ever more apparent is that a significant section of the 26-County population is becoming increasingly alienated from the political system.

    The crisis in Irish and EU politics has never been greater.

    Time and time again, éirígí members canvassing the working class areas where they are based and active have encountered a total rejection of the politics espoused by the Yes side. In the course of delivering some 40,000 leaflets what we have encountered on the doorsteps and at the various information stalls we have held outside shops, post offices and dole offices are people that have shown a keen understanding of what this treaty is really all about in essence – they have rightly seen the bullying for what it is and know full well that the Austerity Treaty is designed purely in order to further the interests of the wealthy and powerful in this state and in ‘Europe’.

    Whatever the outcome of the referendum, the working class people of this state are to be commended for their increasing ability to recognise and withstand the bullying of the EU and our home-grown domestic agents of international capitalism.

    The fact that people in whole areas right across this state are rejecting right-wing politicians and their ideas gives a real sense of hope for the future.”

    http://www.eirigi.org/latest/latest300512_3.html

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  • Terrible result for this country. Our constitution now favours Germany & not our once great nation. The yes voters will not be so smug when their broke , on their knees & wondering what the hell happened. Of course don’t look to Enda or Gilmore – they’ll be long gone & living out the rest of their days in luxury when that happens.

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  • thank the lord we are going to get a yes vote . now the future is looking brighter

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  • Its a bleedin Fix!!! Everyone I know was voting ” No “. Fixed for the benefit of Europe and not Ireland once again. The public wanted a ” No” on a recent pole in Ireland 64% wanted a “NO” vote. Shower of gangsters.

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  • Paul 01/06/12 #

    New signs being made for all arrival points in this country. ‘Welcome to West Germany’

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  • cimada 01/06/12 #

    I just have to say all these anti austerity campaigners and their no vote – what makes them think that if we had got a no suddenly we were going to get a massive windfall and start spending?

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    • Neil 01/06/12 #

      Promising an easy overnight return to 2006 is the way to win votes.

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    • The no voters didn’t think that if the no vote won we would suddenly be free from recession, please read the blog and people’s opinions before making stupid assumptions!

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    • I voted no but I wasn’t expecting a windfall and spending to start again.

      As a yes voter what makes you think that Ireland will be able to access a fund that doesn’t exist yet? A fund where the 2 main sponsors of the fiscal treaty Germany & France have not ratified. A fund that to get to the €700 billion will mean Greece contributing €19 billion and Ireland contributing €11 billion, Portugal will also have to contribute something though I haven’t been able to find a figure for them yet. Those 3 countries have no money so where are they going to get the money? Italy is expected to contribute 18% and Spain 12% of the total fund. Both those countries are borrowing at over 6% on the markets for 10 year bonds. Do you really think they will borrow at those rates and then pay it into a fund that hands it out to countries in need at say 3%?

      Another reason I voted no was because I could see no reason why the referendum had to take place so quickly as the treaty has only to be ratified by the end of the year. I guess we will find out shortly if there is a reason for the rush to have the referendum.

      Me I think the real winners from the referendum are SF and the other hard leaning left parties / groups. That can be seen from the results of the votes and what areas voted yes / no.

      The biggest loser of all ironically is Kenny. It will be a long time before people forget his refusal to debate the fiscal compact. FF are already using it as a stick to beet him.

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    • censored 01/06/12 #

      That’s just silly. I voted no exactly because I don’t want the government to access another 36 billion of “bailout” funds. Wait and see.

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  • Ah yeah David – your right of course. Piling even more debt on top of the current unsustainable debt mountain makes perfect sense. Good luck raising the 11 billion for the esm slush fund – just hope your not out of work or in need of medical care in the future – your yes will count for nothing then but it sure will be dramatic!

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  • ;)

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  • This going to be a socisl divided vote.

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  • Angela merkel has my soul…..flaps!

    Reply

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