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Taoiseach Simon Harris has the highest approval rating of a leader of a political party, the poll showed. Alamy Stock Photo

Coalition between Fine Gael, Fianna Fáil, and Independents preferred, says new poll

The poll, released this evening, was carried out by Ireland Thinks between yesterday, 1 November, and today.

FINE GAEL IS still the most popular party as the general election draws nearer, a new opinion poll by the Sunday Independent/Ireland Thinks has said.

Those polled indicated a high preference for a coalition between Fine Gael, Fianna Fáil, and Independents, with 69% choosing this option, compared to 31% who chose a Sinn Féin-led government excluding Fine Gael and Fianna Fáil.

The results of the poll, released this evening, was carried out by Ireland Thinks between yesterday, 1 November, and today. It surveyed 1,832 people and has a margin of error of 2.3%.

Of those surveyed, 26% said that they would give their No. 1 vote in the imminent general election to Fine Gael. One in five (20%) said that they would give their first preference vote to Fianna Fáil, while 18% said opposition party Sinn Féin.

Under 1 in 10 (9%) said they don’t know who they will vote for, while 61% said that they already know, and 30% said they are “broadly sure”. 

Fine Gael is currently on 26% approval rating, marking no change. Coalition partner Fianna Fáil gained a point, moving to 20%. The Green Party remains on 4%. 

Sinn Féin lost one point, moving to 18%. Labour (4%) and Aontú (3%) also dropped a point. Support for Independents/Other remained at 16%, and the Social Democrats (6%) and People Before Profit (2%) also remained unchanged.

Support for leaders, as derived from the poll, show Taoiseach Simon Harris leading on 53%, ahead of Tánaiste Micheál Martin on 48%, and Sinn Féin’s Mary Lou McDonald on 33%.

Green Party leader Roderick O’Gorman received an approval rating of 27%, falling behind Holly Cairns of the Social Democrats (43%), Ivana Bacik of Labour (34%), and Peadar Tóibín of Aontú (33%).

Last week, Green Party leader Roderick O’Gorman said that he was concerned that a previous poll, conducted by the Business Post / Red C, suggested Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael could form a government without his party.

Speaking on RTÉ’s This Week at the time, when asked if he would be concerned at the latest polling, Roderic O’Gorman said: “I would.”

He said he believed the three-party coalition had been “a good government”.

General Election

The results of the latest poll come as it is expected that Harris will dissolve the Dáil in the coming week, making way for the announcement of a date for the general election. 

The touted date is 29 November, though 6 December has also been mooted.

The three coalition partners are now making efforts to distinguish their parties from one another as the election draws nearer, with O’Gorman yesterday telling reporters that he was getting “pushback” on from his coalition partners on the area of the new traffic strategy, as well as some other measures too. 

Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael also indicated at possible frustrations between coalition partners. 

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    Mute Finian McG
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    Nov 19th 2024, 7:36 AM

    Whatever about Status Yellow, don’t forget Operation Green on Friday week. Get them yokes gone for good this time!

    341
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    Mute Brendan O'Brien
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    Nov 19th 2024, 8:05 AM

    @Finian McG: No doubt you’ll be voting far-right. I prefer the Greens and other decent parties, thanks.

    149
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    Mute Paul M Doe
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    Nov 19th 2024, 8:13 AM

    @Finian McG: anyone but the greens and SF

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    Mute Shane O Mac
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    Nov 19th 2024, 8:16 AM

    @Brendan O’Brien: adding to the problem

    48
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    Mute Regular John
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    Nov 19th 2024, 8:21 AM

    @Brendan O’Brien:
    LOL ! Delusions of grandeur…

    57
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    Mute Brendan O'Brien
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    Nov 19th 2024, 8:26 AM

    @Shane O Mac: By not voting far-right? Seriously?

    21
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    Mute Kieran Menon
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    Nov 19th 2024, 8:47 AM

    @Brendan O’Brien: 1mm to the right is “far right” apparently.

    65
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    Mute Brendan O'Brien
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    Nov 19th 2024, 8:51 AM

    @Kieran Menon: No, that would be the centre or, at most, the centre right.

    50
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    Mute Seosamh Ohuaine
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    Nov 19th 2024, 8:58 AM

    @Brendan O’Brien: Is Anyone except the greens far right Brendan.

    73
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    Mute eoin fitzpatrick
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    Nov 19th 2024, 10:08 AM

    @Finian McG: it’s not like any of you were voting for my beloved greens in the first place. They’ve delivered much of their manifesto so green voters like myself are pleased with their performance.

    59
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    Mute Mary M
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    Nov 19th 2024, 10:42 AM

    @eoin fitzpatrick: tool

    58
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    Mute Brian Hunt
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    Nov 19th 2024, 11:36 AM

    @Brendan O’Brien: I wonder why I’m not surprised!

    14
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    Mute Joe Beirne
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    Nov 19th 2024, 3:01 PM

    @eoin fitzpatrick: Go sell your lettuce somewhere else, we are all stocked up.

    37
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    Mute Ger Whelan
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    Nov 19th 2024, 3:39 PM

    @Brendan O’Brien: Greens and decent don’t go together.

    45
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    Mute Ned
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    Nov 19th 2024, 4:33 PM

    @Brendan O’Brien: the greens like piling on useless carbon taxes on you and all how decent is that?? Brenden B.

    32
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    Mute sean weir
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    Nov 19th 2024, 5:12 PM

    @eoin fitzpatrick: did Duffy no just stop 300 homes being built because “it overlooks my kitchen”
    Feck the greens

    37
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    Mute damien leen
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    Nov 19th 2024, 7:25 PM

    @Brendan O’Brien: Far right…you don’t even know what it means, clearly.

    12
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    Mute Kevin Kerr
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    Nov 19th 2024, 8:03 PM

    @damien leen: tell us then, Damien, what does far right mean to you?

    8
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    Mute Mick Joe
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    Nov 20th 2024, 6:12 AM

    @Kevin Kerr: We don’t have any far right parties.

    4
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    Mute Kevvy kerrr
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    Nov 19th 2024, 9:41 AM

    As usual, …..an article about some chilly weather a-coming & it’s hijacked into political mud slinging & juvenile reamblings

    190
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    Mute Sun Rise
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    Nov 19th 2024, 5:28 PM

    @Kevvy kerrr: No surprise at all. The kids are using mummy’s mobile. I wish she would keep them away from it.

    26
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    Mute AnthonyK
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    Nov 19th 2024, 10:15 AM

    Israel condemned last night by all political parties for their attack on Palestinians. There was little mention of the Hamas and Hezbollah attacks that started the conflict. Although I think Martin did condemn Hezbollah / Hamas. Anyway, most people label Israel right wing.

    Israel formed after the holocaust. Nazi’ are considered right wing. Nazi’s were supported during the war by the Palestinians.

    It can get very confusing when people are labelled right wing.

    100
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    Mute Pól Pot
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    Nov 19th 2024, 1:00 PM

    @AnthonyK: Israel had a plan hatched long before the holocaust. Chaim Weizmann had the ear of British parliament via his acetone, and he pushed Herzrl’s Der Judenstaat relentlessly. The idea that Hammas started the conflict last October is ignorant and insulting. The Jews are aware of the awful nature of the atrocities they’re committing. It’s a moral price they’re prepared to pay to ensure they’re survival as peoples.

    97
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    Mute Pól Pot
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    Nov 19th 2024, 1:01 PM

    @Pól Pot: *their survival….

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    Mute Pól Pot
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    Nov 19th 2024, 1:05 PM

    @AnthonyK: You can be bloody sure they’re right wing. No confusion.

    38
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    Mute Thomas Sheridan
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    Nov 19th 2024, 3:25 PM

    @Pól Pot: You correctly point that Hamas didn’t start the conflict last October. NO, it would be more correct to say they started it in 2005, after Israel withdrew from Gaza and left them with a modern & well developed region on a prime Mediterranean coast. But such was their obsession to destroy Israel that they have ended being destroyed themselves. (And don’t mention walls, blockades, etc. – this all happened after their suicide campaign against Israeli civilians).

    24
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    Mute Pól Pot
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    Nov 19th 2024, 4:00 PM

    @Thomas Sheridan: Ye know nought.

    18
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    Mute Pól Pot
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    Nov 19th 2024, 4:23 PM

    @Thomas Sheridan: Deir Yassin massacre?

    11
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    Mute Paul Whitehead
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    Nov 19th 2024, 4:46 PM

    @Thomas Sheridan: I’m sure you’re wrong. Was it not the day before my 20th birthday? Either that or at the signing of the Balfour agreement which robbed generations of Palestinian people of their land and homes, in favour of Jews. Either way it goes back a bit. The only certainty is that Israel stole the land.

    32
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    Mute Eoin Jackson
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    Nov 19th 2024, 4:54 PM

    @AnthonyK: you seem to be under the illusion that the Hamas attacks started the conflict. Let me clarify for you and hopefully ease your confusion. The conflict started in well before October 7th and dates back to 1949. 2023 was the most deadly year on record for Palestinian children since records began. Up until the 7th October that was. It was one of the bloodiest years in the history of Gaza for Palestinian civilians. Then October 7th happened. Everyone and condemned October 7th. Everyone who supports Palestine condemned October 7th. It shouldn’t happen. Why can you not condemn Israel’s actions? Maybe learn more than “WhAt AbOuT oCtObEr 7Th” before commenting on the matter?

    20
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    Mute Eoin Jackson
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    Nov 19th 2024, 4:56 PM

    @Eoin Jackson: I also struggle to believe October 7th happened without Israel’s blessing. This is a state that spends trillions on defence. Has an incredible intelligence agency in the Mossad that had Hamas infiltrated on nearly every level. But you’d have us believe that it was a complete surprise attack and the Israeli leadership had absolutely no idea it was brewing. Yeah, I have a bridge to sell you and it’s going at a great price, a special discount for you…

    27
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    Mute North Phone Bowe
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    Nov 19th 2024, 5:02 PM

    @AnthonyK: Hamas was formed in 1987. Explain the Nakba and genocidal ethnic cleaning for 40 years prior to that.

    16
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    Mute Thomas Sheridan
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    Nov 19th 2024, 6:17 PM

    @Paul Whitehead: Take that up with the Turks that owned it before the Jews returned, or the Arabs that abandoned their land at the behest of their invading Arab neighbours

    5
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    Mute Pól Pot
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    Nov 19th 2024, 6:56 PM

    @Thomas Sheridan: Was never abandoned. Not ever. Consistently populated.

    8
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    Mute Alex
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    Nov 20th 2024, 1:09 AM

    @Paul Whitehead: no such thing as Palestine. Never existed.

    2
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    Mute Alex
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    Nov 20th 2024, 1:10 AM

    @Pól Pot: it wasn’t, it has been colonised by Arabs rats.

    1
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    Mute Ronan Mc
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    Nov 19th 2024, 1:35 PM

    Great weather for a trip to the Sally Gap

    59
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    Mute Brian Hunt
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    Nov 19th 2024, 4:35 PM

    @Ronan Mc: And no doubt, people will try to get there!

    30
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    Mute Paul M Doe
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    Nov 20th 2024, 5:22 AM

    @Brian Hunt: let Darwin look after it, people should be left too it don’t bother saving dumbos lol

    1
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    Mute Brian Hunt
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    Nov 19th 2024, 11:44 AM

    I’m just waiting for the hired hacks to ambush anyone who suggests Climate Change is a scam cooked up by government to increase taxes!

    62
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    Mute Finian McG
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    Nov 19th 2024, 12:46 PM

    @Brian Hunt: Up to $41 billion in World Bank climate finance unaccounted for, Oxfam finds
    Published: 17th October 2024

    Up to $41 billion in World Bank climate finance —nearly 40 percent of all climate funds disbursed by the Bank over the past seven years— is unaccounted for due to poor record-keeping practices, reveals a new Oxfam report published today ahead of the World Bank and IMF Annual Meetings in Washington D.C.

    77
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    Mute Finian McG
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    Nov 19th 2024, 12:49 PM

    @Brian Hunt: Plants the world over are absorbing about 31% more carbon dioxide than previously thought, according to a new assessment developed by scientists. The research, detailed in the journal Nature, is expected to improve Earth system simulations that scientists use to predict the future climate, and spotlights the importance of natural carbon sequestration for greenhouse gas mitigation.

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    Mute Thomas Sheridan
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    Nov 19th 2024, 3:18 PM

    @Finian McG: Oxfam has its own governance and accountability issues to deal with.

    8
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    Mute Pól Pot
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    Nov 19th 2024, 7:45 AM

    Ireland’s top scorer, Robbie Herzl.

    43
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    Mute michael graham
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    Nov 20th 2024, 5:05 PM

    @Pól Pot: one of Ireland’s best ever players and started his.career as a manager very well

    1
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    Mute Dan Murphy
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    Nov 19th 2024, 6:36 PM

    I wonder what Gom will need rescuing off a mountain over the next few days,

    39
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    Mute Paul Whitehead
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    Nov 19th 2024, 4:47 PM

    Has LIDL got any bread left??

    27
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    Mute Marco Ilariuzzi
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    Nov 19th 2024, 7:01 PM

    @Paul Whitehead: time to get the jcb out

    13
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    Mute Brian Hunt
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    Nov 19th 2024, 8:38 PM

    @Paul Whitehead: Yes, but running low on bog roll!

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    Mute P. V. Aglue
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    Nov 19th 2024, 10:23 PM

    @Paul Whitehead: they have their ski gear on offer

    2
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    Mute Paul whitehead
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    Nov 20th 2024, 7:58 AM

    @P. V. Aglue: We may need it with this appalling weather alert. It’s terrifying. I can see white on the roof of my neighbour house.

    1
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    Mute Paul whitehead
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    Nov 20th 2024, 7:59 AM

    @Marco Ilariuzzi: Things are bad but surely we cannot go down that road again.

    1
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    Mute Phillip Smyth
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    Nov 19th 2024, 6:45 PM

    Jesus it’s cold out there.

    19
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    Mute Willie Marty
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    Nov 19th 2024, 7:39 PM

    @Phillip Smyth: baby its warm in here.

    12
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    Mute Phillip Smyth
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    Nov 19th 2024, 9:23 PM

    @Willie Marty: give it over.

    2
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    Mute damien leen
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    Nov 19th 2024, 7:24 PM

    Those lovely high energy bills, highest in Europe gonna come in real handy now…What am I talking about, forgot about the couple of €125 payments towards energy bills from this wonderful government, that’ll get us through the winter!

    19
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    Mute john mac
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    Nov 19th 2024, 5:58 PM

    Did sleepy cycle to cop meeting and eat bugs? he did in me b olocks

    25
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    Mute Kevin Daly
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    Nov 19th 2024, 9:05 PM

    There’s all them IPA’S in nice comfy hotels paid for by us tax payers whilst our own Irish women and children and men sleep on the freezing streets. It’s Sickening. I’ve two girls if I didn’t I would take one or two homeless people in it’s shameful what this current government has done

    24
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    Mute Andrew Kenny
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    Nov 19th 2024, 9:09 PM

    @Kevin Daly: And I guarantee you Kevin that the same government (more or less) will be back in power in a few weeks. The electorate are thick.

    22
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    Mute Alex
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    Nov 20th 2024, 1:13 AM

    @Kevin Daly: They also live in tents. Nobody cares what you think Kevin because you would never take any rough sleeping people.

    4
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    Mute Margaret Gallagher
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    Nov 19th 2024, 3:08 PM

    Drill baby drill is it so? Where will these climate change deniers find an Irish Trump to vote for ?

    12
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    Mute Margaret Gallagher
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    Nov 19th 2024, 3:12 PM

    Someone with a huge jet and a cavalcade of limos to move him around and of course who would to speak up for the “people ” and be besties wurh criminals and abusers of all sorts like himself ?

    15
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    Mute K O
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    Nov 20th 2024, 10:20 AM

    @Margaret Gallagher: give it a rest and go and do some housework

    1
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    Mute Paul Doheny
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    Nov 19th 2024, 9:43 PM

    FFS it’s only frost

    5
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    Mute Tomas Barrett
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    Nov 19th 2024, 10:46 PM

    @Paul Doheny: it’s not only frost. It”s cold enough that the water on the ground will freeze. Could be quite dangerous for people walking/ driving early tomorrow.

    9
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    Mute Joanne Stokes
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    Nov 20th 2024, 6:22 AM

    @Tomas Barrett: well bring out the gritters hardly any out last time we had bad weather were the County Councils asleep at wheel. No accountability like!!

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    Mute Phillip Smyth
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    Nov 19th 2024, 3:12 PM

    Change from the typical.

    4
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    Mute P. V. Aglue
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    Nov 19th 2024, 10:26 PM

    Storm coming Saturday.

    4
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    Mute Willie Marty
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    Nov 19th 2024, 10:52 PM

    @P. V. Aglue: bigger one Friday week-Hurricane Simon.

    9
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    Mute Phillip Smyth
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    Nov 19th 2024, 11:29 PM

    @Willie Marty: light breeze Simon.

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    Mute Jonathan Hanlon
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    Nov 19th 2024, 6:28 PM

    This is dreadful news

    4
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