Sign in. It’s quick, free and it’s up to you.
An account is an optional way to support the work we do. Find out more.
The report did not mention Trump by name, but did mention tariffs. Alamy Stock Photo
Turbulence
World Bank sharply downgrades forecast for global economic growth
The lender cited a ‘substantial rise in trade barriers’.
US PRESIDENT DONALD Trump’s trade wars are expected to slash economic growth this year in America and around the world, the World Bank forecast.
Citing “a substantial rise in trade barriers” but without mentioning Trump by name, the 189-country lender predicted that the US economy – the world’s largest – would grow half as fast (1.4%) this year as it did in 2024 (2.8%).
That marks a downgrade from the 2.3% US growth it had forecast back for 2025 back in January.
The bank also lopped 0.4 percentage points off its forecast for global growth this year. It now expects the world economy to expand just 2.3% in 2025, down from 2.8% in 2024.
In a forward to the latest version of the twice-yearly Global Economic Prospects report, World Bank chief economist Indermit Gill wrote that the global economy has missed its chance for the “soft landing” – slowing enough to tame inflation without generating serious pain – it appeared headed for just six months ago.
“The world economy today is once more running into turbulence,” Gill wrote.
“Without a swift course correction, the harm to living standards could be deep.”
have your say