Advertisement

We need your help now

Support from readers like you keeps The Journal open.

You are visiting us because we have something you value. Independent, unbiased news that tells the truth. Advertising revenue goes some way to support our mission, but this year it has not been enough.

If you've seen value in our reporting, please contribute what you can, so we can continue to produce accurate and meaningful journalism. For everyone who needs it.

First-time buyers have begun buying says Trinity College economist Ronan Lyons. Laura Hutton/Photocall Ireland

Dublin house prices rise but supply, not bubble, the key worry says economist

Prices in Dublin were up by 7.7 per cent on last year but prices dropped in every other county in the state according to Daft.ie

PROPERTY ASKING PRICES in Dublin maintained a steady rise in the third-quarter of the year while prices dropped in every other county in the state.

Prices in Dublin were up by 7.7 per cent compared to the same period last year with asking prices outside the capital falling 6.7  per cent.

The figures are contained in the latest Daft.ie house price report which showed that asking prices across Dublin have risen for the third consecutive quarter. All of the six different areas in Dublin that are monitored as part of the report rose, the first time since 2007 that this has happened.

Although prices continued to fall outside the capital, the 6.7 decline was the smallest since mid-2008. The biggest falls were observed in north-west where asking prices in Leitrim, Roscommon, Sligo and Galway all fell by double digits.

image

Map showing the change in house prices (Image: Daft.ie)

Supply shortages

The supply of property continues to be the primary issue across the country with the stock of properties on the market falling by 10,000 over the past year, the second year in a row a fall on that scale has been seen.

First-time buyers in Dublin have been delaying their purchases over the past number of years according to Trinity College economist Ronan Lyons, who says what were are now seeing is those buyers becoming active and stimulating the market.

Concerns about a new bubble emerging in Dublin are probably overstated however he says, “Ultimately bubbles can only emerge with loose credit, and there are few who would argue that the housing market in Dublin is cursed with easy money.”

The demand that has been awoken can be seen in the report which shows that two-thirds of Dublin properties find a buyer within four months, up from 56 per cent a year ago. Lyons explains the current state of play in Dublin:

What we are witnessing is something like the lancing of a boil. For almost five years, a significant chunk of would-be first-time buyers based in Dublin held off making a purchase, enjoying not only falling prices while they did but falling rents for the early years also. And they saved. Then, probably due to a combination of the end of mortgage interest relief, rising rents and starting their own families, they started to buy.

Lyons’ concern is  not another credit-fuelled bubble in the capital but the fact that Dublin is not building enough housing units. A consistent supply would stop prices in the capital rising again to unsustainable levels he says:

A city of almost half a million households is building only slightly more than 1,000 units a year. This is probably one tenth of the number of new homes it needs. Available figures suggest that there are about 10,000 first-time mothers in Dublin each year.

The full Daft.ie house price report can be downloaded here.

(Note: Daft.ie is part of Distilled Media Group. Journal Media Ltd has shareholders – Brian and Eamonn Fallon – in common with Distilled Media Group)

Read: Dublin property prices up 10.6 per cent as cash sales increase >

Read: Average rent hits €825 per month as Dublin prices rise significantly >

Read: Again? House prices in parts of Dublin jump by 12% >

Readers like you are keeping these stories free for everyone...
A mix of advertising and supporting contributions helps keep paywalls away from valuable information like this article. Over 5,000 readers like you have already stepped up and support us with a monthly payment or a once-off donation.

Close
31 Comments
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Funfair
    Favourite Funfair
    Report
    Apr 21st 2017, 6:54 AM

    How about debating medical card holders not pension holders paying 10 euro per doctor visit. When your paying 55 quid per visit and you can’t see a doctor for 3 days because he’s booked solid with medical card holders with colds and aches blocking up the system.
    If they were charged they wot be visiting until they need to like the rest of us.

    251
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Boganity
    Favourite Boganity
    Report
    Apr 21st 2017, 8:28 AM

    @Funfair: that’s a question for the government to answer not a trade union conference

    22
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Funfair
    Favourite Funfair
    Report
    Apr 21st 2017, 8:45 AM

    @Boganity: why is a trade union conference debating our drink driving laws then ?

    68
    See 3 more replies ▾
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Greg Blake
    Favourite Greg Blake
    Report
    Apr 21st 2017, 10:33 AM

    @Funfair: because doctors are reminicing the old irish local junta system. The doctor, the priest and the garda seargent that kept all the peasants in their place. They still have the ear of government and think by virtue of a few years in trinity they should set policy. Drink driving needs to be tackled, but we have a government getting paid to do that.

    10
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute mad_fluffy
    Favourite mad_fluffy
    Report
    Apr 21st 2017, 10:43 AM

    @Funfair: it’s not pension card holder or medical card holder blocking up the waiting room..but women with there kids .kids with nothing wrong with them..except for a cough or runny nose..

    11
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Suzie Sunshine
    Favourite Suzie Sunshine
    Report
    Apr 21st 2017, 12:15 PM

    @mad_fluffy: which are mostly medical card holders …

    7
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Liam John Bradshaw
    Favourite Liam John Bradshaw
    Report
    Apr 21st 2017, 6:20 AM

    Why make these laws & then debate them, drink driving should be a ban at all times. People know the law & some people are willing to drink & drive. If they take the chance they should be prepared to take the punishment!

    117
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Boganity
    Favourite Boganity
    Report
    Apr 21st 2017, 8:25 AM

    @Liam John Bradshaw: and what’s it got to do with doctors or their trade union conference

    29
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Kian
    Favourite Kian
    Report
    Apr 21st 2017, 10:48 AM

    @Boganity: they brought it up

    1
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Paul Foot
    Favourite Paul Foot
    Report
    Apr 21st 2017, 6:33 AM

    All EU countries ban drink drivers – and we should be no different.

    101
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Gerard Heery
    Favourite Gerard Heery
    Report
    Apr 21st 2017, 6:45 AM

    Being tired behind the wheel is even worse than having one drink ,twelve hour night shifts ,!

    103
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Boganity
    Favourite Boganity
    Report
    Apr 21st 2017, 8:26 AM

    @Gerard Heery: has this scientific finding of yours been peer reviewed ?

    12
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Alan O'Rourke
    Favourite Alan O'Rourke
    Report
    Apr 21st 2017, 8:59 AM

    @Boganity: poking figurative holes in someone’s argument would be best backed up by an informed rebuttal of your own, Bog…

    20
    See 3 more replies ▾
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Paddy Kavanagh
    Favourite Paddy Kavanagh
    Report
    Apr 21st 2017, 10:41 AM

    @Gerard Heery: as someone who works 12hr night shifts I completely agree..i put it in the same bracket as having about 6-7 drinks

    11
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Gerard Heery
    Favourite Gerard Heery
    Report
    Apr 21st 2017, 10:22 PM

    @Boganity: it happens all the time but theres no prove ,only to say must of being speeding at three in the morning.

    1
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Gerard Heery
    Favourite Gerard Heery
    Report
    Apr 21st 2017, 10:28 PM

    @Boganity: ok I will say in the early Ninetys worked shift and left work completely knackered after 12 hours as did other workers on the shift I’ll leave at that,

    1
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Kian
    Favourite Kian
    Report
    Apr 21st 2017, 7:27 AM

    Ross should put more effort into enforcing the laws already in place. I’m all for zero tolerance, but what’s the point in this legislation when the guards don’t enforce the current laws with any real regularity (not in rural areas anyway). Not to detract from the issue of rural isolation (not that it’s any excuse for drink driving) but Ross needs to look outside the pale and sort out some decent rural transport links. But, knowing him, that’s probably outside his remit…

    53
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Boganity
    Favourite Boganity
    Report
    Apr 21st 2017, 8:30 AM

    @Kian: one death saved is enough to justify the ban, 35 that’s a no brainer

    17
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Kian
    Favourite Kian
    Report
    Apr 21st 2017, 8:33 AM

    @Boganity: it Is, but he’d save even more lives with better enforcement

    15
    See 1 more reply ▾
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute mad_fluffy
    Favourite mad_fluffy
    Report
    Apr 21st 2017, 10:47 AM

    @Boganity: the roads are busier than ever a road fatality is enviable.. nothing can avoid that

    5
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Martin Critten
    Favourite Martin Critten
    Report
    Apr 21st 2017, 8:08 AM

    As the journal fact find article pointed out it uncertain whether the ‘lives saved’ would ever result in any of this kind of action. We have to remember we are addressing issues so infintesmally small in quantity we couldn’t't legislate to eradicate. Fatal outcomes represent 0.0000007% of road activity. Maybe concentrating on mental health issues would have greater effect on society. But sure the corporate which is the RSA, can’t get revenue from that.

    27
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Boganity
    Favourite Boganity
    Report
    Apr 21st 2017, 8:31 AM

    @Martin Critten: so what’s an acceptable number of deaths from driving over the limit ?

    4
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Brown Boots
    Favourite Brown Boots
    Report
    Apr 21st 2017, 8:34 AM

    When did doctors become law makers!

    18
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Eileen Nolan
    Favourite Eileen Nolan
    Report
    Apr 21st 2017, 10:22 AM

    There should be breathalyser kits in each car. So drivers can test themselves before they drive. So no excuses.

    9
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Johnnie Sexton
    Favourite Johnnie Sexton
    Report
    Apr 21st 2017, 9:40 AM

    If you fail both blood and urine tests then obviously drink drivers should be band. End of story, otherwise why bother testing in first place.

    6
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Shawn Rahoon
    Favourite Shawn Rahoon
    Report
    Apr 21st 2017, 1:36 PM

    Like to remind Mr Ross and his supporters that text driving has been proven to be more dangerous than drink driving. So why not give them an auto ban? Or what about banning all drivers for distractive driving?

    3
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute John Flood
    Favourite John Flood
    Report
    Apr 21st 2017, 1:06 PM

    What’s to debate? Automatic ban is a good strategy. Revisit impact in five years to renew or abandon.

    2
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Gerard Heery
    Favourite Gerard Heery
    Report
    Apr 21st 2017, 10:37 PM

    Funny thing about all these new laws ,if Kim Un Jong sets off a nuke these laws won’t mean a thing they’ll be alot more worrying issues come to mind like we’re did I put my 1995 iodine tablet.

    1
Submit a report
Please help us understand how this comment violates our community guidelines.
Thank you for the feedback
Your feedback has been sent to our team for review.