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The wreckage of Azerbaijan Airlines Embraer 190 lays on the ground near the airport of Aktau, Kazakhstan Alamy Stock Photo

What we know about the Azerbaijan Airlines jet crash in Kazakhstan

Some aviation and military experts said the plane might have been accidentally shot by Russian air defence systems.

SPECULATION CONTINUES TO swirl around the cause of Wednesday’s Azerbaijan Airlines jet crash in western Kazakhstan. 

The crash killed 38 of the 67 people on board.

Several media reports have quoted Azerbaijani officials as saying they suspect a Russian air defence missile caused the crash while the Kremlin has declined to comment until the official investigation is completed.

What happened?

Flight J2-8243 left Heydar Aliyev International Airport in Baku, Azerbaijan, at 7:55am (local time) on Christmas day. It was destined for Kadyrov Grozny International Airport in Russia.

The Embraer 190 jet crashed near the Kazakh city of Aktau after two attempts to land at its destination in the Russian city of Grozny and then diverting far off course across the Caspian Sea. The diversion was due to thick fog, the airline and Russian authorities have said. 

The specialist website Flightradar24, which tracks flights, said the flight had experienced “significant GPS interference”.

The plane “stopped sending positional data” for a few minutes, the site said.

A survivor, Subkhonkul Rakhimov, told Russia’s state broadcaster RT that an “explosion” appeared to happen outside the plane as it attempted to land in Grozny in fog, causing shrapnel to penetrate inside.

“I wouldn’t say it was inside the plane because the skin of the fuselage near where I was sitting flew off,” he said.

“I grabbed a life jacket and saw there was a hole in it – it was pierced by shrapnel.”

Footage posted on social media showed the moment the plane crashed and burst into flames. Another video taken by a passenger on board showed him praying as cabin crew told people to remain seated

caucasus-and-central-asia-political-map-with-countries-their-capitals-national-borders-important-cities-rivers-and-lakes A map of the Caucasus and central Asia Alamy Stock Photo Alamy Stock Photo

What has Azerbaijan said?

According to Azerbaijan Airlines and the Azerbaijani transport minister, the plane suffered physical “external interference”.

The airline and minister both cited preliminary results of an investigation today, which has only added to speculation it was hit by a Russian air defence system.

Statements from Azerbaijan citing the investigation into the incident suggest they believe the plane was hit in mid-air.

“Based on the opinion of experts and on the words of eyewitnesses, it can be concluded that there was external interference,” Azerbaijani’s transport minister, Rashad Nabiyev, told reporters today.

“It is necessary to find out from what kind of weapon,” he added, citing reports from survivors of hearing “three explosions” as the plane was over Grozny.

Azerbaijan Airlines said it has suspended flights to 10 Russian airports.

What has Russia said?

Russia’s aviation agency said on Wednesday that “due to an emergency situation on board the plane, the pilot decided to go to another airport – Aktau was chosen”.

Russia’s aviation chief said today that Grozny, the capital of Chechnya in Russia, was being attacked by Ukrainian drones at the time that the pilots were trying land.

However, the Kremlin has declined to comment on reports the plane was accidentally shot down by Russian air defence missiles.

In the aftermath of the crash, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said: “It would be wrong to put forward any hypotheses before the investigation’s conclusions. We, of course, will not do this, and no-one should do this. We need to wait until the investigation is completed.”

Authorities in Kazakhstan, a key Russian ally, have also warned against “speculation”.

The head of Russia’s civil aviation agency, Dmitry Yadrov, said today that “the situation on this day and at these hours in the area of Grozny airport was very complex”.

“Ukrainian attack drones at this time were making terrorist attacks on civilian infrastructure in the cities of Grozny and Vladikavkaz,” Yadrov said, referring to a nearby city.

He said the Azeri pilot made “two attempts to land the plane in Grozny that were unsuccessful” in “thick fog”.

“The pilot was offered other airports. He took the decision to go to Aktau airport,” he added.

What have experts said?

Some aviation and military experts said the plane might have been accidentally shot by Russian air defence systems because it was flying in an area where Ukrainian drone activity had been reported.

Experts have also pointed to signs of shrapnel damage on the plane wreckage as evidence it was hit by air defence systems.

An Azerbaijan pro-government website, Caliber, and several other media have cited unnamed Azerbaijani officials as saying they believed a Russian missile fired from a Pantsir-S1 air defence system caused the crash.

Ukraine’s military intelligence has also claimed this, and Ukraine’s presidency said Russia “must be held responsible for the downing” of the plane.

 

With reporting from AFP 

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    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Paddy Ryan
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    Dec 27th 2024, 4:24 PM

    Putin’s poison spreading everywhere.

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    Mute Ger Whelan
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    Dec 27th 2024, 4:26 PM

    @Paddy Ryan: it’s spread to you. He’s living rent free in your head

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    Mute Paddy Ryan
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    Dec 27th 2024, 4:26 PM

    @Ger Whelan: yes comrade bot

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    Mute Ger Whelan
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    Dec 27th 2024, 4:28 PM

    @Paddy Ryan: Tell me why do you always have Putin on the brain? He’s literally all you talk about here.

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    Mute DJ D
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    Dec 27th 2024, 4:30 PM

    @Paddy Ryan: He has absolutely no regard for human life whether that is killing someone in a gulag firing missiles at civilian aircraft or just simply pushing dissidents out of a top floor window

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    Mute Paddy Ryan
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    Dec 27th 2024, 4:33 PM

    @DJ D: yes absolutely. An evil person. Plenty of pro Russian bots on this page trying to influence us.

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    Mute Brendan O'Brien
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    Dec 27th 2024, 4:35 PM

    @Ger Whelan: His comment is on topic, which is more than can be said for yours.

    ‘Living rent free in your head’ is such a cliché at this point.

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    Mute Ger Whelan
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    Dec 27th 2024, 4:37 PM

    @Paddy Ryan: Who’s trying to influence you?. I’m just curious to know why the only comments you post on here are about Putin. It’s like there is nothing else going on in your life and waiting to post about him.

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    Mute honey badger
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    Dec 27th 2024, 4:50 PM

    @Paddy Ryan: Don’t mind Ger. He’s a harmless contrarian who thinks out loud in the comments and will, in all likelihood, contradict himself in about 10 minutes when a new thought appears in his head and seeks freedom…

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    Mute Paddy Ryan
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    Dec 27th 2024, 4:51 PM

    @honey badger: very true

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    Mute Ger Whelan
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    Dec 27th 2024, 5:01 PM

    @honey badger: the only person who contradicts themselves on here is yourself. Just look at you calling people traveling to Russia heros.

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    Mute Patrick MC Dermott
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    Dec 27th 2024, 5:04 PM

    @Paddy Ryan: Russia announced that it was caused by a bird strike, before the plane hit the ground.! A bird strike in a landing situation would be unlikely to cause a crash. Russia should have come up with a more credible reason .

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    Mute Paddy Ryan
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    Dec 27th 2024, 5:06 PM

    @Patrick MC Dermott: maybe ger can enlighten us.

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    Mute honey badger
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    Dec 27th 2024, 5:12 PM

    @Ger Whelan: The pilots are heroes. They saved lives against massive odds. Stop being such a witless bellend. You’re making a show of yourself.

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    Mute Ger Whelan
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    Dec 27th 2024, 5:27 PM

    @honey badger: So heroes fly to Russia thus directly supporting Russia’s war against Ukraine?.

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    Mute Paddy Ryan
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    Dec 27th 2024, 5:34 PM

    @Ger Whelan: you are giving us all a good laugh. Banter central.

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    Dec 27th 2024, 5:37 PM

    @Paddy Ryan: good to know

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    Mute Tommy Roche
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    Dec 27th 2024, 10:31 PM

    @Ger Whelan: I’m guessing his name cropped up because his military has yet again downed a civilian airliner.

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    Mute honey badger
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    Dec 27th 2024, 4:46 PM

    We know you can’t trust Russia. We recall their reaction to MH-17.

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    Mute Adomas Mockus
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    Dec 27th 2024, 4:42 PM

    If it will be confirmed that it was indeed an air-to-air missile, putin will just say it was ukraine or some other nonsense and pro-russians will eat it up.

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    Mute Ger Whelan
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    Dec 27th 2024, 5:09 PM

    @Adomas Mockus: Nobody is claiming it’s an air-to-air missile. Its likely the plane was hit by anti aircraft fire. Ukraine do not have any anti aircraft weapons in the area. Only Russia does. So they can blame who they like if it’s proved the plane was hit then it could only be hit by Russia

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    Mute ItWasLikeThatWhenIGotHere
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    Dec 27th 2024, 7:30 PM

    Information now coming from regional sources indicate that after the pilot declared an emergency and requested authorization to land, three or four – accounts differ- Russian airports refused permissionto land, in breach of all standards, forcing the plane to cross the Caspian.
    While crossing the Caspian, GPS was blocked and/or spoofed interfering with the ability of the crew to navigate.

    These would suggest that the Russians wanted this plane downed in the Caspian, from which point onwards they might be more able to control the narrative, i.e. conduct a cover up or blame game.

    All suggesting that either
    a) There was someone on board, or expected to be on board, that the Russians wanted to murder
    b) Russian air defenses downed another civilian aircraft due to incompetence or negligence

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    Mute Stevie Doran
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    Dec 27th 2024, 5:20 PM

    What’s going y try o happen? Nothing as usual. Putin H itler can do whatever the f he wants

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    Mute Ger Whelan
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    Dec 27th 2024, 5:27 PM

    @Stevie Doran: what do you suggest we do?

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    Mute Dale Voinz
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    Dec 27th 2024, 4:23 PM

    Putin <3

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    Dec 27th 2024, 4:23 PM

    Put <3

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    Mute Pork Hunt
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    Dec 28th 2024, 11:23 PM

    I blame the doctors in gaza

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