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The iCub robot tries to catch a ball during the Innorobo European summit, March 2012 Laurent Cipriani/AP/Press Association Images

Artificial intelligence: how close is it to passing the test?

Some scientists believe that we are closer than ever to achieving artificial intelligence in machines – but questions about what intelligence really is remain.

THE QUEST FOR artificial intelligence (AI) began long ago in human history – even earlier than you might think.

The Egyptians were the first people known to discuss the concept of a “thinking machine”, long before the technology we use today existed.

Recently, scientists have said to we could be closer than ever to passing the Turing Test – a method of monitoring the human perception of intelligence in a machine, developed by British mathematician Alan Turing.

In practice, the test involves a panel of human judges who read typed answers to questions addressed to both a computer and a human. If no reliable distinctions between the two answers can be made, the machine may be considered “intelligent”.

Turing reasoned that if a computer could impersonate a human being so well as to be indistinguishable as a machine, it could be said that computer is at least as intelligent as a person.

A brief history of AI

  • In the 1950s, science fiction writer Isacc Asimov, who wrote the Law of Robotics and I Robot, seriously put forward the idea of pursuing the development of AI (“cybernetics”), saying: “Cybernetics is not just another branch of science. It is an intellectual revolution that rivals in importance the earlier Industrial Revolution.”
  • In 1950, Turing published his landmark paper Computing Machinery and Intelligence, which questioned whether machines could think, or possess intelligence. Turing pointed out that the definition of ‘intelligence’ was debatable, and reasoned that if a machine could appear to think just like a human it could be considered intelligent. The Turing test was born.
  • The Dartmouth Summer Research project on Artificial Intelligence, 1956, is now regarded as a seminal event in the field of AI. Many theories about the human race’s future with robots were ventured during the conference, with some insisting that household robots and teaching machines would become commonplace, and that computers would one day dominate our lives.
  • In the mid-1970s, due a series of AI failures, both the British and US governments cut funding to AI programmes. The years that followed are referred to as the ‘AI winter’.
  • With advent of expert systems in the early1980s – a computer system that emulates a human expert’s decision-making ability – funding was reintroduced to AI researchers. Although the success of Japan’s fifth generation computer also spurred more funding, other technological failures soon led to another ‘winter’.
  • The sector picked up again during the 1990s, with notable incidents such as the computer system Deep Blue beating the reigning world champion Garry Kasparov in a game of chess, and continued to build momentum throughout the new millennium.
  • Today, we use much technology that has been developed  from AI research, for example the 3D body–motion interface for the Xbox 360 – although few people would now consider this technology to be ‘intelligent’. Now, as technology becomes increasingly sophisticated, the question what constitutes intelligence is more hotly debated than ever.

Recent advances

Recently, cognitive scientist at the French National Center for Scientific Research Robert French wrote in the journal Science that two “revolutionary advances” in information technology could bring the Turing test out of retirement.

The first is the ready availability of vast amounts of raw data — from video feeds to complete sound environments, and from casual conversations to technical documents on every conceivable subject. The second is the advent of sophisticated techniques for collecting, organising, and processing this rich collection of data.

The combination of these advancements means that machines could now answer questions that they were previously unable to by searching for information on the internet.

French says that if a complete record of a person’s life experiences – which help to develop their subcognitive network – were available to a machine, it’s possible that too could develop a similar network and pass the Turing Test.

If a machine could be created that not only analysed data but also mulled over data, this could be described a metacognition, French said, a way humans think and which “helps us build models of the world and manipulate them in our heads”.

French also noted IBM’s recent announcement of the creation of experimental “neurosynaptic” microchips, which are based on the computing principles of neurons found in the human brain – a move he commends, saying that if we are trying to develop machines that think “the human brain is certainly a good place to start.”

Read: ‘Build me a robot’: Irish teen’s challenge to tech community

Read: High-tech project aims to mine asteroids in space

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11 Comments
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    Mute Elaine Sweeney
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    Jan 2nd 2015, 8:39 PM

    At least we have a Minister for Health who is healthy for a change!

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    Mute Caoimhin O Hailpin
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    Jan 2nd 2015, 9:11 PM

    That is little comfort to the people who are served by the dysfunctional health service he is in charge of

    77
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    Mute Pádraig O'hEidhin
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    Jan 2nd 2015, 11:59 PM

    He’s also showing a bit of leadership.

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    Mute Caoimhin O Hailpin
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    Jan 3rd 2015, 10:51 PM

    How is he doing that ? http://jrnl.ie/1861899 would indicate differently

    1
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    Mute Ailbhe O'Nolan
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    Jan 2nd 2015, 8:09 PM

    Will Lucinda be going ‘bong bong bong’ on the angelus next?

    216
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    Mute Ailbhe O'Nolan
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    Jan 2nd 2015, 8:09 PM

    Sorry, I’ll get my coat

    93
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    Mute Kerry Blake
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    Jan 2nd 2015, 8:15 PM

    Nah you will get a gong for that effort!

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    Mute JJ O Riordan
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    Jan 2nd 2015, 8:20 PM

    Surely Ming Flanagan repeating the word bong would be more apt

    115
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    Mute Ailbhe O'Nolan
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    Jan 2nd 2015, 8:24 PM

    Oooooh they could harmonise!

    52
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    Mute www90
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    Jan 2nd 2015, 8:44 PM

    That’s ignorant

    17
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    Mute Ailbhe O'Nolan
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    Jan 2nd 2015, 9:11 PM

    You may need to get your sense of humour serviced…..

    53
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    Mute Art Vandelay
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    Jan 2nd 2015, 9:25 PM

    Michael Jackson – South Park , I presume…

    19
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    Mute JJ O Riordan
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    Jan 2nd 2015, 9:54 PM

    Or at least switched on.

    4
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    Mute Michael Sands
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    Jan 2nd 2015, 11:36 PM

    No, that is for after the watershed lol, ok bad joke…

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    Mute Spiderman_Irish
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    Jan 2nd 2015, 8:21 PM

    I don’t like Leo but I will refrain from making a negative comment about him as per se.

    Leo is a doctor. He has appeared on Operation transformation which is a show that helps and educates people on how to lose weight. On Irish tv channels like RTE Kellogs and Nestle promote products which contribute significantly to obesity levels in children and adults. Leo has a unique opportunity to think of the nations health and promote what would be classed as a healthy diet and what isn’t and legislate for a ban on sugary foods that cause obesity from televisions.

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    Mute big willy
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    Jan 2nd 2015, 10:13 PM

    fair point about Varadkar

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    Mute Spiderman_Irish
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    Jan 2nd 2015, 10:21 PM

    In fairness I do bash the government a lot, more often than not with good reason. If they do good or were to do good by banning advertisements that promote foods that cause obesity I’d be the first to say a job well done. The obesity timebomb needs to be nipped in the bub and Varadkar is in a good position as a doctor and minister for health to act on this.

    47
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    Mute McGuckin Annette
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    Jan 2nd 2015, 8:59 PM

    It’s hard to keep up with this guy….first he gets snapped lending a hand at the scene of an emergency and now he makes his debut on operation transformation. What next?

    89
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    Mute Caoimhin O Hailpin
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    Jan 2nd 2015, 9:23 PM

    anything is possible except dealing with the dysfunctional health services…Leo’s priority is to keep on the move and avoid what he is responsible for

    34
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    Mute Nick Caffrey
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    Jan 2nd 2015, 10:18 PM

    At least he’s got a bit of energy. Not like the rest of the muppets pretending to run the country.

    84
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    Mute Ignoreland
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    Jan 2nd 2015, 9:22 PM

    Comments on this page are hilarious. I bet if Gerry Adams appeared on Britain’s Got Talent, there’d be nothing but praise for him. Of course, he wouldn’t appear on a show called Britain’s Got Talent. Maybe a show called “The Occupied Six Counties have Talent, so They Do.”

    83
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    Mute Caoimhin O Hailpin
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    Jan 2nd 2015, 9:26 PM

    There is nothing hilarious about the Health ~Service that Minister Varadkar presides over

    29
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    Mute Michael O'Reilly
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    Jan 3rd 2015, 3:53 AM

    Good man Caoimhin, you’ve successfully managed to make exactly the same point several times. You don’t think the Health Service is very well run at the moment. We get you.

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    Mute Caoimhin O Hailpin
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    Jan 3rd 2015, 10:55 PM

    I notice you do not contradict the point nor who is responsible for the efficient runnnig of the Health Service http://jrnl.ie/1861899

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    Mute big willy
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    Jan 2nd 2015, 8:16 PM

    Varadkar would do anything to get attention and votes

    74
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    Mute Shane O Malley
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    Jan 2nd 2015, 8:19 PM

    shit i thought it was operation transportation and he was been transported to mars

    40
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    Mute Caoimhin O Hailpin
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    Jan 2nd 2015, 8:18 PM

    Another nice Leo story…doing everything except what he is supposed to do…………be Minister for Health

    57
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    Mute Vocal Outrage
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    Jan 2nd 2015, 9:00 PM

    Surely helping to battle the obesity epidemic in this country is the job of the Minister for Health.

    97
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    Mute Caoimhin O Hailpin
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    Jan 2nd 2015, 9:08 PM

    And how is he doing that ?

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    Mute McGuckin Annette
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    Jan 2nd 2015, 10:27 PM

    How long has operation transformation being on national TV, and what sort of inroads have they made in helping the demographics of all ages to change their eating habits? His time would be far better spent at his desk coming up with divisive policies that will actually address the problem.. If he’s so concerned about the obesity epidemic, how about lending a hand and talking to some of the service users of the Weight Management Clinic down in Loughlinstown,…he could swig it as a users forum.

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    Mute Caoimhin O Hailpin
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    Jan 2nd 2015, 10:42 PM

    Exactly Annette well said but i fear its all spin and no substance with this minister

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    Mute Aireach
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    Jan 3rd 2015, 2:04 AM

    The same way Mary Harney did when she was minister…Failed miserably

    4
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    Mute George Grey
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    Jan 2nd 2015, 8:12 PM

    Yeah….Leo’s a runner alright….Kenny’s little runner….and a lightweight at that!

    56
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    Mute www90
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    Jan 2nd 2015, 8:46 PM

    Leo is the nations next leader long Leo

    33
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    Mute big willy
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    Jan 2nd 2015, 10:11 PM

    Varadkar will never be leader, he has too much of an ego

    13
    SMcB
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    Mute SMcB
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    Jan 2nd 2015, 8:10 PM

    And in other news the world is round.

    53
    Gary
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    Mute Gary
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    Jan 2nd 2015, 8:18 PM

    SMcB, it’s not round. It’s an oblate spheroid or it can be called an ellipsoid.

    119
    SMcB
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    Mute SMcB
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    Jan 2nd 2015, 8:23 PM

    Thanks for the clarification……..

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    Mute See My Vest
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    Jan 2nd 2015, 8:28 PM

    Still round, just not a sphere.

    33
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    Mute Gus Sheridan
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    Jan 2nd 2015, 8:56 PM

    Gary, dont be an arse, you know what he meant

    12
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    Mute Adam Mac Cumascaigh
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    Jan 2nd 2015, 8:18 PM

    Hey Órla. I saw a spud in my local Tesco that appeared to look like Enda Kenny. Wanna run a story on that too? I’ll get you a picture if you like.

    49
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    Mute Art Vandelay
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    Jan 2nd 2015, 8:14 PM

    Jog on, Leo…

    45
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    Mute samdithers
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    Jan 2nd 2015, 8:23 PM

    Ugh, the minister for health makes me feel sick.

    31
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    Mute amos brearly
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    Jan 2nd 2015, 8:50 PM

    Future taoiseach. Leo, i bow to thee, good sir.

    29
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    Mute big willy
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    Jan 2nd 2015, 10:10 PM

    Varadkar wont be taoiseach

    16
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    Mute alpha_chaarlie
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    Jan 3rd 2015, 12:41 AM

    More of a chance that Queen Elizabeth will be thisogh that him. He’s nothing but a plonker.

    6
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    Mute David Carino
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    Jan 2nd 2015, 8:26 PM

    Should be changed to
    Operation Misinformation then so

    28
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    Mute Art Vandelay
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    Jan 2nd 2015, 8:28 PM

    Trolley Transformation

    22
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    Mute littleone
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    Jan 2nd 2015, 8:34 PM

    Look at the state of our health system. We all knew he was a runner. Running away from doing his job.

    28
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    Mute Fran Cowzer
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    Jan 2nd 2015, 8:31 PM

    Are they going to transform into a competent politician

    26
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    Mute D is Illusioned
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    Jan 2nd 2015, 9:26 PM

    Still waiting for him to begin the transformation of the health service.

    20
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    Mute Owen Kennedy
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    Jan 2nd 2015, 8:42 PM

    This NOT journalism. thejournal.ie me hoop

    17
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    Mute Paul Carey
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    Jan 2nd 2015, 9:12 PM

    Is that your autobiography or a comment on this article?

    9
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    Mute Caoimhin O Hailpin
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    Jan 2nd 2015, 9:58 PM
    8
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    Mute Caoimhin O Hailpin
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    Jan 2nd 2015, 10:59 PM

    it is long but read in full if you may please…gives a good perspective from the coal face of the dysfunctional health service and points to why the Minister is so anxious to talk about everything else except what he is responsible for

    4
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    Mute Michael Sands
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    Jan 2nd 2015, 11:34 PM

    The closer it gets to the elections, the more these Ministers and T.Ds will be doing all these weird stuff in the media, it only makes me think we will have an early election coming soon lol.

    8
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    Mute Caoimhin O Hailpin
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    Jan 2nd 2015, 10:56 PM

    Journal is hypersensitive tonight, yes it is not nice to call some one a plonker as was posted by somebody and then i admit to saying not just an ordinary one but a prize one, again not nice either, but i wonder why the sensitivity…Leo tells us he is a big boy

    6
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    Mute big willy
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    Jan 2nd 2015, 11:29 PM

    Varadkar is a hypocrite. After Kenny won the leadership heave, he said it would be “hypocritical” to accept a front bench spokesmanship after standing against him

    But it didn’t stop Varadkar accepting a job in the cabinet under him

    10
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    Mute Caoimhin O Hailpin
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    Jan 3rd 2015, 10:58 PM

    now now Big Willy it is very un-popular to post anything critical of Saint Leo

    1
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    Mute Aubrey
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    Jan 3rd 2015, 12:46 AM

    Any chance that man could transform into history

    6
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    Mute www90
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    Jan 2nd 2015, 8:46 PM

    Don’t be negatory

    5
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