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THE MARGINS ARE razor thin and candidates are circling swing states where there’s hope of grabbing those crucial Electoral College votes tomorrow, when Americans will choose their next president.
Republican Donald Trump has promised a “landslide” despite what polls show, while Democrat Kamala Harris said she has “momentum” on her side.
If elected, Harris will be the first female president of the United States.
Today she’s firing up supporters in Pennsylvania, which has 19 Electoral College votes, making it particularly crucial.
In Philadelphia, she’ll be joined at the rally by big names such as Lady Gaga, Oprah Winfrey, The Roots and Ricky Martin. The Pittsburgh rally will have performances by D-Nice, Katy Perry and Andra Day.
Meanwhile, Trump is holding four separate rallies, covering Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Michigan – all of which are considered ‘toss-up’ states.
Despite his fighting words, his campaign strategy suggests his team knows just how close the race is.
Well it's official: the final polls of 2024 project out an electoral map that is the closest since at least 1972 with the leader (Harris) getting 270 electoral votes.
— (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) November 4, 2024
The polls were tight at the end of 2000 too, but final map projected by the final polls was Gore at 281 votes. pic.twitter.com/FsHn1mQADf
Trump told a crowd in Georgia yesterday that he “shouldn’t have left” the White House after he lost his 2020 reelection bid to Biden, and then tried to overturn the results, culminating in the 6 January 2021 US Capitol riots.
Fears are mounting that he will again refuse to accept the result if defeated, and there is also concern that election workers could come under threat in the tense days ahead.
Some election staff have been given panic buttons to quickly alert authorities in emergencies, while at least two states, Nevada and Washington, have activated the National Guard in case of unrest.
European and US stock markets mostly fell and the dollar slid today as investors steel themselves for a coin-toss election.
While the candidates are very close in most polls, Harris is viewed more favourably by likely voters, having succeeded in portraying herself as the calmer of the two options.
Pollster and analyst Keiran Pedley says it’s a case of “vibes versus fundamentals”.
On fundamentals, some 75% of Americans told Ipsos that the US is on the wrong track. Just 16% said they are better off after Biden.
But on ‘vibes’, about half of those surveyed said Trump would “shake things up in a bad way”, while 31% said the same about Harris.
Abortion has become a key issue of this election and it’s been used as a stick for the Democrats to beat Trump with.
There have been reports of Republican women voting blue for the first time, believing Harris will better protect their interests.
In North Carolina, another swing state, one voter was seen going to the polls wearing a costume from The Handmaid’s Tale – no doubt a commentary on Trump’s track record of restricting women’s reproductive rights.
Last night, on her last US show of the Eras Tour, Pennsylvania-born singer Taylor Swift performed a mashup of her songs Death By A Thousand Cuts and The Great War, changing the lyrics to “my body, my choice”.
In Dublin, Democrats Abroad Ireland will be hosting a viewing party overnight tomorrow in the Arlington Hotel.
The event is a usual fixture of the US Presidential election in Ireland, but because of the pandemic this will be the first time it has taken place since 2016.
Treasurer of the Irish operation TJ Mulloy is hoping that this year’s event will be a happier one than 2016, when Trump beat Hillary Clinton.
Despite the mood on the night being a sombre one for Democrats, it was their biggest event ever in Ireland with 400-500 people in attendance.
This time around, Mulloy said they are expecting to draw a similar size crowd.
In terms of Kamala Harris’s chance at victory, Mulloy is feeling optimistic but he said there won’t be the same surprise felt this time if Trump is successful.
Like previous election years, Democrats Abroad have been engaged in their usual get-out-the-vote campaign.
In US Presidential elections, American passport holders are entitled to cast their vote in the state where they are registered. This is done by postal ballot rather than at the U.S. Embassy.
This time around, Mulloy said he has noticed more Americans in Ireland, who would traditionally vote Republican who have said “they just can’t vote Trump”.
With reporting by Jane Matthews and AFP
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Real lone patents. Not the ones that claim it and are a couple with separate accounts and a free gaff and benefits.
@Sickof thisshit: ….of which there are legion!
@Sickof thisshit: free gaf? If you live your whole life in a council house you’ll pay more in rent than its worth and then it either goes to your children who pay it all again or it goes back to the council. No such thing as a free house but it’s a privilege to own one.
@Dale Voinz: most lone parents would be paying around €30 per week or ~1500 per year. Say they are in the house for 50 years, that comes to a total rent of €75k so not quite the value of a house, then include maintenance, upgrades to the house, e.g. energy efficiency works etc and then you see what a good deal it is especially if the partner is living there off the books (you just have to look at the cars in council estates to see who’s riding the system).
@Dale Voinz:
@Dale Voinz: I think your calculations are a bit off
@Dale Voinz:
It’s a privilege to own one in a commie country.
In a free first world country it’s a reward for hard work
@The next small thing: minimum is 37 a week and your calculating that 1 adult lives in that house their entire life, kids out at 18 or after education and that person never worked a day in those 50 years, not 1 single day. That type of person would most likely have a disability and can’t work because 99% of council households are not paying that bare minimum. Calculate it on the opposite end at thr max rate of €500 (not taking into account inflation, as rents get more expensive and mortgages get easier over time) then €500 x 12 x 50 = €300,000. The council are not building homes at that cost. But anyway, I’d rather pay €500 a month to not live next door to someone like yourself and probably vice versa, so be grateful to live in such a great country to means right to housing is a thing :)
@Dale Voinz: again not great maths. Most 3 beds cost more than €300k. Better yet try find a mortgage for €300k at €500 a month with no upkeep costs plus no interest. You forget people who buy a house for €300k are paying interest at between 2-5%, so they end up paying another 150k or more ontop.
@Shane (Vaya): my comparison was on the other end of the extreme. A couple with no kids in a one bed working paying 500pm for 50 years, not to mention you’re probably not getting a new build and in a not so great area then only to hand it back to the council. But yeah I suppose that would be a “free gaf” lol. My math are fine, I think it’s your reading that’s the issue
Not doubting there’s some who feel the pinch, but there’s quite a few who will get the Botox,Lip Fillers and may even fly to New York to get the Christmas Presents in,I could keep going.
@martin lawlor: why you people don’t go and live on welfare is beyond me seeing as it’s so great
@john salmon: You people John?
Who would that be?
Read the comment again before playing the victim.
@martin lawlor: Absolutely, isn’t it a good thing the headline doesn’t say ‘not one single person on lone parent or renting has any disposable income to do anything they want, ever’ so?
@Megan Ward: A 100% Megan, as the headline says and I quote “Cover their Needs”. Now I for one do want to see anyone struggle regardless of their income etc; but the reality on the ground for some is definitely more properrous than other’s and I say some,before someone plays the victim again.
@martin lawlor: Sorry meant to say do not want, fat fingers, my bad
@martin lawlor: Yeah, and grass is green. We all know people who seem to have the life of Riley without working, that doesn’t really change the findings of the study and being unemployed or a lone parent still isn’t appealing to me or most people, I’d wager.
@Megan Ward: If I was to take a study of a 100 people outside a Bookies and asked them all had they a problem with gambling what do you think the findings would be?
Point being these studies are usually not reflective of reality or what’s perceived to be reality.
I’ll go back to the point where I said “Some” ,quite a few actually.There’s a lot of people who would prefer to not be in the situation they are in and I agree but for some its a mindset irrespective of what you or I would prefer.
@martin lawlor: With my experience in knowing them I think a gambling addict has far more incentive to lie about the issue, even to a stranger, than a person has to lie about whether their income is covering their costs or not. There’s a shame, stigma, and denial around addiction of all kinds that doesn’t quite exist in the same way for ‘Hmm, things are quite tight and I’m struggling a bit’ or ‘Hmm, my basics are covered but I don’t have a lot left over’ or ‘I’m doing fine’. Maybe some would spoof for shits and giggles, most would see no reason to lie.
Of course surveys and statistics are limited in their usefulness, but I don’t find it hard to believe that these people are struggling more on average just because I personally know a few huns who have enough money to get their lips and lashes done regularly without a job or yup bros decked out in designer.
@Megan Ward: Well Megan,based on that logic, I’m an Alcoholic,I’m Obese and I earn a fortune.
@martin lawlor: I’m obese, earn a middle of the road salary, and am terrible at saving money because I spend too much on holidays, gigs, and festivals without taking breaks to put money aside, up to you to decide whether those are things I’d go with if lying :)
@martin lawlor:
They deserve it if they worked for it. Unlike the professional welfare jockies
@john salmon:
Pride
@martin lawlor: you people who like to knowingly spread the lie that life on welfare is a bunch of roses.
@Megan Ward: You missed the Point Megan.Im not an alcoholic or obese ,nor do I earn a fortune.
Now if there was a study carried out the statistics might say different.
Now tell me who’s wrong me or the study?
It’s not about lying it’s about what you perceive as normal to you.
This studies do not delve into the spending habits etc of the people they survey.
@martin lawlor: Yes Martin, it was fairly obvious that you were going with ‘well I’m just going to spout something that isn’t true’. If you think that ‘lone parents, households with children, single adults and renters’ (to quote the article as is) aren’t more likely to struggle with basic needs across the board, I don’t know what to tell you. We could argue all day about the potential of different people answering the survey lumping things that we would consider discretionary into the ‘basic needs’ category and a margin of subjectivity, but if there’s any reason the survey is useless it’s because its findings are something that would seem obvious. Obvious, just like the fact that some people on social welfare have more for discretionary spending than some working people and yet it gets spouted here like it’s ground-breaking news.
A wider statistic does not negate the very real struggle that many working people (whether renting or homeowners) in this country face financially, nor does it give every single social welfare recipient, single adult, renter or parent a pass to say that they don’t have enough money for basics if an analysis shows otherwise.
Your point seems to be ‘well I see lots of these people have enough money for fillers and trips to New York so the survey is probably bull’, correct me if I’m wrong.
@Megan Ward: I agree with all you have said Megan.
I never used the word Bull, like most ERSI studies they are based on the opinion of the people surveyed without delving into the background and statistics that forms that opinion, what’s regarded as needs etc.
It’s headline grabbing at it’s best not fully factual.
I like many have been one of those working people who struggled to pay rent in the past etc and have faced many uphill battles ,I pick my socks up and keep going like many.
@martin lawlor: Perhaps I’m putting too much faith in people to be honest with themselves and the survey taker about what is objectively a basic need. Have a good Christmas, I’m treating myself to a Journal ban over the next few weeks!
@Megan Ward: You seem a very smart woman Megan and pose a very good articulate debate.Have a wonderful Christmas and Happy New Year.
@martin lawlor: exactly
It’s not just lone parents and renters who are feeling the pinch!
I am a lone parent AND a renter,am more concerned with having security in regards to my rental agreement,if you are feeling the pinch get a job ,still feeling the pinch GET A BETTER JOB
@sean weir: Fair play Sean,full respect.
@sean weir: my you should get a better job and buy a house
No such thing as lone parents.
Deadbeat Dads on the dole more like.
Need to cut welfare to slags that won’t name their baby daddys in court.
@Paul: Disgusting comment.
Reductive,inaccurate and misogynistic.
@Audreyanne Brady: It’s misandrist.
@Nodon: It manages to be both,somehow.
Lone perant with two kids
Would have to get a job paying around 1100 euro gross a week to match the welfare package.
@H Woo: It’s not PC to mention the Welfare Wages Wedge I in Wokeland, I mean Ireland. Sssss
For less than 10m euro the Govt could roll out this excellent community mothers programme in the 50 largest towns across the country which would support young families struggling from isolation and inability to navigate the social system. Instead it’s snail’s pace deployment even though Govt has adopted and launched it. Could be done in the morning.
@James Gorman: Here’s a tip. Fix the writing on the linked website.
Who thought that using nearly invisible lettering is a good idea
@James Gorman:
Defund the NGOD
@H Woo:
Defund the NGOs
But isn’t the headline suggesting a subjective rather than objective situation? ‘Needs’ needs to be defined, quantified, e.g. my needs are in all likelihood different from Tom’s, Dick’s or Harry’s, while basic needs are common for all, beyond basics there would be different individual situations.
It’s lone parents and people on low incomes living week to week trying to stay afloat. There’s a myth that if you work in this country you’re better off its depends on you’re salary in most cases it’s much as much the dole and rent allowance if you take into account no extra benefits high rent and low income. Waste of time may aswel count the birds.
@Paddy C: Had to close a business as unable to get staff to work through the books. Very capable people requiring/asking one day through the books and the rest cash. To pay cash the employer has to earn double required money pay taxes on it and then give the worker the money and it’s illegal. To pay100 cash the employer must earn and pay taxes on 200.
The main political campaigns will be for removing obstacles more house construction and sex education discouraging sex outside marriage.
Lot of hard cases out there that need help, but as for the others, having to pay for people that have made bad choices and lack motivation to get off welfare is very annoying, and these are Irish people.
We are supposed to be the richest country in Europe behind Luxembourg and one of the world’s richest, more than Sweden, Denmark, on paper… But even if it’s not like that, we are certainly one of the richest and still, our incomes don’t meet our needs, what’s for the rest of the world?
@J Ven:
We are top heavy with scroungers and that’s the reason why your taxes are to high and deserving services are underfunded.
Thank you, Captain Obvious.
It seems listing the costs for disability is deemed ‘ offensive ‘ wow
Single parent income is no joke . Yeah of course there are those who are making off like bandits & deceiving the state but they’re a small minority. Most worry about having enough to make ends meet . I was raised by a single father of five on benefits. Hardly how he would have wanted it but it was it was . Killed himself in the end due to stress & mental illness. So maybe before we go assuming they’re all layabouts & grifters of a sort, take a breath and consider what gets people in the situation in the first place
There was an article somewhere that a “comfortable retirement” costs 33k,/year. Most people don’t even have that during their working years. Load of s…. and fearmongering about the future.
A single person with one child in Ireland is entitled to circa €27800 a year in total cash benefits plus medical card. Its not a kings ransome, but its still a very significant sum of money to recieve, despite never having to work a day in your life..
have your say